The race isn't going to tighten much after yesterday

[TexasCPA]

Democracy Corps, a Democratic firm, conducted a debate group with Women's Voices Women Vote Action Fund, with 45 independent voters in Denver. Among the group, 42 percent said Romney won, while 20 percent thought Obama won, and 38 percent said neither candidate did. One-third said they were likely to vote for Obama, compared with 31 percent before the debate. Forty-four percent said they backed Romney, up from 27 percent pre-debate.

The group showed Romney's favorability went up, from 41 percent before the debate, to 77 percent after. Obama's favorability gained three percentage points. Romney overtook Obama in being seen as a strong leader, and gained points in being seen as better able to handle the economy, and having a clear vision for the country. He made no headway on looking after the middle class, or understanding issues important to voters.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/04/presidential-debate-polls_n_1938021.html?utm_hp_ref=elections-2012


Basically, Romney picks up 16% of the undecideds and Obama gained 2% of the undecideds who watched the debate.

[TexasCPA]

1. Democracy Corps detail

http://www.democracycorps.com/In-the-News/romney-has-a-good-night-but-no-evidence-of-changing-the-game/

[regnaD kciN]

2. An 8:1 pickup among undecideds isn't going to tighten the race???

God, I'd love to have some of what you're smoking.

[TexasCPA]

3. Here is my math

1) Assume 33% watched the debate.
2) Assume 10% of voters are undecided.

33%x10%X18% = .6% for Romney
33%x10%x2%= .1% for Obama.

Net pickup is about 0.5%.

[Cosmocat]

4. We will see, but I tend to agree

It will help to juice up a complete deflated base - no new votes, but more energy and that helps. It will help some R leaners commit.

That is it. I won't lose Obama any votes, and it possibly will push some left leaners to Obama because of how obnoxious (and lying) Romney was.

It might effect some of the general vote totals, but it won't do much at all with swing states.

The media wanted a horse race, they wanted BADLY to say Romney won. Because of the tone of it, they got the rationale to scream it. For whatever reason, democrats helped them.