2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWHOA! New Gallup polls are good! VERY good!
Obama approval up to 51-44!:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx
Obama increases lead back up to 50-45 over Rmoney!:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx
VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)This morning, Gallup went out of their way to say the race is tied. They had to know then that Obama did very well in Sunday's polling.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)Romney temporarily moved into a 47-47 tie.
The media decided to take that number and use it as the Gallup number today without even waiting until 1:00 PM to see what the real Gallup Tracking number was for Monday.
Sugarcoated
(7,724 posts)with the polls. Obviously, it makes a difference in how these polls are being reported today.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)They isolated three days of polling after the debate that had Romney tied 47-47 ... they stopped polling on that sample a couple days ago. It was just a snap poll to see what Romney's bounce was.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)Indpndnt
(2,391 posts)Lots of reasons, none of them helpful to anyone but themselves.
TDale313
(7,820 posts)DemsUnited
(1,273 posts)Thanks for posting
flamingdem
(39,313 posts)Cha
(297,249 posts)mittLies mouth!
A bird blooper that pooped on his campaign
Blue Yorker
(436 posts)Or something.
frazzled
(18,402 posts)Calooh! Callay!
I needed that.
ncgrits
(916 posts)And the frumious bandersnatch too!
Oh noes!
VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)Also capture Obama jobs surge. Polling that occurs from Subday onward may reflect the jobs bump. With four weeks left, most polling operations will have only Two or three non tracking traditional polls left.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Romney is trying to overshadow it with his foreign policy speech today.
Don't let him get away with it.
Romney wanted this election to be about the economy - so let's make it about the economy!
budkin
(6,703 posts)Jobs report and Romney lies finally sink in.
SEMOVoter
(202 posts)I'm still trying to remain calm.
helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)On the Romney plane now. Oh and Tamryn Hall still posting the tied Gallup poll on MSNBC.
lillypaddle
(9,580 posts)and Rec!
bushisanidiot
(8,064 posts)and the sleeping giant that is the Big Bird/Sesame Street contingent of the electorate has risen and will line up gladly for President Obama
Johnny2X2X
(19,066 posts)Not sure why Callup would pick 3 days that polled well for Romney and report them, they weren;t even the latest 3 days they had data for. Pretty stupid.
Romney got a bounce that was negated not only by the jobs report, but by the fact that people started realizing he lied lied and lied at the debates.
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)The latest Pew poll has it Romney +4.
AverageJoe90
(10,745 posts)bushisanidiot
(8,064 posts)i would think the newest poll would trump the older one.
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)Apparently, Gallup switches from RVs to LVs starting tomorrow, so two-three points of that lead are likely to go bye-bye instantly. also, since 10/1, which was apparently a strong Obama day, is dropping off, unless we get a strong Obama day today as well, tomorrow might see a draw or even, in the worst-case scenario, a slight Romney lead. If so, remember, it's not Mittmentum...it's Gallup changing their model.
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)The media has called it a tie for months even despite Obama's lead. Who knows what claim they'll make up next. lol