2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumUnexpectedly Good South Carolina Poll for Bernie Sanders - up to 41% (Highest Ever in SC) [Gravis]
SC Poll Result
With Gravis pro-Clinton house effect in mind, the result from Gravis for South Carolina is:
gravissc.png
The highest Sanders has yet polled in South Carolina, from a pollster that typically has underestimated Sanders' support
Given the fact that Gravis has understated Sanders support in its other polls, this must be taken as an unexpectedly good result for Sanders.
In fact, this 41% is the best result for Sanders so far in any poll ever taken in South Carolina.
Of course, it still has Clinton up by 18 points, which would be a substantial win for her.
But the race was never supposed to be that close especially in South Carolina, which should be one of Clintons strongest states.
Just a few months ago, Clinton was supposed to blow Sanders out in South Carolina by 30, 40, 50, or even 60 points.
But the trend, at least so far, has been consistently moving in one direction over time:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/2/15/1485693/-Unexpectedly-Good-South-Carolina-Poll-for-Bernie-Sanders-up-to-41-Highest-Ever-in-SC-Gravis
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)vercetti2021
(10,156 posts)A Nevada win will push him even closer.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)If he can win NV and get within the single digits in South Carolina then I think it would be considered a win.
uponit7771
(90,364 posts)... coalition Clinton lost with in 08 and the demos got worse for that coalition since 08 and somehow that's a good thing?
I'm not liking the way this is going