2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIs this right? AZ = O 44/R 42???
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/13/poll-presidential-race-close-in-arizona/Poll by Rocky Mountain . . . Not the Rocky Mountain News (at least I don't think). Never heard of them before.
Reported by CNN. Yeah, I've heard of them.
still_one
(92,396 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)against McCain. If, in fact, Obama wins Latinos by 60+ percentage points in AZ, then, yes, I would say it might be in play if latino turnout is strong.
abumbyanyothername
(2,711 posts)LisaL
(44,974 posts)So, Obama could actually have a chance there, if Latinos turn out to vote.
FBaggins
(26,758 posts)Even PPP had us down by nine prior to the first debate.
That would be quite a swing without any news to explain it.
This same group has polled AZ three times in the last year and the president has been up all three times (once by five points) when no other poll has shown a lead (and most of the time we're down substantially).
But wouldn't it be nice to wake up on election day and find that everyone else has missed something critical that's different about AZ this year?
jimdeed
(14 posts)That is what you call a head fake or purposeful bad poll to hopefully make the other campaign spend money there.
AZ is in now way going to go for Obama this time you can bet on it.
LisaL
(44,974 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)It is listed on RCP latest polls list on Saturday, October 13, here: www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
And here is a link to the PDF that has all the poll details: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/RMP_AZ_1013.pdf
theduncans
(1 post)I'm in Maricopa county and Obama supporters have been very busy registering people. In my family alone we added 3 new democratic voters for AZ. All of us have used the early voting option. It's bound to happen sooner than later. Many people moving here are liberal!