Quinnipiac: O+5 in VA, O+3 WI, R+1 CO

[Blaukraut]

O 51-46 VA
O 50-47 WI
R 48-47 CO

http://www.scribd.com/doc/109657567/Quinn-10-11-CO-VA-WI



Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times PollFor release: Thursday, October 11, 20123:00 am ET** Embargoed until 3:00 am, Thursday, October 11
th,
2012**After the First Debate: Tight in Colorado & Wisconsin; President Still Leads in Virginia
October 4-9, 2012

[Alekei_Firebird]

1. Romney's best week and he can only get within 5 of VA?

Good night.

[Drunken Irishman]

2. Beautiful numbers. Close in Wisconsin, but eh ... and I'll trade CO (9 EV) for VA (11 EV)...

But I still think he'll win both!

[Alekei_Firebird]

3. If Obama wins VA, shouldn't he win CO?

I can see Obama winning CO yet losing VA, but not the other way around. I think if Obama's strong enough to keep VA, then he can keep CO.

[Drunken Irishman]

5. Yes. I think CO will swing back to Obama...I have a theory on this race in Colorado...

Since the debates were held there, the local news probably focused FAR more on it than any other state, which is why Romney has seen better numbers in Colorado recently. But as the bounce vanishes, Colorado will drift back toward Obama.

Just a theory.

[LisaL]

7. It's a good theory.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

14. We here in MD and our brothers and sisters in D.C. are working hard in VA.

I find it hard to believe that Obama will lose VA.

He is more likely to lose CO due to the vote suppression. There isn't enough voter suppression in VA, plus Virgil Goode is stripping votes from Romney in VA.

Many of us will be devastated if Obama loses VA simply because we havae been working so hard and Obama has an outstanding ground game going on in that state.

I think these polls are still pretty volatile.

[Blaukraut]

6. I think Obama will win both CO and VA, too. Romney's ceiling seems to be 48% in most polls n/t

[Mr.Turnip]

10. Trust me on election day I expect Obama to win all three BUT

WI is NOT going to be closer than VA, its a situation I have a hard time fathoming.

[fearnobush]

4. Va +5 wow. Marist has Z by +1

Goes to show the volatility were in right now. I'll take the +5

[alcibiades_mystery]

12. Marist also only has Kaine up by 1...but that's an odd result

Every other poll has Kaine up by 4-5. So, if Obama looks to be up only 1, and Kaine looks to be up only 1, maybe their sample is off, and it's actually Obama and Kaine +4 or +5. That both those results seem to be under the other polls in the same way is interesting, anyway.

[regnaD kciN]

8. Yep, these were taken Thursday-Tuesday...

...so included the two "pollacalypse" days of Thursday-Friday, when the Romney debate surge was at near-tsunami levels. Knowing most poll methodology, in fact, odds were that it front-loaded those days, so there must have been very good numbers the rest of the sampling period.

Now, it remains to be seen if these numbers are still enough of a drop over pre-debate polls to get 538 to move the race to "dead heat" status...

[courseofhistory]

9. I'm in CO

and my son and I are voting for Obama! Obama will win if the turnout is good. I'm in the Springs which is Romney country but many of the outlying areas are Obama and Denver tends to lean Obama also. It will be close, but I think he'll win here.

[TroyD]

11. Rick Santorum beat Romney in the primary by 5 points this year

So I would certainly hope Obama (who is a stronger candidate with a bigger ground operation) can beat him too.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

15. I also understand that there is a large Mormon community in CO. No such thing exists in VA.

I can't imagine Obama losing VA. I simply can't, especially with Kaine doing better.

We are working hard across the state in VA.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

13. These polls are all over the place. Marist has VA and CO switched. Their polls show

Obama losing VA but winning CO.

What these polls are capturing is what we call statistical noise!!

The polls are way too volatile!

[Arkana]

16. Quinnipiac still has Obama up 5 in VA?

Wow.

OH + VA = Romney is watching the inauguration at home.

[DCBob]

17. Good numbers..

The tide is turning!

[WI_DEM]

18. I really like the Virginia number