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berniepdx420

(1,784 posts)
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 01:10 AM Feb 2016

"Clinton’s Lead Has Evaporated in Nevada and Her Supporters Are Panicking"

HillaryWorld is feeling the Bern. BY TINA NGUYEN

For months, pundits have marked Nevada in the “win” column for Hillary Clinton, who was thought to hold an unassailable lead with the state’s large Hispanic population. But according to a new poll, Clinton might not win Nevada in the landslide that everyone predicted. In fact, she might not win it at all.

Somehow, while everyone was focused on the showdown between her and Bernie Sanders scheduled to take place in South Carolina next week, the gap between the two Democratic rivals had quietly narrowed from 23 points in December to a gut-wrenching one point in a CNN/ORC poll released on Wednesday, just three days before the caucus.

Allies in Clinton’s orbit are panicking, according to The Hill, as the campaign prepares for the possibility of losing a state that one Democratic strategist called “tailor-made” for Clinton. Latinos have long been considered a key part of Clinton’s supposed minority firewall against Sanders, whose victories in New Hampshire and Iowa were driven by white voters, but political observers everywhere will now have to revisit that assumption. “I don’t get it. I don’t think anyone expected this race to look like this,” one former Clinton aide said.

No matter how Nevada shakes out on Saturday, anything less than a Clinton blowout could be disastrous for her campaign, especially in a state that was once so obviously one-sided that no one had bothered to poll there since December 2015. Even if Clinton ekes out a narrow win, much like she did in Iowa, the fact that Sanders was even close will prove that his minority outreach is working, giving him added momentum going into the South Carolina Democratic primary one week later. Or, as one friend of the Clintons put it in more colorful, relatable terms to The Hill: “The shit will hit the fan.”


http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/02/hillary-clinton-nevada-bernie-sanders
35 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
"Clinton’s Lead Has Evaporated in Nevada and Her Supporters Are Panicking" (Original Post) berniepdx420 Feb 2016 OP
Don't forget! Today is your last day to pay the #PDXArtsTax. onehandle Feb 2016 #1
And what does this have to do with the Nevada caucuses? n/t CaliforniaPeggy Feb 2016 #3
Sorry! I was off by 23. nt onehandle Feb 2016 #4
Lol! zappaman Feb 2016 #23
It's a coping mechanism, Peggy. frylock Feb 2016 #10
Uh.......OK. I still don't think I get it, but that's OK! CaliforniaPeggy Feb 2016 #12
Me too. Been home sick for the last two days. frylock Feb 2016 #18
Apparently, the tactic du jour Kelvin Mace Feb 2016 #13
That's how you know she's winning. frylock Feb 2016 #19
... AzDar Feb 2016 #34
It's a caucus state. I'll bet there will be another less then visible outcome. CentralMass Feb 2016 #2
Kick azmom Feb 2016 #5
The polls say otherwise. stopbush Feb 2016 #6
Post removed Post removed Feb 2016 #8
So what. NV is trending toward Hillary now. stopbush Feb 2016 #9
you.were.up.by.30.percentage.points.and.now.the.polls.are.flip.flopping berniepdx420 Feb 2016 #11
You're trying to reach someone for whom reality is not matching up to their expectations Hydra Feb 2016 #14
"You fools"... Yup exactly the kind of discussion we should be having on DU. Agschmid Feb 2016 #15
they need to stop namecalling. trueblue2007 Feb 2016 #16
Thanks. Agschmid Feb 2016 #22
Jury Results.. on the "fools" insult. Cha Feb 2016 #17
Shit, you all have been calling us the tea party of the left.. frylock Feb 2016 #20
No "we all" have not. Agschmid Feb 2016 #21
Bill fucking Clinton likened us to the tea party. frylock Feb 2016 #24
Yup... Just checked I'm not him. Agschmid Feb 2016 #25
You all is a pretty general term. frylock Feb 2016 #26
Yah well you did reply to me. Agschmid Feb 2016 #28
I'll be sure to avoid doing that in future. frylock Feb 2016 #31
That's fine. Agschmid Feb 2016 #32
This message was self-deleted by its author frylock Feb 2016 #30
Yep... quickesst Feb 2016 #7
Yeah that! OhZone Feb 2016 #29
Let the fan-hitting begin. hifiguy Feb 2016 #27
Will it stick ? /nt jakeXT Feb 2016 #35
Debbie will do anything she can to prevent a loss for Clinton. Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #33

CaliforniaPeggy

(149,642 posts)
12. Uh.......OK. I still don't think I get it, but that's OK!
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 01:38 AM
Feb 2016

I"m a bit under the weather and some things just go whooooosh!

stopbush

(24,396 posts)
6. The polls say otherwise.
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 01:22 AM
Feb 2016

Hillary has a nice lead in NV.

I notice the BSers aren't posting the poll numbers these days.

538 today has the likelihood of a Hillary win at 75%. The BSers were calling the election for Sanders when 538 had him at a 51% chance of winning on Monday.

Amateurs.

Response to stopbush (Reply #6)

stopbush

(24,396 posts)
9. So what. NV is trending toward Hillary now.
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 01:26 AM
Feb 2016

Why aren't the BSers posting the poll numbers that came out today? Because they can't handle the truth.

Hydra

(14,459 posts)
14. You're trying to reach someone for whom reality is not matching up to their expectations
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 01:41 AM
Feb 2016

Hence, "I reject your reality and substitute my own!"

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
15. "You fools"... Yup exactly the kind of discussion we should be having on DU.
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 01:41 AM
Feb 2016

Right to personal insults, no time wasted.

trueblue2007

(17,228 posts)
16. they need to stop namecalling.
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 01:49 AM
Feb 2016

ALERTER'S COMMENTS

"you fools were up by 30+.. you are toast."

rude and nasty personal attack. very rude and divisive poster.

JURY RESULTS

You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Thu Feb 18, 2016, 07:47 PM, and the Jury voted 4-3 to HIDE IT.

Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: It looks reciprocal to me. Get over it.
Juror #2 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #3 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: enough from this one
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #5 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: Well, I for one am sick of these aggressively, bullyingly berniebros.. Calling someone a fool makes du suck.
Learn to disagree with some manners.
Juror #6 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #7 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: RUDE and nasty. Stop the name calling, act like an adult.

Cha

(297,323 posts)
17. Jury Results.. on the "fools" insult.
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 01:50 AM
Feb 2016

um.. you fools were up by 30+.. you are toast..
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1271179

ALERTER'S COMMENTS

"you fools were up by 30+.. you are toast."

rude and nasty personal attack. very rude and divisive poster.

JURY RESULTS

You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Thu Feb 18, 2016, 07:47 PM, and the Jury voted 4-3 to HIDE IT.

Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: It looks reciprocal to me. Get over it.
Juror #2 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #3 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: enough from this one
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #5 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: Well, I for one am sick of these aggressively, bullyingly berniebros.. Calling someone a fool makes du suck.

Learn to disagree with some manners.
Juror #6 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #7 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: RUDE and nasty. Stop the name calling, act like an adult.

frylock

(34,825 posts)
20. Shit, you all have been calling us the tea party of the left..
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 01:55 AM
Feb 2016

delusional, denizens of a fantasy land. Fools is pretty fucking innocuous in comparison to what you guys call Berniebros.

frylock

(34,825 posts)
26. You all is a pretty general term.
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 02:11 AM
Feb 2016

I'm glad you're flattered enough to think that I meant you, exclusively.

Response to Agschmid (Reply #15)

 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
33. Debbie will do anything she can to prevent a loss for Clinton.
Fri Feb 19, 2016, 02:49 AM
Feb 2016

Surely her GOP friends have some new ideas she can use?

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