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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumReuters/Ipsos tracking Poll Monday Obama 47 (+1) Romney 45
http://wkzo.com/news/articles/2012/oct/15/obama-keeps-small-lead-on-romney-debate-bleeding-stemmed-poll/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama retained a slim lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll on Monday, as he appeared to have stemmed the bleeding from his poor first debate.
Three weeks before the November 6 U.S. election, Obama leads Romney by 2 percentage points, with 47 percent support from likely voters in the national online poll, to 45 percent support for Romney.
The margin was small enough to be a virtual tie, but Obama's slight edge broadened from Sunday, when he went ahead of Romney by 1 point after falling behind in the wake of Romney's decisive victory in their first presidential debate on October 3.
"Romney received a bump from that first debate, but the very nature of a bump is it recedes again," Ipsos vice president Julia Clark said. "We're now seeing Obama regaining a little bit of a foothold as we go into the second debate. They go into the debate on equal footing."
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Reuters/Ipsos tracking Poll Monday Obama 47 (+1) Romney 45 (Original Post)
jezebel
Oct 2012
OP
Gallup Had The Republicans With A Fifteen Point Generic Advantage In 2010.
DemocratSinceBirth
Oct 2012
#6
Because Romney is still ahead in Gallup, and that concerns me.
We need as many good National polls as possible.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)4. Every poll has their own likely voter model.
Gallup over counted on the Repub end for 2010 and on the Dem side for 2008. It is more realistic that their likely voter 5 point spread is more like a 2 or 3 point spread.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)6. Gallup Had The Republicans With A Fifteen Point Generic Advantage In 2010.
It turned out to be 6.4%.
What's a 250% error among friends?
woolldog
(8,791 posts)7. your concern is noted.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)8. Why do we need as many NAtional
polls as possible?
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)2. What Troy Said/nt
teabaggersarestupid
(111 posts)3. I think it's safe to say
The Romney debate bounce has faded some. Now it's up to Obama to deliver the knockout blow. He's gotta convince his jittery support that voting for Romney is clearly the wrong choice.
The media wont say a thing about it I bet
Fringe
(175 posts)9. Good News!
Go Obama/Biden!
fugop
(1,828 posts)10. But all the morning shows said Mitt has mo! N/T