2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHRC: +39 GA, +34 TX, +34 MI, +30 MD, +27 VA +23 NJ +22 PA +8 RI
Good polling day for HRC
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/elections/
http://newsstand.clemson.edu/mediarelations/clinton-will-win-by-wide-margin-in-south-carolina-palmetto-poll-shows/
http://wpri.com/2016/02/25/poll-clinton-trump-on-top-in-ri-primary-races/
Trajan
(19,089 posts)The people need Bernie, not same ole same ole ...
book_worm
(15,951 posts)president. So I'm delighted with these results.
Trajan
(19,089 posts)And the shrinking economic security experienced by America's working families ... She was there for most of that ...
I don't see any reason to believe she will do anything different from what has been screwing us all along ...
Same ole same ole isn't good enough ...
Fearless
(18,421 posts)freddyt
(27 posts)...in her own deluded, name-dropping, coattail-riding, sniper-fired-upon mind.
brooklynite
(94,727 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)The people get to speak.
cherokeeprogressive
(24,853 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)for SC, TX, GA & VA? I think there could be variations but I expect in each of those states Hillary will easily win and pick up many more delegates. The media made a great deal out of Bernie winning by 22 points in his back yard. Hillary will probably win SC, TX, GA, & VA by on Saturday and Tuesday by at least that much.
yawnmaster
(2,812 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)That's a more important number to keep in mind.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)Once she is nominated she will get a fresh surge of support. Also keep in mind that Bernie has not yet undergone anywhere near the scrutiny by the media or the Republicans that Hillary has--that is why he is doing somewhat better right now.
But the only way he can get the nomination is to prove he can win outside of strongly white states. He has not proved he can win minority votes. He has not proved (except in his back yard) that he can win straight Democratic votes. I'll back him if he's the nominee but he needs to start showing he can get more of the democratic coalition than he currently has been or what the polls indicate he is.
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)From who, exactly?
Independents do NOT trust her and Millennials can't stand her!
She'll probably go down in the polls against her Republican contender.
And WTF does her winning in states that will never go blue mean? If it's such a big deal that Sanders wins one of those, why? I get they need to win for the delegate race, but I don't understand the establishment meme that a Democrat has to win in a conservative state to be viable. These are winner-take-all states. It's not like Sanders or Clinton will get any Electoral College votes out of South Carolina, Alabama or Georgia.
JudyM
(29,274 posts)Hillary is losing ground over time, not gaining.
I am canvassing and phonebanking and I cannot tell you the number of people who hate Hillary. People who have voted Dem all their lives who are going to vote for the GOP candidate because they refuse to vote for her. Imagine, her favorability ratings are the lowest of any candidate and her unfavorability ratings are the highest, even worse than trump. You can't wish that reality away.
Hillary has undergone more scrutiny because she's awash in scandals that she brought on herself!
If you think she doesn't have million$ going into finding something to hit Bernie with, you are not ... thinking.
The fairy tales told about her on this site are the unicorns here.
Her "experience" since you raised it, has gotten us into unnecessary hostilities that unravel international balance and, oh yes, in doing massive bomber deals in exchange for Clinton foundation donations. And her experience wasn't enough to let her see that she was breaking the law by using a personal server for top secret emails ... Or did she just not care because she's above the rules. Oh and yes, she's also the most experienced at lying and general crony corruption. #whichhillary
Fearless
(18,421 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)as far as outlying there have been something like four Texas & SC polls all out in the last few days all showing huge leads for HRC. I didn't even use the best Texas poll in my headline.
Fearless
(18,421 posts)And several of those polls are easy on her. She will lose VT entirely for instance, not getting the 15% threshold to grab delegates.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)I don't think anybody believes that she was going to do well there. Howard Dean after it was clear he wasn't going to be the nominee in 2004 won the VT primary. Bernie is a good Senator and deserves to win his home state. I fully expect that Bernie will get all of its 26 delegates. Meanwhile Hillary will get the lions share of delegates in SC (59), Alabama (60), Arkansas (37), Georgia (117), Tennessee (76), Texas (251) and Virginia (109).
Fearless
(18,421 posts)brooklynite
(94,727 posts)...Perhaps Sanders people are trying the same thing in SC.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Super!
Persondem
(1,936 posts)Fearless
(18,421 posts)HILLarious day!
Persondem
(1,936 posts)mwooldri
(10,303 posts)They're nice and all but polls have been and can be wrong. They got Iowa wrong. They got New Hampshire wrong. They got the UK elections in 2015 and 1992 wrong and that headline "Dewey beats Truman"? Wrong polling again.
Then again a number of those states will go Hillary.
Alfresco
(1,698 posts)brooklynite
(94,727 posts)Alfresco
(1,698 posts)Jitter65
(3,089 posts)be scared of the Trump/Christie ticket.
oasis
(49,407 posts)since he was a former prosecutor. However, Christie being a surrogate for Trump during the GE campaign will actually boost Hillary's numbers with women.
Women hate nastiness, and they hate nastiness toward women even more.