2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAre we a reality-based community? Then here is reality: Bernie Sanders Lost the Nomination Yest
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Are we a reality-based community? Then here is reality: Bernie Sanders Lost the Nomination Yesterday http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/3/2/1494393/-Are-we-a-reality-based-community-Then-here-is-reality-Bernie-Sanders-Lost-the-Nomination-Yesterday #p2
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Are we a reality-based community? Then here is reality: Bernie Sanders Lost the Nomination Yesterday
By ArkDem14
Wednesday Mar 02, 2016 · 6:10 AM CST
Let me speak here first and foremost as a proponent of sound, logical assessments and outlines of fact based reality that Dkos prides itself on. Two caveats: First, I am NOT saying Sanders should drop out. Second, I am not saying the Democratic primary is literally over, as Sanders will continue to be on the ballot, and Im aware no one has technically come close to getting the delegates needed to put the nomination away. Okay?
So lets move on first to the incredible goal-post moving with Massachusetts. Okay, that goal post moving isn't so surprising. Some Sanders supporters have put some damned good spin on Massachusetts. Clinton brand is strong here. She won the state by 16 points in 2008 even with almost all the establishment backing Obama. What a fantastic victory. Its logical on the surface, but if there is a key flaw its making out 2008 to be an anti-establishment vs establishment race, and saying the dynamics of 2016 are both the same and that Clinton is getting support from the same groups of voters, when its very much different. Okay, in 2008, Obama was not anti-establishment, after South Carolina he consistently lead Hillary Clinton in getting superdelegates, loads of big establishment figures were in his corner, and the race was also not, as per revisionist histories, breaking down on liberal versus conservative, as Hillary Clinton got roughly the same percentage of votes with self-described liberal Democrats as she did overall in the primary. So here are the two links you need to read to catch up to the true significance of Massachusetts this time: 538, and NYT coverage of the primary results in the second link.
Sanders State by State Benchmarks..............................
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,821 posts)"Reality" is that 3/4s of the country hasn't voted yet.
revbones
(3,660 posts)You Hillary supporters! Crazy fun.
VulgarPoet
(2,872 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Which is why Bernie wants to change it.
AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)gcomeau
(5,764 posts)1. He hasn't lost the nomination until he's mathematically eliminated. Which is nowhere NEAR happening.
2. People pushing this nonsense as "the reality" are doing so because they know damn well it isn't the reality and they desperately want to discourage people from realizing that to demotivate them from voting so they can make it the reality.
Nice try. Run along now.
There's still a lot of the primary to go. I'd hoped we could get to the endgame civilly, but apparently not.
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Unfortunately, it may work. Enough Bernie voters may be fooled by the bullshit propaganda to think it's hopeless and thus seal the deal for Hillary, Inc®.
brooklynite
(94,699 posts)After all, there were all those States that hadn't voted and they COULD have gone for him, right?
gcomeau
(5,764 posts)...that Sander's situation is in even the remotest sense comparable to that of a candidate who I believe never broke 4% support in national polling and peaked at 7% support in his own home state I both pity you and wonder why you are on the internet without adult supervision.
Or... and this is the other option... you know perfectly well what you just posted is facetious bullshit but you went ahead and posted it anyway.
Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)misterhighwasted
(9,148 posts)Kinda eases the emotional process when you realize the truth of it all.
It was a fun ride however, & there'll always be the memories.
Best wishes, but now we win the GE & take the heart out of D.C. Replican gridlock and we all move forward again.
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)these numbers agree with what I've been posting this morning.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511394247
Sid
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Clinton will peak abut mid-month, then lose ground all the way until the convention. Whether she'll lose enough ground to permit an actual progressive to gain the nomination is very much in doubt.
Armstead
(47,803 posts)The reality you present is just subjective interpretation
Shadowflash
(1,536 posts)lunamagica
(9,967 posts)Matariki
(18,775 posts)based on what's in the OP
GeorgeGist
(25,322 posts)dinkytron
(568 posts)riversedge
(70,282 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)In less than a month, this will be effectively over, and I want to reminisce about all cock-eyed optimists!
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)sadoldgirl
(3,431 posts)Donald Ian Rankin
(13,598 posts)DU is, and has always been, a faith-based community.
The very high number of people who still think Sanders is going to win is just one obvious symptom of that. (I would also argue that the widespread support for Sanders is another, but that's more controversial - preferring a Sanders victory may just come from interpreting evidence very differently indeed to me, whereas predicting one can essentially only come from deliberately ignoring it).
Most of the clocks here are stopped at about the right time of day. But it doesn't take much conversation to see that they're not ticking.
RufusTFirefly
(8,812 posts)But somehow that logic doesn't work in the Republican race where they don't exactly want Trump to win.
On THAT side, they're saying Cruz (who lost by greater margins than Bernie lost to Hillary) "lives to fight another day".
Yet, they don't apply that logic to Bernie. No, he's done for. See how that's backwards?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1395085
kristopher
(29,798 posts)...on the nature of reality.
leveymg
(36,418 posts)off a quarter of Democratic voters who showed up in 2008 but aren't appearing at Party primaries this year. She may win the nomination only to get trounced by Republicans and Independents in the GE.