2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHelp please! How does Sander plan to raise taxes with the congress we have?
Basically, everything he promises hinges on raising taxes on the wealthiest. Obama tried that and failed.
We know from past experience he has buckled under threat of a government shut down- why would this be different from Obama's attempts to raise taxes on the wealthy?
Will it take 8-16 years , with heavy Dem gains every two years to achieve this? That is literally the only way I can think of right now- but if I am missing something, please let me know.
What is the specific role of these "millions of engaged people" he hopes to utilize? I am trying to picture how a huge cultural and behavioral shift
Please note, this question is about methodology, not ideals- not about "trying" but about the how of doing it. Not about Hillary.
napi21
(45,806 posts)Both candidates have asked the American voters to give them a "friendly congress" in order to get their plans accomplished.. THEY NEED TO REPEATE THAT MESSAGE AT EVERY OPPORTUNTY.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)I heard Bernie is backing a slate of progressive candidates, but have not seen any details. I imagined it was for this elections cycle, but do not imagine it will have enough impact to change the game just yet.
boston bean
(36,221 posts)virtualobserver
(8,760 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)race out of state. My local area is full of thugs, I just can't be around them anymore.
Snotcicles
(9,089 posts)That movement has millions of eyes and ears and is growing everyday. With that amount of support from the voters it will make it very difficult to resists their demands, especially when they see their political ambitions are at risk.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Snotcicles
(9,089 posts)utilized to a much greater degree after the election. Rather than being squelched like it was by the Obama administration.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)And how many. I appreciate your response, Snots. May I call you Snots?
Snotcicles
(9,089 posts)Last edited Thu Feb 11, 2016, 09:27 PM - Edit history (1)
political direction. So the field of candidates you speak of will more than likely emerge on it's own.
I would fully expect to see competition among them for the prized positions that are most influential and self rewarding.
Yes you may call me Snots, bettyellen. I presume.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)great nation rendering all voters wise and kind in it's wake! Very interesting theory on a slate emerging. I do appreciate your input!
Snotcicles
(9,089 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Snotcicles
(9,089 posts)to the point of revulsion. For me anyway. But I have had my mind made up for a long time.
Sorry, I clocked out of DU before you posted last night. I hope you are having a good Friday.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)most part they acknowledge their platforms are very very similar. I know we find the devil in the details here, but it is nice to see a lot of alignment in goals. I think they are being reasonably restrained and I am proud of them both for it.
Have a great weekend, Snots!
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)help us gain control of, even a majority, in the Senate, many more seats in the House, a couple more governorships than otherwise, and hundreds of state offices, including judgeships. Some from the far left here hate her, and many strong and extreme conservatives hate her, but by far most Democrats and many independents like and respect her. And we'll find out later how many mainstream conservatives may turn to her for lack of a viable GOPcandidate,
berningman
(144 posts)Maybe I'm mis-remembering but all Obama had to do was veto any bill from Congress and let the bush tax cuts expire. Maybe Bernie can do that.
Hekate
(90,714 posts)berningman
(144 posts)so Obama didnt sign an extention of dumbers tax cuts? and a veto wouldnt have at least forced another vote to override? im afraid even obamacare aint gonna fix that kinda willful ignorance.
Lisa D
(1,532 posts)On Fri Feb 12, 2016, 02:12 PM an alert was sent on the following post:
Sorry about your amnesia. I'll bet Obamacare has a treatment for that.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1205138
REASON FOR ALERT
This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.
ALERTER'S COMMENTS
Mild, but a personal attack nonetheless.
You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Fri Feb 12, 2016, 02:19 PM, and the Jury voted 1-6 to LEAVE IT.
Juror #1 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #2 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: A true statement of concern with appropriately helpful advice for seeking treatment. Amnesia isn't really a personal attack. I heard a great description of it but, well, now I can't remember it.
Juror #3 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: way too mild to hide in this contentious climate. fight it out!
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Really?
Juror #5 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Of course it's too mild to be taken up with any sort of hide. But it didn't stop you from alerting, on the off chance the jury is loaded up with Bernie supporters who would hide a Hillary supporter. Grow up and start alerting the real, over the top insults instead.
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Thank you very much for participating in our Jury system, and we hope you will be able to participate again in the future.
Hekate
(90,714 posts)Is this a great country, or what?
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Pathway of getting progressive ideas enacted. We have to vote everytime there are congressional members up for election. The Republicans vote, the downfall is on the Democratic side. Democratic president and a Democratic Congress.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)disappointed with my estimated timeline. And perhaps I am too much of a pessimist, so I am asking here if there is a quicker path.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)They are thinking perhaps getting the Senate back this year bit we need 60 democrats to insure passages of bills in the Senate. It will probably take a few election cycles.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)napi21
(45,806 posts)The only race we're hearing a lot about right now is Presidential, very little about house & senate ones. IF people's hatred descends to their Reps & Sens (which I think it does), they 2016 could be THE TIME! The reason I believe in this theory is because of the ratings this congress has had for a LONG TIME.
RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)We give Bernie 2 years in office and then we give him a Bernieful congress!
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Would we be planning a full slate of new and much more progressive candidates all across the country?
Is that the part the "millions" need to play?
jeff47
(26,549 posts)Depends on how fast demographic changes travel, and much more importantly, it depends on what the President is saying he wants to do with that Congress.
"I won't change much" will not change Congress much.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)not inspirational stuff.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)Turnout is shitty because we don't give voters something to vote for. We give them "vote against Republicans, we'll only enact some of their policies!".
That "inspirational stuff" is how you get disaffected and young voters to actually show up.
How fast will it work? Don't know. It's not easy to predict the next midterms when we haven't even had this election yet.
But have you paid any attention to how our past strategy of being "realistic" has lost us more seats than ever before?
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)which sounded reasonable. One person thought colleges would just become free in 2017, and that sparked the discussion.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)But that is very unlikely.
My personal guess is 4-8....but it won't be a liberal enough Congress to pass the hardest-to-pass parts. That'll take more like 8-12.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)I had this weekend. I find myself prefacing everything with "I know this does not sound sexy, but realistically..." Not a "fun" role, but I feel you got to be upfront about it. Our nation is massively fucked up, and we forget it sometimes in our blue oasis over here.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)The ship of state is slow to turn. It took Gingrich to finish Reagan's plan.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Databuser
(58 posts)In my opinion, it goes like this: Bernie's voters will
1. Run thousands of Progressives in the 2018 elections - Fed, State, Local.
2. Show up, Vote them In.
3. Shift the balance of power to Bernie-style Democrats, distinct and not associated with the DNC, Dinos, or Wall Street Owners.....
and 4. Begin writing Law to begin implementing Bernie's policies
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)Sanders is campaigning on a platform that is bigger than one person -- his campaign is a movement to empower the majority of the voters to elect a Congress who will support the sort of progressive goals that a majority of the voters -- EVEN A MAJORITY OF REPUBLICANS -- favor.
FDR's Congress didn't want to pass the New Deal, and the 1960s Congress did not want to pass (and didn't pass) JFK's New Frontier until LBJ rammed it through a reluctant Congress as the Great Society. Reagan's Congress didn't want to pass his (bullshit) domestic agenda, either.
Sanders plans to do what FDR, JFK-LBJ (and the flip side of that coin, Reagan) did. He will push his platform to show the voters that the need to support a Congress that will not stand against the voters' wishes.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)get money out of politics in less than two years so those elections will mean something?
I heard something like 8-10 to undo the gerrymandering advantage.
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)accomplish Clinton's proposed platform, either.
FDR, JFK/LBJ, and Reagan didn't start out with the "we've already lost" view that Clinton has adopted.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Control-Z
(15,682 posts)I've wondered and wondered about the same things as you.
Is he telling college students that he'll expect them to stop whatever they're doing to join the revolution? Or will it all take place on the internet? Do any of them plan to continue in politics after the election? How many have even basic knowledge of how our government works? Or how many will vote and then sit back and wait for their free tuition?
I don't think these kids have a clue. And that's the saddest part of all. They are getting a very distorted view of American government. There will be a lot of disappointment going around if somehow Sanders wins.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)for the takeover. I'm wondering what the biggest potential rout of congress actually is.
Beacool
(30,250 posts)Sanders repeated his strategy again on the Colbert show last night. When Colbert asked him how did he intend to pass his agenda through Congress, Sanders gave his standard answer. He expects millions of people to uprise and start a political revolution. Colbert quoted John Kennedy and asked whether the revolution could become violent. Sanders responded that he hoped not.
We live in interesting times......
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)slate of progressive candidates will take millions of people at least ...8 years?
I'd love to hear what executive actions could be taken, there would need to be some good ones, to keep people from losing interest.
Beacool
(30,250 posts)Can we all say gridlock?
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)I wish we could impeach Scalia and somehow get that perv Thomas to resign.
Hekate
(90,714 posts)Shit, I am sorry I missed that.
Vinca
(50,276 posts)One exception, of course. If Hillary is elected and does what Bill did - signed legislation crafted by Republicans - she'll get something done, although it's unlikely to be anything we want done. Nothing will be accomplished until Congress changes and that won't happen until the next census and it still won't happen unless Democrats are in charge of state governments and can redraw the gerrymandered districts. We have a totally dysfunctional government for the near future no matter which Democrat wins the election. If a Republican wins, it's still dysfunctional but we're totally screwed.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)I think that was my guess this weekend, and why I was saying there would be very little accomplished Sanders first term.
I wonder specifically what Sanders thinks he can accomplish alone- aka/ his first term? That would be interesting.
Vinca
(50,276 posts)Unless you agree with the Republicans (which means you're crazy) they won't bring things up for a vote in the House and will filibuster them in the Senate. It would happen to any Democratic president.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)arely staircase
(12,482 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)arely staircase
(12,482 posts)you know, Bernie.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)HA!
arely staircase
(12,482 posts)Hang in there. SC is right around the corner.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)upaloopa
(11,417 posts)Capital building and demand things.
I think I heard that in a recent debate.
Congress critters are going to look out their windows and the revolution will be staring back at them.
LondonReign2
(5,213 posts)upaloopa
(11,417 posts)Who ever is the next President will face the same obstacles.
I think while waiting for the revolution to shape up Bernie will work to build on President Obama's work. Like the ACA for example. Bernie will work to improve it as would Hillary.
Single payer will take many years to pass. I doubt Bernie will sit on his hands waiting for the right time.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)I think it is crucial- as Bernie said the other day- that we end up on the same side this November.
LondonReign2
(5,213 posts)Bernie is aware of this and admits as much.
It will be a long process. But, either we start the process of turning this country to the left and back to the middle or we continue our long rightward slide.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Andy823
(11,495 posts)That's only if Democrats actually get out in large numbers to vote every two years. The problem may be that if nothing gets done in the first 2 years, people will get upset and not turn out to vote after that. If the voters don't turn out, then it could take a lot longer, if at all.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)will make a huge difference. The RW influence has been too strong, even during the Clinton and Obama years. It has cause a lot of set backs.
LondonReign2
(5,213 posts)It's been a 35+ year journey since Reagan began the rightward march. I don't know how long it will take to get back to equilibrium, but we need to start.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Thanks for your thoughtful reply.
Odin2005
(53,521 posts)I'm so fucking sick of this talking point.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)JimDandy
(7,318 posts)I am sick of having my question to Hillary supporters ignored, too: What are Hillary's specific acomplishments that were geared toward helping Blacks? Just a simple list will do.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)so you are barking up the wrong tree this evening! This tree belongs to people who can break down Bernie;s vision into actionable steps. Can you?
BlueStateLib
(937 posts)Odin2005
(53,521 posts)Nothing progressive will get passed, no matter who is president. So what Hillary REALLY means is that she will give us Republican-lite BULLSHIT.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Odin2005
(53,521 posts)So I don't care about what you think is on or off topic.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Not sure why you decided to post here then. Classy.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)estimated time frames? I think we are at an average of 10 years now.
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)There is very little chance the house flips anytime soon.
Bernie would either be a do-nothing President that gives thrilling and rousing speeches (which would apparently be fine for many) or he'd have to compromise (eew! evil word!)
There's a reason President Obama has essentially endorsed Hillary:
"Clinton and Sanders have sparred in Democratic debates over who is the true progressive, with Clinton arguing that progressivism is about results, and Sanders arguing that its about principle. Obama, who appointed Clinton his first secretary of state after defeating her in the 2008 Democratic primary, seemed on Wednesday to clearly fall on the Clinton side of the ideological divide. He said that labels, such as not a real progressive which Sanders has used against Clinton are damaging to the national discourse.
Said Obama: So when I hear voices in either party boast of their refusal to compromise as an accomplishment in and of itself, Im not impressed. All that does is prevent what most Americans would consider actual accomplishments, like fixing roads, educating kids, passing budgets, cleaning our environment, making our streets safe
It cuts both ways, guys.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/obama-clinton-speech_us_56bb9af7e4b08ffac123b6bc
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)both candidates would do well to emulate Obama.
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)Response to bettyellen (Original post)
BlueStateLib This message was self-deleted by its author.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)tell people their questions about process do not matter?
Response to bettyellen (Original post)
wyldwolf This message was self-deleted by its author.
JustAnotherGen
(31,828 posts)Yurovsky
(2,064 posts)1. Coattails. If Bernie can bring out enough energized voters, the House or Senate or both could flip. Don't say it can't happen, because after 1994 I'll never say never in terms of Congressional politics.
2. As much as I despise the man, Reagan got almost all of what he wanted with the opposition party controlling the House for his entire presidency, and the Senate flip-flopping, IIRC. He had broad support, and many in the opposition were afraid to cross him if they were in a competitive district. I realize a lot has changed since then, but if Bernie wins big, there will be pressure on congress to do something. If Congress doesn't flip in 2016, it might in 2018.
As for Hillary, I'm sure she and the GOP will get along just fine when it comes to protecting Wall Street & the super rich. There will be conflict on reproductive rights, and perhaps some other cultural & human rights issues. But the status quo of the American economy will be maintained. Goldman Sachs loves Hillary. They are scared to death of Bernie.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Anyway, thanks very much for the first two paragraphs outing your thoughts. Your forgiven for ignoring my request to stay on topic with the third, LOL.
Hekate
(90,714 posts)Magic.
The magic wand that Obama was supposed to have (and never did) to fulfill all the promises he was said to have made (and never did) was snatched away and given to Senator Sanders. For real this time -- because unlike Obama, Sanders is actually promising the Moon and Stars.
Just you wait. It's going to be wonderful.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Or is this a "never gonna happen"?
Thanks for your reply!
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)and yet you still stick your fingers in your ears hoping to not understand.
Trajectory is the only word I will give you
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)I didn't know that- please educate us!
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Revolution.
Yeah and he wants to sell you the Brooklyn Bridge also.
onecaliberal
(32,863 posts)results hold with all of the new voters, even the gerrymandering isn't going to help some of them. Some states have had the courts step in and are making them redraw the maps. The point is, we're never going to do anything if we never try that is certain. I am done sitting around waiting for someone to help. We are the ones we've been waiting for Bernie is our last chance, if we don't support, we are fucked, period.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)about what we can do in the meantime - 6-10 years?- to keep the enthusiasm going!
Any word on executive actions or other actions that can be taken before congress goes Dem again?
onecaliberal
(32,863 posts)It has taken time, but several of them have come out unconstitutional.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)In the meantime- thank you for taking the time to weigh in.