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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum93% Chance Of Hillary Winning The Democratic Nomination. 69% Chance Of Winning General Election.
93%
http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-democratic-nomination
69%
http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-winner
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93% Chance Of Hillary Winning The Democratic Nomination. 69% Chance Of Winning General Election. (Original Post)
onehandle
Mar 2016
OP
about the same chance as getting hit by lightning 3 times in one day. In fact the odds are better
litlbilly
Mar 2016
#5
They are Democrats. And I never see that argument when Bernie wins red states.
Metric System
Mar 2016
#14
Uglystick
(88 posts)1. 99% chance of Predictwise
getting it all wrong.
angstlessk
(11,862 posts)3. It's the let's pretend gang who supports the 1%
If Bernie is not the contender...Trump will win.
It is absolutely as simple as that!
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)4. well maybe 97%:) These people are getting hilarious.
Land of Enchantment
(1,217 posts)2. In your dreams, June Cleaver. nt
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)5. about the same chance as getting hit by lightning 3 times in one day. In fact the odds are better
for that than Hillary winning anything
angstlessk
(11,862 posts)6. The energized goes to the polls
the lackadaisical stay home..Bernie voters are energized..the trump voters are energized....
Hillary voters are not.
Who wins?
Metric System
(6,048 posts)11. More people have voted for Hillary than Bernie or Trump.
bvar22
(39,909 posts)13. Many of those votes you are counting are from Red States
that Hillary will NEVER win in the GE.
Metric System
(6,048 posts)14. They are Democrats. And I never see that argument when Bernie wins red states.
bvar22
(39,909 posts)15. You DO know that the popular vote does not count in the Presidential Election?
Yes?
Metric System
(6,048 posts)16. I'm aware. Bush vs Gore and all that.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)17. Hillary has over 1.6 Million more primary votes than Bernie as of today
So I'm thinking the answer to your question is Hillary wins.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)7. Excellent!
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)8. Awesome & Tuesday is going to be a very good day! :-)
Quixote1818
(28,968 posts)9. 99% chance Hillary wins Michigan!
Woops!
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)19. And yet, she still won the day with more votes and delegates!
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)10. Still trending downward.
I'll take it.
GreatGazoo
(3,937 posts)12. I guess we know why these guys went into crap polls instead of casinos
they'd be broke weeks ago:
According to our final polls-plus forecast, Hillary Clinton had a greater than 99% chance of winning the Michigan primary.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/michigan-democratic/
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)18. KNR Thank you!