2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPPP: NC 49-47 Romney-- as comparison here are their last results...
Obama 48% (-1)
Romney 48% (+1)
(taken prior to first debate)
Here are the results of their last 3 NC polls:
PPP (D) 9/27 - 9/30 981 LV 3.1 48 48 Tie
PPP (D) 9/7 - 9/9 1087 LV 3.0 48 49 Obama +1
PPP (D) 8/31 - 9/2 1012 LV 3.1 48 48 Tie
Obama won NC by 14.000 votes in 2008 or just 0.3% margin. It was a pleasant surprise in 2008.
http://twitter.com/ppppolls
GOTV folks!!!!!
Mutiny In Heaven
(550 posts)I'd be expecting maybe Romney + 4.
No real surprise, nor is it a big deal unless the poll shows Romney up by seven or eight; I think NC has been more of a "project" than something they really planned on winning this time around.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)NC was always going to be a very tough hold.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)ProSense
(116,464 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Final Results -- -- -- 49.4 49.7 Obama +0.3
RCP Average 10/28 - 11/3 -- -- 48.4 48.0 McCain +0.4
FOX News/Rasmussen 11/2 - 11/2 1000 LV 3.0 50 49 McCain +1
Reuters/Zogby 10/31 - 11/3 585 LV 4.1 50 49 McCain +1
ARG 10/31 - 11/3 600 LV 4.0 48 49 Obama +1
SurveyUSA 10/30 - 11/2 682 LV 3.8 49 48 McCain +1
PPP (D) 10/31 - 11/2 2100 LV 2.1 49 50 Obama +1
Mason-Dixon 10/29 - 10/30 625 LV 4.0 49 46 McCain +3
Research 2000 10/28 - 10/30 600 LV 4.0 45 47 Obama +2
Politico/InAdv 10/29 - 10/29 641 LV 3.7 48 48 Tie
ProSense
(116,464 posts)Lex
(34,108 posts)WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Lex
(34,108 posts)Drahthaardogs
(6,843 posts)We are not going to lose this.
progressivebydesign
(19,458 posts)This is why the polls have changed in the past week. They have shifted more heavily to their "likely voter" model, which is outdated and based on OLD assumptions.
morrissey fan
(76 posts)He is close in a state I gave up on. Real question- when will he campaign in AZ?