2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumToday's Gallup has Obama up 5. So skyfallers and handwringers, just CHILL.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,234 posts)oswaldactedalone
(3,491 posts)and Saturday are worked in. Still time for Obama to regain his footing. Let's hope he does quickly.
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)Those days already are "worked in" -- the poll runs through 10/7.
oswaldactedalone
(3,491 posts)will be worked in, and three better days from before the debate will fall off.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)Romney had a bump after the debate. But it didn't last.
Indpndnt
(2,391 posts)Sorry, but Willard's microscopic 'bounce' has deflated. Sucks to be him.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)The one-day snapshot shows no longterm bounce for the MittTwit.
LisaL
(44,973 posts)""Romney definitely improved in Friday and Saturday polling among registered voters, but Obama did better Saturday and Sunday nights," says Jeffrey Jones of Gallup."
http://www.ksdk.com/news/article/342209/28/Gallup-Poll-Obama-leads-Romney-
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)Their sample consists of: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday. The debate is almost exactly in the middle of the sample now.
Since Obama saw a rise in support from yesterday's numbers, you can wager that he had better polling Sunday than he had on the Sunday before ... since had he done worse, his numbers would've fallen when that daily sample was dropped.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)in their sampling on Thur and Fri and how Sat & Sun looked. If like Gallup it was an awful Thur & Fri and a better Sat & Sun for Obama then the poll would be pretty much what the trackers are showing. Even Ras is showing Obama gaining.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)mvd
(65,174 posts)a temporary bounce. Pew may be respected, but they can goof, too. And I think they did if even Ras is better for the President. Sounds like an outlier with particularly good Romney days after the debate.
Mutiny In Heaven
(550 posts)It encourages some, depresses others and, as a species which likes to follow the pack, influences.
The more coverage given to polls showing Romney in the lead, the more likely it is that he will indeed be crowned on November 6th.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)BlueMTexpat
(15,369 posts)progressoid
(49,991 posts)skyfallers and handwringers. It's kind of insulting.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)progressoid
(49,991 posts)Now that I think about it, I voiced similar opinions a few months ago about polls. Probably why some people have me on ignore.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)There is a lot to be nervous about right now until we find out what is going on.
The "don't worry, be happy" attitude is what got us overconfident going into the debate last week, and look what happened.
Now what I would like to know is which Gallup Tracking Poll is the most recent. Is Obama really up by 5? That's what I thought earlier this afternoon, but RCP won't include it in its average.
It claims that the 47-47 poll is the most recent one.
What is going on?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
LisaL
(44,973 posts)RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)little to no holding bounce over that ONE debate. Jesus, buck the hell up. If debates mattered so much, Obama would never have been elected on 08 and Kerry would have won in '04. Yes, keep campaigning hard, but stop all this skyfalling hysteria. It is NONSENSE.
dorksied
(348 posts)I can't think of a better way to fire up the base, and motivate our President to become more aggressive. Fear can be a powerful tool, and I fear a Romney presidency more than I fear prostate cancer.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)You look at DU and you see it already ... people aren't fired up, they're dispirited and already throwing in the towel.
WinkyDink
(51,311 posts)horsedoc
(81 posts)I gave money after the debate knowing President Obama needs every cent he can muster against Romney Inc. It is so sad that our political system is dependent on money! Yet I want to keep watching all the Obama ads on TV down here in Florida, so help him out.
KauaiK
(544 posts)patrice
(47,992 posts)As much as i want to say those poll numbers give hope they don't, those poll numbers were taking 3 days before the debate and 3 days after whereas PEW was on a 4 day roll from the post-debate to today.
It's starting to look like were going to lose it in the last few weeks. It's so frustrated but unless Joe and Barack show up to the next debates im pretty sure were done for thanks in large part to Mitt Romney AND THE FACT THAT NO ONE IS CALLING HIM OUT ON HIS LIES!!!! WTF KIND OF MEDIA DO WE HAVE?????????????
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)patrice
(47,992 posts)bushisanidiot
(8,064 posts)because he's already starting to sink again.
can't wait for his next foot in mouth gaffe.