2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe establishment just negotiated a cease fire in Syria
Syria: cessation of hostilities 'within a week' agreed at Munich talks live
What we know so far
A cessation of hostilities is to come into force in Syria within a week, US secretary of state John Kerry has said.
In an agreement brokered between the US, Russia and other powers in Munich, a UN task force will work over the coming days to develop the modalities for a long-term, comprehensive and durable cessation of violence.
bjtHumanitarian aid is to be delivered to besieged areas across Syria in the next few days, with a working group to monitor progress meeting on Friday in Geneva.
The deal agreed by the 17-member International Syria Support Group called for full, sustained, and unimpeded access to people in the regions most affected by the conflict.
The cessation deal explicitly excludes Islamic State and al-Nusra front, against whom military action will continue.
Russia has not committed to end airstrikes, but repeated its insistence that it was targeting terrorist groups as the agreement permits. Foreign minister Sergei Lavrov, in a late-night press conference to announce the breakthrough, said:
Our airspace forces will continue working against these organisations
http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2016/feb/12/syria-ceasefire-agreed-munich-peace-talks-live
But who needs an establishment with knowledge of foreign policy, who takes the issue seriously enough to understand the actors in the region. Far better to have someone who considers foreign policy, a job that is a central component of the presidency, a mere distraction, not important enough to even assemble a foreign policy team to help prepare him for executing the job of president for which he expects the American public hire him.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/bernie-sanders-foreign-policy-deficit-218431
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)BainsBane
(53,066 posts)I am fascinated to know how you connect the dots.
Skwmom
(12,685 posts)tk2kewl
(18,133 posts)Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)BainsBane
(53,066 posts)that if the Obama had followed Clinton's advise and assisted the rebels after Assad was discovered to be using chemical weapons that ISIS might not exist today? The vacuum in Syria played a central role in their formation.
tk2kewl
(18,133 posts)war begets suffering.
BainsBane
(53,066 posts)Or if Malaki had not purged and massacred Sunnis after the US withdraw. That worked in combination with the Syrian uprising to enable ISIS to become so powerful.
But this cease fire is not about ISIS. It's between the anti-government Syrian rebels and Assad.
It is entirely possible--even likely--that Syrians would have risen up against Assad if the US had not invaded Iraq. Unlike Cheney and the rest of the neocons, I do not give them credit for the Arab Spring. I think people rise up against oppression because they've had enough, not because Cheney and Bush pull the levers in a neighboring nation.
tk2kewl
(18,133 posts)You've inspired me to post this http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511209442
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)She created this shit.
jfern
(5,204 posts)for the Iraq war, that ISIS wouldn't even exist.
Hillary said taking out Assad should be our top priority. It sounds like Obama ignored her.
BainsBane
(53,066 posts)Do you think Syrians would not have risen up against Assad if not for the US invasion of Iraq? Are you actually crediting the neocons for the Arab Spring?
berniepdx420
(1,784 posts)Are you supporting the Sunnis in the Sunni / Shia fight .. Isis is a Sunni organization funded mainly by Saudi Arabia.. We the left warned what would happen in the power vacuum that would be created from the Iraq war
BainsBane
(53,066 posts)not Iraq and not the 1950s. Try to stay on the subject.
However, reading between the lines it appears that you do in fact credit the neocon war for the Arab Spring.
berniepdx420
(1,784 posts)you .. If you don't think Iraq and Syria are intrinsically related then ..well I don't think this conversation will amount to much... to separate the two is just not possible... destabilization and CIA covert operations are the precursors to the uprising in Syria
oberliner
(58,724 posts)They were just CIA operations?
berniepdx420
(1,784 posts)the Syrian uprising..
BainsBane
(53,066 posts)It was an attempt to get you to answer the question. Evidently you believe people rise up, not because they are fed up with living under a brutal, murderous dictator but because of covert operations and destabilization. In their authentic state, Syrians would love nothing more than living under a notorious brutal dictator.
I think the CIA would be very interested to know how they were able to wield such influence in Syria since they have tried, unsuccessfully, to generate uprisings through covert action and destabilization efforts in the past. That, after all, was what Kissinger directed them to do in Chile under Allende. He famously said, "make the economy scream." They seceded in causing economic discontent, but not an uprising. That is why they sponsored a military coup.
They tried the same thing in Cuba. They thought they need only send US forces onto the Bay of Pigs and the people of Cuba would rise up to greet their American saviors. Only it didn't happened, and the Castros remain in power to this day.
Nor did it work in Nicaragua, despite significant CIA investment, not simply covert action but recruiting, training, and running opposition armed forces.
The CIA has never been able to engineer an uprising. You see, it's not easy to convince a population to risk their lives, their families, and their entire way of live to take up arms against their own government. To do so is to risk everything, which people only do when they feel they have no alternative. Instead, the CIA has resorted to coups, overthrowing what are usually democratically elected governments to replace them with dictators. Bernie himself has talked about some of those actions (not always accurately, but he has discussed them).
Additionally, there is no way you could have proof of any of this absent FOIA requests, for which it is decades too soon. But I realize evidence is irrelevant because the singular goal is to make complex international conflicts fit into a one-dimensional framework that requires no knowledge of the region, its history or actors but fits a woefully simplistic ideological agenda. It is not informed or persuasive. It is, however, perfectly in keeping with, what one academic has called, "the fetishization of not knowing" approach to foreign policy--and policy more generally--that is the heart of our current politics.
I must say I find it ironic that people who buy into campaign slogans about "revolution" are so contemptuous of actual social revolutions/movements when they see them.
m-lekktor
(3,675 posts)BainsBane
(53,066 posts)PonyUp
(1,680 posts)oasis
(49,408 posts)Glamrock
(11,802 posts)Now the establishment can get back to work on getting the TPP passed. (STILL SERIOUS)
Skwmom
(12,685 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)Thank GOODNESS for John Kerry.
jfern
(5,204 posts)bvf
(6,604 posts)how it will go: "Me too!"
JonLeibowitz
(6,282 posts)What major progress in international relations was achieved:
2009-2013: ??
2013-present: Paris climate talks, syrian ceasefire, Iran nuclear deal, Cuba.
What does it all mean..
jillan
(39,451 posts)Shame. He really has been an amazing Sec of State.
Luminous Animal
(27,310 posts)Like Iraq, a country which Hillary touted as a business opportunity on the backs of death, starvation, and homelessness Syria will be open for business.