Today's Nate's 538 Primary Polls-Only Forecast: South Carolina-Hillary-99%, Bernie-1%

[Alfresco]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/south-carolina-democratic/#polls-only

According to our latest polls-only forecast, Hillary Clinton has an 99% chance of winning the South Carolina primary.

[hoosierlib]

1. Based on 1 poll in the last 3 weeks (i.e. prior to IA and NH)...

Lol...HRC has only one direction to go and that is down...

[mcar]

2. K&R

[-none]

3. Bernie is running on the issues.

Hillary is running on slimming Bernie, while saying "Me too" on Bernie's positions.
Who to vote for, or rather who to not vote for, is as obvious now as it was in 2008.

[SoLeftIAmRight]

4. State Education Ranking Shows Vermont #1, South Carolina Last

no surprise here - people who can think (Vermont) vote Sanders

South Carolina - not so much...

and - red state - who cares - it does not matter

[blue neen]

10. Um.

So, people who do not vote for Sanders will be considered incapable of even thinking.

Right-o!

[SoLeftIAmRight]

11. that is what you said - I said that...

State Education Ranking Shows Vermont #1, South Carolina Last

And suggest that better education shows results.

[blue neen]

12. You said: "people who can think (Vermont) vote Sanders"

At least be honest about what you actually said: That people who can think vote for Bernie Sanders.

More importantly, be honest about what you are implying. People who are educated, who can "think", will vote for Bernie.

Many people in this country cannot afford a college education, something that Sen. Sanders is addressing in his campaign. Meanwhile, you will disparage the uneducated, right here on DU.

Goodbye and good luck attracting people to the cause of Bernie Sanders by insulting their intelligence. He deserves better.

Over and out....................

[SoLeftIAmRight]

14. sure

I understand - truth hurts

PRINCETON, NJ -- Forty-six percent of Americans believe in the creationist view that God created humans in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years. The prevalence of this creationist view of the origin of humans is essentially unchanged from 30 years ago, when Gallup first asked the question. About a third of Americans believe that humans evolved, but with God's guidance; 15% say humans evolved, but that God had no part in the process.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/155003/Hold-Creationist-View-Human-Origins.aspx

Break out the tinfoil hats. A new poll reveals that a large number of Americans believe some pretty wild conspiracy theories. According to the survey by Public Policy Polling (PPP), 37 percent of American voters believe that global warming is a hoax, 28 percent believe in a secret agenda to create an authoritarian New World Order, 13 percent believe that President Obama is the antichrist, 7 percent think the moon landing was faked and 4 percent believe that shape-changing alien lizard people from another dimension secretly control our government. (Yeah, you read that one right.)

http://www.mnn.com/earth-matters/climate-weather/stories/poll-37-of-americans-believe-that-global-warming-is-a-hoax


1 In 4 Americans Thinks The Sun Goes Around The Earth, Survey Says
http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2014/02/14/277058739/1-in-4-americans-think-the-sun-goes-around-the-earth-survey-says

It goes on and on...

[mythology]

15. Wow, just wow

How did that work out for Adlai Stevenson?

[HereSince1628]

5. She needs to win big, Sanders needs significant minority support

by which I mean a percent around the low 40s. Neither of those things seems entirely certain at this time.

I'm more interested in NV, where we might get a sense of Hispanic support for Sanders. A big showing there could be yooge as a signal to what will happen in Texas on super-Tuesday

[NurseJackie]

6. What a wonderful thing to see today!! You know... this doesn't look ANYTHING AT ALL like 2008!! :-P

[speaktruthtopower]

7. Don't think he'll win..but I'd take those odds

[KingFlorez]

8. Those are some tremendous odds

[MoonRiver]

9. Wow, can't get any better than that!

[DemocraticSocialist8]

13. Something still tells me her lead there isn't as large as the recent poll suggests

It implied that Sanders has made up NO GROUND at all since IA and NH which is hard to believe and it's still likely that young voters were not very well represented. It's still a likely win for Clinton though.