PPP: Obama still ahead in Virginia by 3-points

[WI_DEM]

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24s PublicPolicyPolling ?@ppppolls
Our new Virginia President poll is Obama 50, Romney 47. Just a slight shift toward Romney from 51/46 3 weeks ago

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30m PublicPolicyPolling ?@ppppolls
Y'all asked for a preview of Virginia so here it is: Obama is still ahead there. Final numbers soon

[TroyD]

1. Thanks, WI DEM!

[bluestateguy]

2. Get this to Nate Silver

That will help.

[TroyD]

3. I'm sure Nate will see it

[geek tragedy]

4. Great news.

If Romney can't win Virginia, he can't win the White House.

And if he can't get Obama below 50% in apt he aftermath of the Wednesday massacre, his goose is cooked.

[Cha]

13. I don't think it was the "massacre" that you do. Big Bird's

Beak has seen to that.

Romney's stupid threats to fire Big Bird backfired on his lying ass.

[geek tragedy]

15. More likely that 94% have made up their mind

and the remaining 6% are either fickle or indecisive.

[rufus dog]

5. get real

It is shit, it is all shit, the lead is gone.

Oh and that slight shift, it will shift back over the next couple of weeks.

But it is shit, it is all shit, we are headed to defeat.

[Baitball Blogger]

8. Sarcasm, right?

[Dawson Leery]

9. No. The poster is saying despite all of the "sky is falling" nonsense,

the lead for Obama will re-expand in the next 2 weeks.

[Baitball Blogger]

10. I know what the lead poster is saying.

I'm trying to determine if rufus is serious.

[rufus dog]

24. I am making fun of the sky is falling crowd.

Yes it was sarcasm.

[Baitball Blogger]

29. Thanks. Appreciate it.

[Cha]

14. I see what you're doing here..

I to look and see kind of "dog" it was before I got it.

[BeyondGeography]

18. Hey, I had Buffalo plus 42 today

I don't want to hear it.

[rufus dog]

26. 'Niners kicked some ASS

SAAAA WEEEEET!

[Drunken Irishman]

6. NO!

NO, DAMMIT! I'M NOT DONE BITCHING ABOUT HOW OBAMA IS TANKING!

[Tribetime]

12. only up 3 in ohio ..oh noes

www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html

[rufus dog]

28. Dude, your boys had a chance to shutdown SC

Damn IT! I wanted that next loss for the ToeJams.

The Utes looked much better though.

[still_one]

7. It has to be pushed the republican war against women, and how they believe a women should be forced

to carry to term if through rape or incest

[Jennicut]

11. I knew VA would be okay when they said Obama was running only a point behind

what he was before in the first day of polling. Very good news.

I truly think this is Romney's high point of the campaign and it will go back down in the next week.

Per PPP:

"Friday was a strong day for Romney in our VA polling, Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday were about par for the course of our work there this year."

[Cha]

16. Anecdotal news and it's from New York so

it doesn't count much. But, my sister said she just found out her 92 year old republican mother in law told her she wasn't going to vote this year. She saw the debate and doesn't like mitt romney. Solid gop all her life and she just can't do it.

[WI_DEM]

19. good thing 3 of the 4 days were good for Obama

[RedSpartan]

17. CTFO!

[TroyD]

20. VA has been one of the more consistent states for Obama this year

He has had a lead for several months.

[TroyD]

21. Full Results have been posted:

Raleigh, N.C. – - PPP's newest Virginia poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 50-47 in the state, down from a 51-46 advantage three weeks ago. This is the closest we've found the race in Virginia the entire cycle, but Obama continues to find himself at the critical 50% mark in a state where Romney probably can't afford to lose.

Romney's performance in the debate on Wednesday seems to have helped his image with Virginia voters. They think he won the debate by a 61/28 margin, including 71/17 with independents. Compared to our last poll he's seen a 10 point gain in his net favorability rating from -2 at 47/49 in mid-September to now +8 at 52/44. The problem for Romney is that most of that gain has come with Democrats, from 6/90 to 21/76. But still only 8% of those Democrats are actually voting for Romney. Much of the improvement in Romney's image is people going from hating Romney and voting for Obama to respecting Romney but still voting for Obama.

The reason the race hasn't moved much despite the improvement in Romney's image is that Obama's held steady over the last three weeks in spite of his poor debate performance. 3 weeks ago 50% of Virginians approved of him and 48% disapproved. Now 50% of Virginians approve of him and 48% disapprove. There's been no movement whatsoever in perceptions of his job performance.

Obama leads Romney 52-44 with women while keeping things about equal with men, trailing Romney just 49-48. Romney's up 57-40 with white voters, but would need to win them by a lot more than that to overcome Obama's 90-8 lead with African Americans and
59-34 advantage with other nonwhite voters. The future is looking bright for Democrats in Virginia with voters under 45 supporting Obama 59-38. The race is only close overall because of a 55-43 advantage for Romney with seniors.

“We’ve been calling Virginia Obama’s firewall state the entire cycle and this is just more evidence for it,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Even after one of his worst weeks of the campaign Obama continues to hold the lead there.”

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_VA_1007.pdf

[GallopingGhost]

22. I will be very, very surprised if VA turns red.

Edited to say that the fact that Romney has the edge with seniors in ANY state boggles the mind. I guess his older supporters think he looks like such a nice man.

[TroyD]

23. Obama's approval in new VA poll remains 50/48

PPP: Obama's approval on our new VA poll: 50/48. His approval 3 weeks ago there: 50/48.

[helpisontheway]

25. This makes me so happy

I want Virginia to remain BLUE! . I still see no evidence in the Hampton Roads area. However, my 11 year old told me that he saw about 20 Obama signs when he was on the school bus Friday. Then he made a face and said he also saw two Romney signs. LOL

[oswaldactedalone]

27. Seems like a smart kid! n/t

[Sophiegirl]

30. Nobody asked me!

And I live in VA!

I have no faith in "polls."

I have faith in the other Virginians I talk to. Granted, I live in Northern VA, which is heavily Democratic.

Kaine appears to be ahead as well.

[TroyD]

31. 'Kaine appears to be ahead as well.'

Yes, he's ahead in almost all the polls, sometimes by large margins.

I think Nate Silver gives Kaine about an 80% chance of winning.

[bushisanidiot]

32. Romney gets a momentary microscopic "bounce"

then he will be long forgotten.

i predict several missteps from the romney campaign next week as they will be become desperate after a Biden debate victory and fans of Big Bird screaming at them and the 7.8 unemployment rate that throws a wrench into mitt's plans.