Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
Thu Feb 11, 2016, 11:07 AM Feb 2016

African Americans are estimated to be 22% of all Democratic voters in the primaries

Setting aside delegates, individual states etc, let's just talk about the ability to win without gaining support from this block.

Here, let's be ultra-conservative. Let's say that throughout the nomination fight Clinton only wins AA support by 30% (65-35). Good job by Bernie! He made some serious inroads! But, in overall total votes that puts him at a 6.6% deficit that will be almost impossible to make up based on how other demographics have split.

So Bernie needs to quickly, really quickly, figure this puzzle out...and how to walk that very thin line of sharing his platform without alienating voters that he so desperately needs.

4 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
African Americans are estimated to be 22% of all Democratic voters in the primaries (Original Post) Godhumor Feb 2016 OP
This is an interesting observation. potone Feb 2016 #1
They haven't met him yet RobertEarl Feb 2016 #2
The videos that could win Bernie many votes from oppressed poor blacks AZ Progressive Feb 2016 #3
That 'ultra-conservative' estimate is not even conservative. Kentonio Feb 2016 #4

potone

(1,701 posts)
1. This is an interesting observation.
Thu Feb 11, 2016, 11:16 AM
Feb 2016

As a Bernie supporter, I am distressed at what I sometimes read here about his lack of support among POC and the reasons for it; but you are right, he needs to do better outreach to non-white communities. I just am not sure how he should go about it, since it seems to me that he has been addressing some of their concerns more explicitly and directly than he did at the beginning of his campaign. Maybe there just is not enough time to change the impression that some people have that he doesn't care about social justice issues, only economic ones. Maybe, too, the support for Hillary among some PoC communities is simply too entrenched for him to change their minds. I just don't know, but I would like to hear other people's views on what he could and should do that is consistent with his beliefs.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
2. They haven't met him yet
Thu Feb 11, 2016, 11:51 AM
Feb 2016

Once they meet him and get to know him they'll vote for him, just like everyone else has. Besides there is this bit of historical context:

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s stunning 22-point loss to Sen. Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire is even more devastating when looked at in the context of the modern history of this first-in-the-nation primary: No one has ever lost by such a margin and gone on to win the presidency.



AZ Progressive

(3,411 posts)
3. The videos that could win Bernie many votes from oppressed poor blacks
Thu Feb 11, 2016, 12:01 PM
Feb 2016




You just can't imagine anyone else having the passion that Bernie has on this issue.
 

Kentonio

(4,377 posts)
4. That 'ultra-conservative' estimate is not even conservative.
Thu Feb 11, 2016, 12:07 PM
Feb 2016

I also dont see how you're reading the rest of the split. What other demographic other than 65+ is she holding firm with?

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»African Americans are est...