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angrychair

(8,745 posts)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:22 PM Feb 2016

Explain me this

How is Sanders ahead in every major entrance polling demographic (whites, Hispanic, asian, those making less than $100,000 and those with and without a college degree) but they are still saying "to close to call". Normally these calls are made in these cases.

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
2. entrance polls are not accurate enough to make a call
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:24 PM
Feb 2016

Just wait for the actual results. It won't be that long.



LiberalAndProud

(12,799 posts)
13. Who are you?
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:34 PM
Feb 2016

Exit polls have traditionally been used to track the accuracy of official vote counts. I won't soon forget how the exit polls were recalibrated to agree with the bogus Bush victory in 2000. So I ask again, who are you?

 

DefenseLawyer

(11,101 posts)
17. Actually they are extremely accurate
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:51 PM
Feb 2016

Unless you are Karl Rove in Ohio in 2004. Then they are meaningless.

 

Trajan

(19,089 posts)
18. First: It appears that the exit/entrance polls do not yet match the recorded totals so far
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 06:31 PM
Feb 2016

Second: I didn't say we shouldn't have those polls, but that we can't rely on them ... We still need to have them ...

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)
6. He was way ahead in the NH polls though. Yesterday he was ahead by 2 points, so probably too close
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:30 PM
Feb 2016

to call with just entrance polls.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)
7. New Hampshire doesn't use a caucus system like Iowa and NV.
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:30 PM
Feb 2016

Harder to get a true estimate with a caucus state

Renew Deal

(81,883 posts)
8. Because the groups he is losing are larger than the groups he is winning in.
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:31 PM
Feb 2016

Every calculation I've done has it at close to a 50-50 race.

 

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)
10. More to the point, even a very, very close end result
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:33 PM
Feb 2016

will have the Hillaryites crowing how SHE WON! SHE WON! totally overlooking the fact that until very recently she was up double digits over him.

Ferd Berfel

(3,687 posts)
11. This should tell you that they are about to
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:33 PM
Feb 2016

pull something sleazy as hell. Something that should be illegal but isn't

Something Rovian.

tammywammy

(26,582 posts)
12. Entrance polling at caucuses are too soft
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 05:33 PM
Feb 2016

People go into the caucus and can be inspired to go caucuses for a different candidate. And they're super small sample sizes. You should take this entrance polling with a grain of salt.

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