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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNBC Poll: Clinton maintains national lead after NH loss
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/nbc-poll-clinton-maintains-national-lead-after-nh-lossIn the wake of the first two nominating contests, Hillary Clinton is maintaining her lead over Bernie Sanders nationally in the past week, dropping a single percentage point to 50 percent. Sanders picked up a point to lower the difference to 10 points among Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters.
Although the numbers have remained relatively stable, the national margin between Clinton and Sanders is now at the lowest it has been in 7 weeks. These results are from the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking poll conducted online from Feb 8-14 among a national sample of 13,129 adults including 11,417 who are registered to vote.
After a 22-point victory for Sanders in New Hampshire last Tuesday, a third of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters now think Sanders will win the eventual nomination. However, 66 percent still think Clinton will win. This 34-point margin is down from 44 points just last week and is the smallest it has been since the beginning of our tracking poll in January.
Though Sanders may have gained momentum from his virtual tie with Clinton in Iowa and his large victory in New Hampshire, the candidates have rapidly shifted their focus to the next Democratic contests: a caucus in Nevada on Feb. 20 and a primary in South Carolina on the 27th. These are the first states where the Democratic electorate will consist of a more diverse racial makeup.
Iowa and New Hampshire are racially homogenouswith entrance and exit polls showing that over 90 percent of the Democratic electorates in each state were white. In Nevada, the 2008 entrance poll data shows that 15 percent of Democratic caucus goers were Hispanic and another 15 percent were black. In South Carolina, 55 percent of Democratic primary voters were black, according to NBC News exit polls.
(More with charts in link)
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NBC Poll: Clinton maintains national lead after NH loss (Original Post)
MrWendel
Feb 2016
OP
Her lead continues to shrink, and Bernie continues to gain, even in this poll!
peacebird
Feb 2016
#1
peacebird
(14,195 posts)1. Her lead continues to shrink, and Bernie continues to gain, even in this poll!
MrWendel
(1,881 posts)2. Read the charts...
especially the part about African Americans (Especially Millennials).
peacebird
(14,195 posts)3. Can you please provide the link? It is not in the OP
Thanks!
KingCharlemagne
(7,908 posts)4. National polls mean ZILCH. Sanders and Clinton are TIED in
the most recent Nevada polling and Sanders is closing the gap in SC.
MrWendel
(1,881 posts)5. FIXED
Link is up with charts that tell the whole story.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)6. It looks like ...
Bernie will not be the nominee!!!