UMass Poll: MA - SENATE (Warren +2 LV) (+6 RV)
October 9, 2012
AMHERST, Mass. A new political poll conducted by University of Massachusetts Amherst political scientists finds that Elizabeth Warren is holding a narrow 48 to 46 percent lead over Republican incumbent U.S. Sen. Scott Brown among likely voters in the race for Senate in Massachusetts. This lead is within the 5 percent margin of error. Warren has a six-point 49 to 43 percent lead among registered voters, the poll says.
The two candidates will hold a televised debate Oct. 10 at Symphony Hall in Springfield in what has become one of the most closely watched U.S. Senate races in the country and one that could determine control of the Senate next year. The UMass poll, an Internet poll conducted by YouGov America, was conducted Oct. 2-8 with a sample of 500 registered voters in Massachusetts.
The UMass Poll is directed by Brian Schaffner along with associate directors Ray La Raja, Tatishe Nteta and Maryann Barakso, all UMass Amherst political scientists.
In the wake of two debates and a barrage of negative political advertisements, Warren has maintained a narrow lead over Brown among likely voters, Nteta says. These results do not bode well for the incumbent Brown whose support among registered voters is well below 50 percent with less than four weeks until Election Day. Given the small percentage of undecideds in the contest, Brown faces a difficult, but not insurmountable, path to reelection.
More:
http://www.umass.edu/newsoffice/elizabeth-warren-maintains-narrow-lead-over-scott-brown-massachusetts-senate-race-umass-poll-finds