High Point University: North Carolina: Obama 46%, Romney 45%

[TroyD]

Did this poll get mentioned yesterday? I can't remember seeing it posted here or at RCP.

It does show a shift to Romney from their last poll, but it's much better than the other NC polls out there this week.

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Oct 12, 2012

North Carolina:

(High Point University)

Obama 46%

Romney 45%

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http://www.digtriad.com/politics/article/249608/289/UNCHPU-Poll-Presidental-Race-Tightens-In-NC

[DURHAM D]

1. The campaign has not given up on NC -

Michelle is coming to Chapel Hill.


http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251139620

[TroyD]

2. Good!

[mnhtnbb]

8. That's because we're gonna' turn NC BLUE AGAIN!!!!!

[ProSense]

3. This poll has to be an outlier

A closer look at the data, however, suggests a shift related to the first presidential debate between Obama and Romney that occurred on Oct. 3. Prior to the debate, 49 percent said they would vote for Obama and 40 percent chose Romney. After the debate, 49 percent of those surveyed chose Romney compared to 43 percent for Obama.

Obama had a 9-point lead in NC? In fact, the poll looks like single-day snap polling.

The mid Sept poll showed Obama 48, Romney 44
http://acme.highpoint.edu/~mkifer/src/17memoa.pdf

Previous to that:

Romney 46, Obama 43 (early September)
http://acme.highpoint.edu/~mkifer/src/16releasea.pdf

Obama 43, Romney 43 (late August)
http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2012/08/27/hpu-poll-obama-and-romney-deadlocked-in-north-carolina/

[unc70]

5. Are you leaving us so soon? Just got here

The HPU poll is consistent with recent Rasmussen poll and others. Gravis is the outlier in NC.

Don't know what you mean by saying bye to us all. Do you know something we don't?

[woolldog]

6. 2 week sampling period

some before the debate, some after? This poll is worthless. Probably why it didn't get mentioned.

[geek tragedy]

7. This is another a good poll for us.

Shows Obama well ahead in pre-debate polling and well behind in post debate polling.

[WI_DEM]

9. the problem with this poll, as was pointed out in the article, is that prior to the debate Oabma was

ahead after the debate Romney had a solid lead. So it's hard to say if it is good news or not. But we will take it.