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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGallup Increases Cell-Phone Respondents In Tracking Polls To 50 Percent
Gallup Increases Cell-Phone Respondents In Tracking Polls To 50 Percent
The Gallup organization announced on Wednesday that they have adjusted their daily tracking poll sample to an even 50-50 split between Americans contacted on landlines versus cell phones, having implemented the change Oct. 1. Previously, 40 percent of the organization's tracking poll samples consisted of Americans reached by cell phone.
"This means that our weights to various phone targets in the sample can be smaller, given that the actual percentage of cell phones and cell-phone-only respondents in the sample is higher," Gallup's editor-in-chief Frank Newport wrote. "We have instituted some slight changes in our weighting procedures, including a weight for the density of the population area in which the respondent lives. Although all Gallup surveys are weighted consistently to census targets on demographic parameters, we believe that these improvements provide a more consistent match with weight targets."
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Full post here: http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/gallup-increases-cell-phone-respondents-in-tracking-polls?ref=fpblg
Bolding is mine for emphasis.
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Gallup Increases Cell-Phone Respondents In Tracking Polls To 50 Percent (Original Post)
Tx4obama
Oct 2012
OP
Blue Yorker
(436 posts)1. How many are cell-phone only?
A person with a cell phone who also owns landline is different from a cell-phone only respondent. I know that cell phone-only are largely Democratic.
DollarBillHines
(1,922 posts)2. How many cell users answer unknown numbers?
I know that I don't, and I truly doubt that Gallop leaves a call-back number.
rocktivity
(44,577 posts)3. Is there a 50-50 split between cell phone and landline users in general
The worst about Romney's debate bounce is that the pollsters are trying to take over the narrative...
rocktivity
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)4. It would be nice if other pollsters did the same thing.
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)9. Probably by the next presidential election they will be. n/t
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)10. None Of Them Have The Deep Pockets Gallup Has
.
Democratopia
(552 posts)5. That change from Oct 1 explains Obama's massive approval boost to 54%
TroyD
(4,551 posts)6. Right-wing will say it's suspicious they are changing their phone sampling technique
And that it's being done to oversample Obama voters.
Democratopia
(552 posts)7. What is suspicious is the pollsters who poll only landlines
bushisanidiot
(8,064 posts)8. That explains why their polls have always screwed right to match ras.
It may be an excuse to break away from following ras's numbers though, to give the more credibility.