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WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 10:09 AM Oct 2012

Obama wins the Scholastic Student Vote (pretty good bellweather)

The kids have spoken! The winner of the Scholastic Student Vote is President Barack Obama, the Democratic nominee, with 51 percent of the vote. The Republican nominee, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, received 45 percent of the vote, while 4 percent of kids voted for other people.

The Scholastic Student Vote invited young people under the legal voting age of 18 to cast their vote for President in a mock election. They could vote online at www.scholastic.com/vote or by mailing in paper ballots found in Scholastic classroom magazines. Almost a quarter million (250,000) students voted from August 15 until the online poll closed on October 10.

A majority of kids in four of five key swing states—Colorado, Florida, Nevada, and Ohio—chose Obama. A swing state is a state where neither candidate has a strong majority in the polls. Romney won Virginia, the other key swing state, by a small margin. In a close race like this one, the voting outcomes in these states can ultimately determine who wins the general election.

Check out our results page for a pie graph, an interactive map, and a state-by-state chart.

A GOOD PREDICTOR?

The Scholastic Student Vote may not be official, but its results have often indicated who eventually wins the presidential race. Scholastic has conducted the student mock vote during every presidential election since 1940. The results of the student vote have mirrored the actual outcome of all but two elections—1948, when kids voted for Thomas E. Dewey over Harry S. Truman, and 1960, when they selected Richard M. Nixon over John F. Kennedy.

http://magazines.scholastic.com/election-2012/breaking-news/2012/10/Students-Pick-Obama

Here's the state by state breakdown:

http://magazines.scholastic.com/Election-2012/Vote

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Obama wins the Scholastic Student Vote (pretty good bellweather) (Original Post) WI_DEM Oct 2012 OP
So, it has been accurate in predicting the winner every time since 1964 VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #1
Hey there! Love your screen name! ncgrits Oct 2012 #9
The kids mirror who their parents will vote for HockeyMom Oct 2012 #2
Kennedy won by a razor thin margin. like 100,000 votes, if I'm not mistaken. demosincebirth Oct 2012 #3
Kids like Obama. Period. bushisanidiot Oct 2012 #4
My two did their part! N/T fugop Oct 2012 #5
Look at these results Robbins Oct 2012 #6
1960 last time kids wrong dogindia Oct 2012 #10
Kids have good instincts Sugarcoated Oct 2012 #7
Ryan: Obama Risking Lost Generation argueta Oct 2012 #8

ncgrits

(916 posts)
9. Hey there! Love your screen name!
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 01:02 PM
Oct 2012

Born in NC. Grew up in VA. Back in NC.
Great name! Wish I'd thought of it myself!

Welcome to DU!


 

HockeyMom

(14,337 posts)
2. The kids mirror who their parents will vote for
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 10:12 AM
Oct 2012

I have seen this working in the schools. On a personal level, MY kids were always for who I was going to vote for, not their Republican Dad. Hand that rocks the cradle?

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
6. Look at these results
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 11:57 AM
Oct 2012

It can suggest the likely voter Is BS.

Arizona Obama 54 Romney 42
Colorado Obama 55 Romney 42
Florida Obama 53 Romney 44
Georgia Romney 49 Obama 48
Iowa Obama 49 Romney 47
Michigan Obama 54 Romney 43
Nevada Obama 67 Romney 30
NH Obama 47 Romney 47
NM Obama 63 Romney 33
NC Obama 49 Romney 48
Ohio Obama 50 Romney 43
PA Obama 54 Romney 43
SC Obama 56 Romney 42
SD Romney 50 Obama 46
Texas romney 49 Obama 48
Virginia Romney 50 Obama 47
Wisconsin Obama 50 Romney 47

It appears kids accros the country are hearing different things from their parents than Polls are showing.

Obama losing virginia and Indiana but picking up arizona and SC.Close race In SD,Texas,and Georgia.what do you want to bet this Is going to be ignored In favor of PPP's national poll with Romney at 50 percent.

1960 was last time scholastic vote was wrong.

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