2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNate Silver/538 Super Tuesday updates:
(no prediction for the 3 states not listed)
Chances of Hillary Clinton winning:
Arkansas 98%
Georgia >99%
Massachusetts 82%
Oklahoma 78%
Tennessee 98%
Texas >99%
Vermont <1%
Virginia >99%
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)Just 4 days away.
JI7
(89,264 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)We're now seeing the oft-mentioned momentum.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Jitter65
(3,089 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)If your prediction is that Clinton will come out of Super Tuesday with a big lead in pledged delegates, I agree.
If your prediction is that Sanders will thereupon suspend his campaign and that progressives on DU will stop explaining why they prefer him to Clinton, then I disagree.
Here's my prediction: Contention will continue. As a consequence, during the month of March, there will be threads in the Clinton Group complaining about hides. Clinton supporters will be outraged that, even in their protected group, they can't use terms like "unhinged" to describe DUers who (despite Super Tuesday) still disagree with them.
redstatebluegirl
(12,265 posts)I had been undecided up until last week. I like both candidates and could vote for either one. But once Scalia died and I realized how many justices the next President most likely will appoint it was done. We can't afford to lose in November.
Glad to see Secretary Clinton doing so well. I will be voting for her here in Oklahoma today (early voting).
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)And I agree, Scalia's passing was a reminder what is at stake. Plus ACA repeal would be horrible for many people I know!
William769
(55,147 posts)We persevered.
The end game is all that counts.
Go Hillary!
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid