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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAlert: Suspicious VA Senate poll from We Ask America (Allen +5)
If you are checking out the RCP average for Tim Kaine today and wonder why it has gone down, We Ask America is the reason. All other pollsters have Kaine ahead, except this one.
This is a heads up.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/va/virginia_senate_allen_vs_kaine-1833.html
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WeAskAmerica - Allen +5
Allen - 46
Kaine - 41
http://weaskamerica.com/2012/10/11/lane-changers/
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Alert: Suspicious VA Senate poll from We Ask America (Allen +5) (Original Post)
TroyD
Oct 2012
OP
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)1. it is a linked with the gop. they use bad polling methods.
Politicalboi
(15,189 posts)2. What are we going to do if
The GOP steal this election by flipping votes and lying about the polls? And I mean for ALL races. Since I haven't seen too many political commercials, what are they spending their money on? I hope it will not be a repeat of 2000 where we find out 8 years later that Al Gore really did win.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)3. You Have To Take Robocaller's Polls With A Grain Of Salt
The apparent equivalence of IVR polls and human polls in the 2012 Republican primary
appears to depend on human polls being conducted prior to the IVR polls. IVR polls conducted
when there are no human polls do worse than IVR polls fielded after the results of human polls
have been made public, and there is no difference between IVR polls and human polls once the
results of a human poll have been reported. This suggests, but certainly does not prove, that at
least some IVR polls may use earlier human polls to adjust their results to ensure that they are
not notably different from existing polls and beliefs.
appears to depend on human polls being conducted prior to the IVR polls. IVR polls conducted
when there are no human polls do worse than IVR polls fielded after the results of human polls
have been made public, and there is no difference between IVR polls and human polls once the
results of a human poll have been reported. This suggests, but certainly does not prove, that at
least some IVR polls may use earlier human polls to adjust their results to ensure that they are
not notably different from existing polls and beliefs.
http://themonkeycage.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/ClintonRogers_Taking-Cues_Final.pdf