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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumReuter/Ipsos: Obama 46, Romney 43
Obama extends slim lead over Romney in White House race
By Deborah Charles
(Reuters) - U.S. President Barack Obama gained ground on Republican rival Mitt Romney for the third straight day, leading 46 percent to 43 percent, according to the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll released on Tuesday.
Released hours before the presidential contenders face off for their second debate, the poll showed the number of undecided voters had increased, indicating a drop of support for Romney among the coveted voting bloc.
The poll showed that Obama has recovered some ground after a poor showing in his first presidential debate. After dropping below Romney in the wake of the October 3 debate, Obama regained the lead on Sunday and has increased that by 1 percentage point each day this week.
"I think what we're seeing is after the first debate Romney definitely saw a surge. A lot of his surge wasn't coming from Obama voters, it was coming from undecided voters, which is exactly where both candidates are seeking support," Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.
- more -
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/16/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE89F14C20121016
By Deborah Charles
(Reuters) - U.S. President Barack Obama gained ground on Republican rival Mitt Romney for the third straight day, leading 46 percent to 43 percent, according to the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll released on Tuesday.
Released hours before the presidential contenders face off for their second debate, the poll showed the number of undecided voters had increased, indicating a drop of support for Romney among the coveted voting bloc.
The poll showed that Obama has recovered some ground after a poor showing in his first presidential debate. After dropping below Romney in the wake of the October 3 debate, Obama regained the lead on Sunday and has increased that by 1 percentage point each day this week.
"I think what we're seeing is after the first debate Romney definitely saw a surge. A lot of his surge wasn't coming from Obama voters, it was coming from undecided voters, which is exactly where both candidates are seeking support," Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.
- more -
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/16/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE89F14C20121016
Romney was up 3 points Thursday.
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Reuter/Ipsos: Obama 46, Romney 43 (Original Post)
ProSense
Oct 2012
OP
dennis4868
(9,774 posts)1. These damn polls
are confusing! Gallup has Romney up by 4 points today...WTH?
Shivering Jemmy
(900 posts)4. It's called variance
Sample from a distribution that is 50/50 it is equally likely to be on either side of that.
boxman15
(1,033 posts)5. The race is basically tied.
If it stays this way, you'll see polls like we've been seeing, with the polls ranging anywhere from Obama +4 to Romney +4
mgcgulfcoast
(1,127 posts)2. good news
Shivering Jemmy
(900 posts)3. Data tell me
Straight up national tie. Have extremal points on both sides of 50/50.
Hopefully tonight gives us a tiny push. All we need.
He'll be up more after tonight.
Bake
(21,977 posts)7. National polls are irrelevant (to an extent, at least)
It's the battleground states that matter.
Bake
TroyD
(4,551 posts)8. The battleground polls are most important, but
National polls are important too.
They get a lot of coverage and can influence the momentum and narrative in the race. It's bad to be behind in them, so Obama needs to raise his National numbers this week.