2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLooking at the primary predictions from 538, it's safe to say Trump and Cruz are finished! Links:
Whenever someone cites 538 as a reason to think the Sanders campaign is doomed, that's a good time to review the collected genius and wisdom of 538:
Lets Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: Hes Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win
Ted Cruz Has A Huge Math Problem
The Glass-Half-Empty Case Against Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz Is Just Like Reagan In 1980, Except People Actually Liked Reagan
Ted Cruzs General Election Strategy Is Wishful Thinking
Donald Trumps Six Stages Of Doom
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump Surge Seriously
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
Donald Trump Wont Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
Donald Trump Wont Win A War Against Fox News
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Cant Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner!
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trumps Polls
Why Donald Trump Isnt A Real Candidate
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)are separated by the same exact percentage they were on Super Tuesday
Jn fact, when you do not round it, it is 0.5 percent less than it was in Super Tuesday, That be 8.5 percent. IF Bernie does well tonight, as expected, that might go down all the way to 8 percent.
Oh wait, I was supposed to count Supers as well Sorry, teacher, the conure tore up the memo.
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)AzDar
(14,023 posts)Go Vols
(5,902 posts)Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)They're op eds.
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)Oklahoma or Minnesota or Nebraska or Kansas or Maine?
stillwaiting
(3,795 posts)They (and other Establishment Media) seem to have been more successful with Democrats than Republicans this Primary.
Shame really.
Matariki
(18,775 posts)Didn't they say that Sanders would only win Vermont? Or something like that? Or do they keep changing their 'predictions' as they get them wrong?
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)It will most likely be Trump.
One mistake we shouldnt make is underestimating Trump, though.
PDittie
(8,322 posts)Nate Silver was poblano on Daily Kos. My confidence never wavered throughout 2008 and 2012 as a result of his numbers.
But since he's decided he'd rather do sports statistics, hired a climate skeptic on for "balance", and turned the political polling over to others, his reputation has gone downhill faster than shit through a goose.