TPC Research Nevada: Sanders 45%, Clinton 45%

[firebrand80]

Has anyone every heard of this pollster? I haven't.

http://freebeacon.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/nv-toplines.pdf


Edit: I'm looking at the questions, this looks like a pro-Bernie push poll.

[bravenak]

1. Nate Silver does not give them much weight, should check his site

[Le Taz Hot]

2. WTF?

What "pro-Bernie push poll?" Seriously, the only push polling for which we know has been from the Hillary side. Bernie doesn't waste campaign donations on such tripe. We have a nomination to win. Fairly.

On edit: Those are general election questions asked in virtually every poll. Those are not, by any stretch of the imagination, push-poll questions.

[firebrand80]

4. Read the questions at the link I posted nt

[Le Taz Hot]

6. I did and I updated my post.

[firebrand80]

7. This question, for example

Hillary Clinton supported the Wall Street bailout and big banks have given her over $1.6 million dollars in campaign contributions and speaking fees. Does this make you more or less likely to support her?

That's not the kind of question I usually see in polls

[MineralMan]

9. That is a push poll question.

You say something negative and then ask if it's negative. It's not a genuine poll question. Instead, it's a strategy to get people to think something. If that was one of the questions, the poll is worthless on its face.

[socialist_n_TN]

20. Why is that negative?.........

Is it or is it not the truth about HRC? How can just saying something truthful be "negative"?

[GummyBearz]

12. No its not

Which is sad because it should be.

[Cheese Sandwich]

3. In before Nevada doesn't matter

[Renew Deal]

5. Maddow thinks there will be no polls in NV

Because they have no idea who will show up to caucus. The best source of knowledge is John Ralston. He seems to know what's going on.

There was barely any polling in 2008: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nv/nevada_democratic_caucus-236.html

[closeupready]

11. In my opinion, polling outfits that refuse to poll Nevada are incompetent or pro-Hillary.

Pro-Hillary in the sense that if they knew their results were likely to show Hillary winning, they'd publish a poll; since Bernie is ahead in Nevada, they have to say that "polls can't be done in this state because" SCIENCE/X/HEMHORROIDS/WHATEVER.

[Renew Deal]

14. Do you think Maddow is lying to her viewers?

What about the 2008 pollsters? What about the NH pollsters that showed Sanders ahead?

They're not saying they can't be done. Maddow said she thinks that they can't be accurate? And there is no one on DU that would bet this poll is accurate either.

What makes NV different is that it's a caucus and in some cases people caucus at work. This can create some strange dynamics related to how comfortable people are in caucusing with their workers. Also, this is only the second contested caucus in the NV Democratic party's history.

[closeupready]

16. Maddow is pro-Hillary. Would she lie - no, I don't think so, but

would she play the willful ignorance game? Yes, I do think so.

[4139]

8. It's a republican research group...

http://www.targetpointconsulting.com/pages/executive_team


But are they any good?

[firebrand80]

10. thanks nt

[DemocratSinceBirth]

17. Wow.

http://www.targetpointconsulting.com/pages/clients









BTW, it's a push-poll...And the order of questions is key...They likely asked who would you vote for, after the tendentious questions, when proper polling demands you always ask who will you vote for first, as to not introduce bias into your poll.

If anybody wants me to I will be happy to elaborate with a common sense example.

[bettyellen]

18. republicans are push polling for Bernie? I hope to see the outrage all over GDP.

[sadoldgirl]

13. Caucus states are very difficult to poll.

Therefore I don't put any store into this.

[aikoaiko]

15. There is a real dirth of quality polling in NV.

FWIW:

[MrMickeysMom]

19. Wow... take a look at THAT graph...

Virtually closing the gap in a little over 9 months!

On thing you can say about Nevada is that the more truth is revealed about the candidate who wasn't supposed to matter, the more likely he WILL matter.

Bernie's the one, alright.

[aikoaiko]

21. It is a good overall trend, but there isn't much data behind the lines.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-nevada-democratic-presidential-caucus#!
[IMG][/IMG]