Entrance Poll Math

[Renew Deal]

CNN's exit poll says that 66% is 45 and over. MSNBC's exit poll has a breakdown by age

45 and under:
76 Sanders (25%)
20 Clinton (6.8%)

45 and over:
33 Sanders (21.78%)
65 Clinton (42.9%)

Clinton 6.8 + 42.9=49.7
Sanders 25 + 21.78= 46.78
3.52% missing, but Hillary has a short way to go to 50% +1

Of course, this doesn't account for delegates.

I think the networks think there is a clear winner because they are saying "too early to call" rather than "too close to call."

[bravenak]

1. I hope so

I'll turn on my tv now

[JonLeibowitz]

3. Do you back Clinton now?

Enquiring minds want to know.

[bravenak]

5. i guess so

I committed to caucus for her.
I have bo other choice unless i go green

[JonLeibowitz]

7. ok. Interesting. n/t

[JRLeft]

2. It looks like a HRC victory.

[bravenak]

6. I think so too

[Renew Deal]

13. I might be crossing the streams here by using different entrance polls

So that's not clear.

[JRLeft]

14. I have no idea, I was going the info from the op.

[Motown_Johnny]

4. MSNBC saying both Whites and Hispanics favoring Bernie.

Not a large enough sample for AA voters.

[krawhitham]

9. +8 points Whites. +11 Hispanics

[Motown_Johnny]

10. That kinda blows the math in the OP right out of the water.

Of course, it is way to soon to jump to conclusions.

[6chars]

8. thanks for whipping out your calculator

are cnn and msnbc reporting from the same entrance polls? even if not, sounds promising for Hillary - although still close.

[Dawgs]

11. LOL!

[cali]

12. 538 says the sample size is so small as to be useless

http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/nevada-caucus-south-carolina-primary-presidential-election-2016/

[HooptieWagon]

15. You got bad math.

If 66% of caucus goers are 45 and under, and 76% of them favor Sanders, then .66 x .76 = 50% of ALL caucus goers right there.

[Renew Deal]

16. 66% is 45 and over