Onward for the people! The next 4 states- Sanders projected to win 3/4: Kansas, Nebraska, and Maine!

[Attorney in Texas]

Sanders has passed almost all the way though Dixie, and this is still a tight race: Clinton has earned 596 pledged delegates (over 59%) while Sanders has earned 399 (just over 40%) pledged delegates during the part of the primary calendar calculated to favor the moderate status quo establishment candidate.

The next 4 races are Kansas, Nebraska, Louisiana, and Maine.

The betting markets favor Sanders in Kansas (Sanders at a 71% favorite), Nebraska (Sanders at a 70% favorite, and Maine (polling advantage in addition to 83% betting market favorite), while Clinton nears the end of her Dixie collection of former Confederate states in Louisiana.

To put the pledged delegate count in context, Sanders is doing better than Rubio or Cruz (Rubio has won less than a fifth of the delegates and Cruz has won just under a third while Sanders has won just over 40%).

[Avalux]

1. Nice! Thank you. Those are really good numbers for Bernie!

Onward, in solidarity!

[angrychair]

2. Thank you

For yet another timely reminder that this is a long ways from over!

[SDJay]

3. I'm Sorta Surprised

to see SBS polling so strongly in NE and KS. Yes, those states are sort of like Iowa but they are also deeply red when it comes to POTUS elections. I would've put those in HRC's column if someone had asked me to guess.

[kath]

5. Maybe it's a "prairie populism" thing, kind of like Oklahoma?

[amborin]

14. Oklahoma's history of progressivism:

http://digitalcommons.unl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2858&context=greatplainsquarterly

[JaneyVee]

20. It doesnt matter, according to some here red states dont matter.

[Tanuki]

23. Apparently those who don't support BS are non-"people."

[Vote2016]

32. there are not too many Democrats in Oklahoma but the few they have are good people

[Vote2016]

4. kick & rec #5

[Freddie Stubbs]

6. 59%-40% isn't usually considered a tight race -- it's usually considered a landslide

[Attorney in Texas]

15. 59% to 40% is a tight race when only 15 states have voted and Hillary's best states are behind her

[Freddie Stubbs]

18. Best states behind her? She has a wide lead in Florida.

And don't forget about California.

[Attorney in Texas]

27. MOST of the Confederacy is behind her (Louisiana and Florida are still whistling Dixie for Hillary)

[beltanefauve]

33. California

doesn't vote until June 7.
A lot can happen between now and then.

[JaneyVee]

19. Sorry, what were you saying?

These states are coming up in next 2 weeks. And shes up big in Florida.

[Attorney in Texas]

28. What are you seeing for Kansas, Nebraska, Maine, Idaho, Utah, Alaska, Washington, Hawaii, etc.?

It's looking pretty, pretty, pretty, pretty, pretty good to me.

[frazzled]

7. True, and good for Bernie

But Kansas, Nebraska, and Maine together have 107 delegates (of which Clinton will win some). But then Florida and Illinois, two weeks later have a combined 370 delegates (of which Sanders will win some).

I think Bernie Sanders will win quite a few more states, but it is still very hard for him to win more delegates.

[Cobalt Violet]

8. I hope he gets new momentum from this.

Go Bernie!

[Attorney in Texas]

31. Me, too!

[liberal_at_heart]

9. and the Revolution continues!

[AzDar]

10. Let's get it ON!!

[LexVegas]

11. If I was a Bernie supporter, I would encourage you not to make predictions any more. nt

[Attorney in Texas]

16. I'm reporting predictions (betting markets, polling, etc.); I'm not making predictions, but thanks!

[LexVegas]

21. Your track record of reporting is horrendous. Perhaps look for reputable sources? nt

[Attorney in Texas]

26. My track record of reporting polls is 100% accurate. The polls themselves have been mostly accurate.

If I accurately report a poll but the poll was off the mark, how is my accurate reporting "horrendous"?

More importantly, I reported Massachusetts polls showing Hillary in the lead and other Massachusetts polls showing Sanders in the lead - if you tell both sides of a story are you automatically "horrendously" inaccurate because half of your story was off the mark?

Leaving aside Massachusetts where the polls were mixed, the sources I cited were right on all 11 states. That seems pretty accurate.

If you want to get into predictions, what did you predict for Oklahoma and Minnesota?

[JudyM]

30. Personal slam is beneath you, and is unwarranted because Attorney in Texas is reporting facts.

[SidDithers]

12. So, what's your projection on the net delegate gain / loss for Sanders after those 4 states...nt

Sid

[Attorney in Texas]

17. Let's check the pledged delegate count on April 9.

[morningfog]

22. Giving all races a 60/40 split, Bernie could take 70 PDs to Hillary's 64.

It could erode her lead by 6.

[Attorney in Texas]

24. While we're past the Dixie primary, the worm doesn't turn full scale until March 22.

[Godhumor]

13. And the margin of victory in Louisiana will probably more than offset his wins in those 3 states

He is not going to be gaining any delegate ground this weekend and then he runs right into the woodchipper that is March 8 through15 where he is projected to lose Michigan, Mississippi, Florida, Illinois, North Carolina and Ohio (Missouri and the Mariana Islands are under-polled currently).

By the time he can start making up any delegate at all, the differential will be monstrous.

[DCBob]

25. And a huge Hillary win in Louisiana will likely offset any gains by Bernie.

imo.

[Attorney in Texas]

29. Let's see how the stretch from March 22 to April 9 plays out.