2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton's Lead Over Bernie Sanders Swells After Strong Super Tuesday, 55% - 38%!
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/3/8/1497933/-Hillary-Clinton-s-Lead-Over-Bernie-Sanders-Swells-After-Strong-Super-Tuesday-55-38By First Amendment
+7 for Hillary since the last weekly NBC/SM national poll.
Clinton got a real nice bump after Super Tuesday!
www.nbcnews.com/
Coming off of key Super Tuesday wins and a victory in the Louisiana primary, Hillary Clinton is up 4 points and Bernie Sanders dropped 3 points nationally in the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll.
This is the first large shift in our tracking poll since its debut in the first week of January. Clinton now enjoys a 17-point lead over Sanders headed into Michigan and Mississippi on Tuesday night. These results are from the latest Weekly Tracking Poll conducted online among a national sample of 21,996 adults, including 19,051 who say they are registered to vote.
Clinton maintains her status as the candidate who most Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters think will win the eventual nomination.
No change in regards to pledged delegates.
Hillary is still leading the pledged delegate count by +199, per FiveThirtyEight.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)would have to get on average in each state to win the primary? It was around 62% last I heard, but of course it would be more now. Whatever, his share of 130 for Michigan will no doubt be encouraging to some supporters.
auntpurl
(4,311 posts)Mostly on DU. I don't mind if the primary continues in the real world, but DU has been very unpleasant.
I am very much looking forward to our nominee being cemented and turning to concentrating on the REAL enemy in the GE.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)I do like our system where each candidate is allocated a share of delegates proportional to the vote a lot better than the winner-take-all of some Republican primaries.
auntpurl
(4,311 posts)I was quite surprised when I saw a number of Sanders supporters advocating for a one-day national primary. Are they not aware that their candidate would have been absolutely shellacked had that been the case? No one knew who he was before he ran for president, except political junkies.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Impossibly high, really. Numbers count.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)when I think of it, what do we expect to change at that point? Will the press just anoint Hillary and spend the rest of the time twiddling their fingers? I'm guessing not, but how will the atmosphere change? Will we all, including Bernie, start focusing glances of steely resolution on the menace to the right?
I notice we have 2 more debates scheduled. Bernie won't drop out, but if he did we'd have to pull him back in!
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)After March 15, Clinton will become the clear winner of the nomination. As has happened many times in the past, people will begin changing their votes in primary elections after that to support the winner.
People talk about California a lot. I fully expect that what I mentioned above will ensure a large victory for Clinton in that state, where I lived most of my life. It would probably go for Clinton anyhow, but once it's obvious that she will be the nominee, I don't think there's any question about California voting for her in their late primary.
March 15. That is the point of no return for Bernie Sanders. Unless something completely off the wall occurs, she will almost certainly sweep next Tuesday. If so, it's over, except for counting the delegates' votes at the convention.
The campaign will begin being against the Republicans 100% at that time. It's already pivoting in that direction anyhow.
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)Thank you, MM.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)If people had ever heard of Bernie Sanders, the results would be different, for sure.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Stallion
(6,476 posts)It was at his special Homecoming at his alma mater