Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)
Mon Mar 7, 2016, 01:08 PM Mar 2016

Monmouth Michigan Poll (A- Rated *)-Clinton 55% Sanders 42%



Hillary Clinton currently holds a 55% to 42% lead over Bernie Sanders in the Michigan
Democratic primary. Clinton enjoys a solid edge among non-white voters (68% to 27%), who make up
more than one-fourth of the likely electorate. Clinton (49%) and Sanders (48%) are virtually tied among
white voters. Clinton has a 57% to 40% lead among voters who earn less than $50,000 a year, and a 54%
to 42% lead among those who earn $50,000 or more. Sanders holds a solid lead (58% to 39%) among
voters under the age of 50, but this is offset by Clinton’s more than 2-to-1 advantage among voters age 50
and older (65% to 31%}


http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/23a456ac-d673-4189-9742-1f060ec2d926.pdf

* http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/
29 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Monmouth Michigan Poll (A- Rated *)-Clinton 55% Sanders 42% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 OP
This poll correlates with most other polls for Michigan, and is one of the reason why Nate Silver still_one Mar 2016 #1
Nate who? Cobalt Violet Mar 2016 #14
Lol. He has lots of company this morning. Hortensis Mar 2016 #19
I trust Monmouth to get it right. sufrommich Mar 2016 #2
They are a great pollster. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #4
Was this poll taken before the debate? sufrommich Mar 2016 #5
Almost all before... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #7
Nope, I don't believe it vdogg Mar 2016 #3
I am surprised he is doing so well there but Monmouth gets the benefit of the doubt. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #11
So much for that. bvf Mar 2016 #17
Hardly real scientific INdemo Mar 2016 #6
He's toast MaggieD Mar 2016 #8
You might want to reevaluate what you think you "know" and have "no question" about. n/t PoliticAverse Mar 2016 #28
Bernie needs a big win to make up lost ground. NurseJackie Mar 2016 #9
I think the Hillary campaign will be happy with those numbers. DCBob Mar 2016 #10
happy? more like thrilled! Attorney in Texas Mar 2016 #12
Guess it's game over then. Katashi_itto Mar 2016 #13
ooops Warren Stupidity Mar 2016 #15
I guess our grieving process was premature Armstead Mar 2016 #16
Looking at all this polls - game over for Sanders Lans Mar 2016 #18
About this post... VulgarPoet Mar 2016 #20
Actual voters decided differently. libtodeath Mar 2016 #21
Hmmm... casperthegm Mar 2016 #22
Great win for Bernie! bigwillq Mar 2016 #23
Wait! He won? bvf Mar 2016 #25
Bwahahaha! n/t Motown_Johnny Mar 2016 #24
Is it too late to rec this? bvf Mar 2016 #26
Monmouth was actually more accurate TSIAS Mar 2016 #27
How did that work out for ya? nt longship Mar 2016 #29

still_one

(92,366 posts)
1. This poll correlates with most other polls for Michigan, and is one of the reason why Nate Silver
Mon Mar 7, 2016, 01:11 PM
Mar 2016

gives the odds of Hillary winning Michigan at >99%


DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)
4. They are a great pollster.
Mon Mar 7, 2016, 01:15 PM
Mar 2016

Nate Silver gives Monmouth an A -
http://fivethirtyeight.com/int...

Their track record is stellar this year from predicting a photo finish in IA to a Bernie win in OK.

I am kind of surprised Bernie is only -13.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)
7. Almost all before...
Mon Mar 7, 2016, 01:20 PM
Mar 2016

I think it helped her too...

I have some comments on the debate but my comments are incendiary so I will keep them to myself. If you want I will share them with you in private.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
3. Nope, I don't believe it
Mon Mar 7, 2016, 01:13 PM
Mar 2016

I'd rather clutch a poll from 2 weeks ago that's so old 538 doesn't even rate it. Sanders is within the MOE111! 1! ONE ELEVEN 11!!

INdemo

(6,994 posts)
6. Hardly real scientific
Mon Mar 7, 2016, 01:19 PM
Mar 2016

The
Monmouth University Poll
was conducted by telephone from
March 3 to 6, 2016 with 402
Michigan voters likely to vote in the Republican pr
esidential primary and 302 Michigan voters likely to
vote in the Democratic presidential primary. The Re
publican likely primary voter sample has a margin of
error of +4.9 percent and the Democratic likely pr
imary voter sample has a margin of error of +5.6
percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth Univ
ersity Polling Institute in West Long

No cell phone calls

If DWS stays out of it and if Bill Clinton doesn't block any poll entrances or even campaigns within 50 feet from the entrance to a polling place and all the absantee ballots are counted (this time) I predict Bernie Sanders will win.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
8. He's toast
Mon Mar 7, 2016, 01:22 PM
Mar 2016

The people in MI know he would ruin the economy. No question about that. They are suffering enough already. Like Romney, Bernie's unwillingness to help the auto industry sinks him in places like MI.

Not to mention, he hasn't won one single state where the white population was under 85%.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
9. Bernie needs a big win to make up lost ground.
Mon Mar 7, 2016, 01:23 PM
Mar 2016

The numbers and the MATH just aren't in his favor. He's done! It is IMPOSSIBLE for him to win the nomination.

Hubris doesn't win the nomination. Individual states aren't tallied. It's the one with the most delegates.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
10. I think the Hillary campaign will be happy with those numbers.
Mon Mar 7, 2016, 01:24 PM
Mar 2016

If that holds she will have a good solid win and gain a bunch of delegates. One more step to victory.

casperthegm

(643 posts)
22. Hmmm...
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 09:21 AM
Mar 2016

Maybe not one more step toward victory for the "inevitable" candidate...

Someone is feeling the Bern this morning

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Monmouth Michigan Poll (A...