2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMichigan using alchemy tonight to transform Mr. 538
Looks like Nate Silver is transmuting into Nate Nickel right before our eyes.
awake
(3,226 posts)Land of Enchantment
(1,217 posts)litlbilly
(2,227 posts)bigwillq
(72,790 posts)How am I going to spin that?
renate
(13,776 posts)... I'm kind of enjoying this particular error.
aspirant
(3,533 posts)Wilms
(26,795 posts)johnnyrocket
(1,773 posts)woolldog
(8,791 posts)calling in favors no doubt.
johnnyrocket
(1,773 posts)woolldog
(8,791 posts)TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)Sanders voted in the Michigan primary... Which I don't think he did
and it would be only one vote.
Any exit polls coming out of Michigan?
wilsonbooks
(972 posts)Nate Silver on MI ossible Biggest Polling Error in History
I said earlier today that I had an intuition Sanders could beat his polling in Michigan tonight, but I didnt expect things to be quite so close. If Sanders winds up winning in Michigan, in fact, it will count as among the greatest polling errors in primary history. Clinton led by 21.3 percentage points in our final Michigan polling average. Previously, the candidate with the largest lead to lose a state in our database of well-polled primaries and caucuses was Walter Mondale, who led in New Hampshire by 17.1 percentage points but lost to Gary Hart in 1984.
onecaliberal
(32,887 posts)Bernie is attracting a lot of people who either haven't voted for years, are first time voters or Indies who don't normally vote dem.
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)mythology
(9,527 posts)But he's still got a damn impressive batting average.
And the fact that he's already said that the polling estimate was off, shows a lot of character. More so than those denigrating him for getting one wrong for example.