Friendly Reminder
I decided to look back at some 2008 polls and I found something interesting. There was a period around mid-september where McCain lead Obama after the convention, as you probably all remember. Here is the interesting bit
McCain was ahead of Obama for nearly 2 weeks. His poll average, according to RCP reached nearly a 3 point lead. It was a 7 point swing in McCain's favor over a few days. And yet Obama came back and crushed the old man and the retard.
Romney's bounce has allowed him to lead Obama so far for only 4 days and so far he has been ahead by only 1.5 point or less. Romney peaked at 1.5 two days ago and has fallen to a 1 point lead as of right now. Romney peaked at 48% of the vote and is now down to 47.3% today. Obama bottomed out at 46.1% and is now up to 46.3%.
The bounce that Romney got from the debate last week seems is smaller than what McCain got in 2008 (7% compared to about 3.5%), the peak so far seems to be much lower, and the peak seems to have come and gone much earlier. So Obama could come back from a 3 point deficit that lasted for weeks in 2008 but he can't come back from a 1 point deficit after 4 days? There is a bit less time to make up lost ground than in 2008 but there is also a lot less ground to make up. 1 month to go and we don't think Obama can't overcome a 1 point deficit in that time? And these are RCP numbers, so it is 1 point at worst.
Maybe the doom and gloom is misplaced? Do you not think that in the next month, Romney is going to say something incredibly stupid? That in the next month more past comments about fucking over the poor won't come out? Do you not think that in the next month, Obama's team of brilliant political strategist won't come up with a plan to make up a 1 point deficit? It is ridiculous to think that the next month is going to be pure inertia and an external force won't knock this election into a completely different direction.
= new reply since forum marked as read
refer to Sarah Palin as "the retard." Using the word that way is offensive to many on DU. Out of respect to their feelings (as well as to avoid having an otherwise worthwhile post potentially hidden), might I suggest you edit that out of your post?
As to the rest of it: an important reminder. I do remember McCain looking really solid at times. I never really believed the country could actually vote for him, though. I feel the same way this time around. Yep, doom and gloom definitely misplaced.
Of course it all still depends on getting turnout! 
