2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumStunning New Reuters Poll: Bernie Leading Hillary Nationally by 6 %
WOOT! Berniementum Baby!! Sanders is in this to win.
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Stunning New Reuters Poll Shows Bernie Sanders Leading Nationally by 6 %
by Tom Cahill * February 24, 2016 * U.S. Uncut
A new national poll from Reuters shows Bernie Sanders leading Hillary Clinton by 6 points among Democrats his largest lead of the primary so far.
According to the 5-day rolling poll results released on February 23, Sanders has the support of 41.7 percent of voters who identify as Democrat compared to Clintons 35.5 percent. The poll sampled 998 voters from across the country who identify as Democrats or as independents who lean towards the Democratic party.
Reuters polls have showed Clinton and Sanders in a virtual dead heat since the beginning of February. Following the Iowa caucus, a Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Clinton just two points ahead of Sanders in a national survey with a 5-point margin of error, meaning the poll was effectively a dead heat. A Quinnipiac national poll released on February 17 showed Sanders two points ahead of Clinton, which was also within the margin of error.
The Reuters poll released on January 23, however, showed Clinton was 5 points ahead with self-identifying Democrats. This effectively means an 11-point swing in Sanders favor over a one-month period. Sanders is gaining ground on Clinton at roughly the same pace Barack Obama did in 2008, according to RealClearPolitics polling averages. Between February 22 and February 24, 2008, Obama was up just 3 points on Clinton.
This poll comes at a critical time for the Sanders campaign, which is coming off of a 5-point loss in the Nevada caucus and is perceived as the underdog in Saturdays South Carolina primary. Sanders faces another uphill contest as Super Tuesday looms ahead on March 1. The Vermont senator has been steadily gaining ground in crucial primary states like Georgia and Texas, which award approximately 20 percent of total delegates between the two of them.
http://usuncut.com/politics/bernie-leading-by-six-in-reuters-national-poll/
Response to 99th_Monkey (Original post)
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JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)And she could easily have lost Nevada.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)He sure has contempt for DWS and Reid.
Response to JonLeibowitz (Reply #3)
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JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)jfern
(5,204 posts)Kip Humphrey
(4,753 posts)WIN, Bernie, WIN!
merrily
(45,251 posts)dana_b
(11,546 posts)This is going to go on a lot longer than super Tuesday. The states that he is predicted to do the best in don't come up until later in March, April and beyond.
merrily
(45,251 posts)dana_b
(11,546 posts)I do not expect him to ddo so great next Tuesday. Georgia, Arkansas, No. Dakota - those are definitely stronger fr Hillary. But PLEASE don't be discouraged and don't let others you know get discouraged.
The Hillary people around here will try to get you to give up, say some rude things and then go on about her coronation. Don't fall for it - it's NOT gonna happen!! He is gaining, and gaining on her. They never expected Nevada to be so close - I don't care WHAT they say! They are running scared and they should be.
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)merrily
(45,251 posts)before March 1, but we don't.
dana_b
(11,546 posts)do you remember the polls from a few days ago?? He gains momentum as March rolls on and into April and beyond. We just need to be patient and not lose faith!
merrily
(45,251 posts)If anything, the more pessimistic I feel, the more I do.
dana_b
(11,546 posts)I understand as I get like that sometimes but I CAN'T give up.
merrily
(45,251 posts)looking in all the wrong places.
HereSince1628
(36,063 posts)and very probably lean toward Clinton.
This year it's got a much smaller pool of states, half the size it was in '08, about 1/3 are states that Sanders can win.
The critical thing in the states he loses will be the size of the margin and the resulting delegate distributions. She'll do well, but I don't think it's looking like he'll be reduced to being non-competitive then
The delegate assignment could get very difficult for Sanders on Mar 15th. He really needs to close up in Illinois and Ohio to balance what looks like a loss in Florida which iirc is a winner take all contest.
CharlotteVale
(2,717 posts)JudyM
(29,251 posts)way out front on favorability.
AzDar
(14,023 posts)lastone
(588 posts)senz
(11,945 posts)I hope it puts wind in his sails!
senz
(11,945 posts)Milliesmom
(493 posts)Like your life depends on it because it does. Make sure all your friend/ relatives vote, this is what is known as a Revolution and it will not happen if one makes excuses and stays home, even if he does not do well we still must support him and not be discouraged ,things can turn on a dime.
MoonchildCA
(1,301 posts)There have been so many dancing on his grave already. I'm so ready to see them eat their words. It's not over 'til it's over, folks!
This is our chance to really take our government back to the people. Let's do it!
SoLeftIAmRight
(4,883 posts)Vote Sanders or you will get Trump.
Spitfire of ATJ
(32,723 posts)She's got to go even more negative to destroy him.
That'll attract those folks back.
AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)The more he surges. It feeds on itself.
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie & Elizabeth 2016!!!
avaistheone1
(14,626 posts)Beartracks
(12,816 posts)No excuses!
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redruddyred
(1,615 posts)i have been talking to folks in nh and i know where they are and so the win here was no surprise to me, but i'm surprised the rest of the country would pick up on his message. yes: he is what we need. but i figured they'd be too scared away by labels.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)Last edited Wed Feb 24, 2016, 05:41 AM - Edit history (1)
Remember all those posts yesterday? "All the sexism has driven me to support Hilly." / "Sanders should just give up, for the good of the pary." / "There is too much division among Democrats, let's unite behind the inevitable Clinton." / "Beware of Trump, so nominate the woman." (who is bound to lose against Trump, by the way - BK)
Yeah, now we know why.
This poll was coming up. The presumptive nominee is Sanders. All the red-baiting has driven me to support sanders. Clinton should give up for the good of the party. There is too much division and we should unite behind the unstoppable Sanders. Beware of Trump, so nominate the man who will burry him in a landslide.