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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe math adds up to Clinton versus Trump
The delegates awarded so far in the presidential race are effectively trivial, but after Saturday nights results its growing clear that the race this autumn will be between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.
While the more contested race is among the Republicans, lets for a moment examine the Democratic field. It wasnt really a fair match to begin with due to the superdelegates who had already been pledged to the former secretary of state.
Clinton has a 502-to-70 lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, with 2,383 needed to secure the nomination. Put another way, Sanders needs to win 57% of the remaining delegates to capture the nomination.
Thats the kind of split that seems pretty much unimaginable. After a triumphant Sanders result in New Hampshire, Clinton won by a 53%-to-47% margin in Nevada.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-math-adds-up-to-clinton-versus-trump-2016-02-21
While the more contested race is among the Republicans, lets for a moment examine the Democratic field. It wasnt really a fair match to begin with due to the superdelegates who had already been pledged to the former secretary of state.
Clinton has a 502-to-70 lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, with 2,383 needed to secure the nomination. Put another way, Sanders needs to win 57% of the remaining delegates to capture the nomination.
Thats the kind of split that seems pretty much unimaginable. After a triumphant Sanders result in New Hampshire, Clinton won by a 53%-to-47% margin in Nevada.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-math-adds-up-to-clinton-versus-trump-2016-02-21
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The math adds up to Clinton versus Trump (Original Post)
SecularMotion
Feb 2016
OP
tularetom
(23,664 posts)1. And taking that one step further, it adds up to Trump
cali
(114,904 posts)2. It also adds up to Hillary losing to a talking yam.
angrychair
(8,732 posts)3. Right now
Sanders is tied with pledged delegates, 51/51 and has a significant popular vote lead.
If that roughly holds true to the convention, even if she had a slight pledged delegate lead but is still behind in popular vote, it is very unlikely that states where he got higher popular votes that those respective SuperDelegates don't follow their state citizens lead (New Hampshire is a good example so far) and flip to Sanders.
A respective state's SuperDelegates still have to answer to their citizens the next morning, so a popular vote win will mean more to them at the end of the day.