2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNBC Survey Monkey National Poll-Clinton 55% (+4) Sanders 38% (-3)
https://www.scribd.com/doc/302999656/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Toplines-and-Methodology-2-29-3-6?secret_password=RqOsJk7HFnKkgH03TY1h
livetohike
(22,145 posts)stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)lmbradford
(517 posts)Our local school board decided not to take polls with this method because its too easy to manipulate the results. Geez NBC has sunk to a new low. Take a real survey or shut up.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)To more than one pundit, last weeks election in the United Kingdom looked like it would be the closest in a generation. But at SurveyMonkeys Palo Alto, California, headquarters, thousands of miles away, things looked very different: Respondents to an online poll conducted by the Internet survey company from April 30 to May 6 showed the Conservatives, led by Prime Minister David Cameron, as poised for an unexpectedly comprehensive electoral triumph.1
Jon Cohen, who joined SurveyMonkey as vice president of survey research after stints at ABC News2 and The Washington Post, wrestled with whether to publish the data before the May 7 election. SurveyMonkey was a relative newcomer to election polling, having spent much of its 16 years making it easier for organizations to query their employees or customers. Cohen had intended the most recent survey to serve as an internal experiment, not be released to the public.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/surveymonkey-was-the-other-winner-of-the-u-k-election/
Historic NY
(37,451 posts)The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll tracks voter preferences and attitudes on a weekly basis throughout the 2016 election cycle. Results are released every Tuesday at 6:00AM and are among registered voters. Results for the week of February 29, 2016 through March 6, 2016 are among a national sample of 21,996 adults aged 18 and over, including 19,051 registered voters (+/- 1.2%), 6,481 registered Republican voters (+/-2.1%) and 6,245 registered Democratic voters (+/-1.9%).
This is a little more complicated.....
EOM.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)Sanders is collapsing
pinebox
(5,761 posts)Who to believe?
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)We'll see how things look after today and the 15th.
TBH, even if the ABC poll is accurate, he is still 7 points behind. And if he IS going to catch Hillary, he needs to start winning a majority of the delegates soon. If he gets toasted next Tuesday, I don;t see realistic path to the nomination for him. Oh, people will wail, and gnash their teeth. But it will be all over but the crying. That's IF things go as currently expected, of course.