IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Romney +1.2

[TexasCPA]

•Obama made up some lost ground against Romney, with the GOP challenger’s lead shrinking to 1 point from 5 points a day earlier.
•Romney’s margin over Obama among independents, a key voting bloc, shrank from 20% on Day 2 to 15% on Day 3.
•Romney’s significant 36-point lead with white males dropped to 28 points — still substantial.
•Meanwhile, Romney had shown a surprising 3-point lead in the West for two straight days. That reversed itself, however, in the latest poll, with Obama leading in the West by 46%-42%.


http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. If The Pres Maintains His Momentum Robme Will Be Around Zero By Election Day

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[Alekei_Firebird]

2. So Romney dropped 4 pts in one day?

Real credible.

[TexasCPA]

4. I agree.

This poll swings too much for a tracking poll.

[regnaD kciN]

7. If I recall...

...this particular tracker was craptastic in 2008, and I see little evidence it's improved any.

[TroyD]

8. Let's just be glad Romney went down

And not look a gift horse in the mouth.

We need the national polls to get better for Obama and erase Romney's lead in RCP.

It affects the entire media narrative.

[ProSense]

12. Wingnut polling.

The week has seen a bombardment of polling from right leaning organizations, which have skewed the poll averages.

I mean, most of the Rasmussen polls show Obama regaining or gaining ground. When Rasmussen is among the most reliable, that's a clue.

Rasmussen: Obama takes lead in CO and Iowa, NH tied, still leads CT, NM, NV, PA and WI (updated 3x)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021507150

It's not to say that all the other right leaning polls are off, but some of them are in line with what they have always shown, small leads for Obama or Romney slightly ahead. The problem is that a poll showing a one-point lead for Obama as a trend is going to drop the average if several such polls come out at once.

Still, some of the polls dragging down the margins are downright unreliable, including Gravis.

Having said that, things returning to normal.

[mzmolly]

3. Good sign.

[gcomeau]

5. Most Important Point

Polling period: 10/5 - 10/10

The first post-debate polling day just dropped off and look what happened.

Tomorrow the *second* post debate polling day drops off.

[mgcgulfcoast]

6. sounds good.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. I Should Put You On Internet Speed Dial. You Are My Numbers Go To Man.

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[woolldog]

10. I have my doubts about the legitimacy of any tracking poll

that shifts that much that quickly. jmo

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. They Probably Looked At What Other Trackers Are Doing And "Adjusted" Their Model

.

[woolldog]

13. something fishy definitely going on....nt

[fugop]

14. I think it's what gcomeau said above

A post debate day dropped a big number for Romney off. Reverse bounce!