2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumENOUGH IS ENOUGH with the damn superdelegates!
look, hillary lost huge last night, and i can understand the disappointment of her supporters. but posting thread after thread telling us how many super (unpledged) delegates intend to vote for her at the convention is a self soothing, but meaningless, exercise.
the unpledged delegates will come around to support the winner of the greater number of pledged delegates (representing the people's vote). their careers depend on it. the future of the democratic party, which is already in trouble, depends on it. the general election depends on it. the idea that the supers will subvert the will of the people, at a public convention, with all the antiestablishment energy out there, is ludicrous.
just stop. time to celebrate or console ourselves, depending on who we support, and move on with an honest and fair process.
merrily
(45,251 posts)After November 2016, getting rid of them should be a priority.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)that is, whoever among them is not veep
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)Response to merrily (Reply #1)
Post removed
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)The barrage of self certain attack rhetoric seems silly when you are attacking something no one has said.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)Bjornsdotter
(6,123 posts)After November 2016, getting rid of them should be a priority.
Never mentions Sanders, does not say in the middle of the contest.
Reading comprehension: Fail
LondonReign2
(5,213 posts)jeff47
(26,549 posts)Self-preservation is a very strong instinct in politicians.
It's why Superdelegate John Lewis changed his vote from Clinton to Obama in 2008. His district voted overwhelmingly for Obama, and he want to continue to be elected.
Those NH superdelegates who said they would vote for Clinton now have a political problem. Sanders just won by the largest margin in NH primary history. If they help throw the nomination to Clinton when Sanders has more pledged delegates, they lose their next election.
They will not make noises now, in the hope that Clinton wins more pledged delegates. But their votes are not at all locked-in.
A Simple Game
(9,214 posts)Sounds like you think Bernie should owe and want to collect favors and votes from other politicians and donors instead of taking issues on their merits and what is best for the Country. That's not why Bernie supporters support Bernie, it's because he doesn't do that.
We want our politicians owing all of the American people not just other politicians and big donors.
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)A Simple Game
(9,214 posts)not because you owe somebody a favor.
warmonger456
(16 posts)You do understand that just because a User has a picture of Bernie Sanders as their avatar, doesn't mean it's actually Bernie Sanders himself posting.
Do you?
Try again without the Straw Man attack.
sulphurdunn
(6,891 posts)and been banned from the 'Hillary Group' for comments more factual and less incendiary. The phrase 'sanctimonious ideologue' aptly applies to someone like Ted Cruz. Speaking in generalities is something Sanders does less than any other candidate, and I'm unsure which group he wishes to lead and insults.
Paulie
(8,462 posts)It was a youuuge loss!
We need to work harder and help Bernie pull wins in NV and SC. We do that and those supers will flip so fast it will be Hillary like on an issue.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)Paulie
(8,462 posts)Like a blue whale!
jwirr
(39,215 posts)NV primary and what the final totes were last night? Been reading all morning and have not seen the answer to either question.
jwirr
(39,215 posts)leveymg
(36,418 posts)If the Democratic machine thwarts the popular will at the Convention, the Party is kaput.
Dustlawyer
(10,495 posts)A line in the sand will be drawn. If they use the Super Delagates to change the outcome from Bernie to Hillary there will be a yuuuuge exodus from the Democratic Party and Hillary will lose anyway! I would hate to see that happen for many reasons, not the least of which would be handing the White House to the Republicans.
-none
(1,884 posts)Do we really want that. I think not.
itsrobert
(14,157 posts)Posting about super delegates. Many repeat the same things you say.
KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)getting her ass handed to her via Obama about 8 years ago?
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)obama won fair and square 8 yrs ago, and the supers changed to support the winner. the same thing will happen this time.
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)And I also didn't miss the movement among superdelegates to Obama, when the picture among the voters became clearer.
If the superdelegate count exceeds the margin between candidates, and bucks the majority of pledged delegates, it would not be good for the party.
The superdelegate concept was intended to avoid deadlock, not reverse the result.
whatchamacallit
(15,558 posts)john978
(29 posts)jberryhill
(62,444 posts)Look, I'm well acquainted with rules that don't play out well.
What I find irritating is that folks who didn't know how this works from the outset, are now engaging in motive-questioning as to why the superdelegates were instituted in the first place.
The world is full of rules and procedures which were well-intended, and end up with undesirable results.
At the end of the day, in 2008 it was assumed for quite some time that Hillary's support among superdelegates would overwhelm the difference in delegates won in the primary caucuses/elections. There was also the matter of Michigan and Florida being excluded from being counted among the delegates won, because those state's parties had bucked the DNC on scheduling their primary.
So the argument came down to whether Clinton had been "cheated" out of delegates she would likely have won in Michigan and Florida, and what drama would ensue if the entire caucus/election process had been for naught.
Ultimately, enough of the superdelegates were persuaded that (a) Obama was viable in the general election and (b) it would do more harm than good for the superdelegates to go against the majority which emerged from the caucuses/elections.
We are WAY too early to see how the rest of the contests are going to shape up. Personally, I strongly prefer Sanders as a candidate, but reaching for the pitchforks and torches at this point is premature.
CentralMass
(15,265 posts)Regarding the super delegates.
I'll take MA as an ecample. Hillary had lead Senator Obama by double digits through out the primary in MA and won the MA by double digits. Yet out of MA's 28 super delegates 13 pledged to Senator Obama, 11 pledged to Hillary and 4 opted not to commit to either.
Several of our more prominent super D', Senators Kennedy and Kerry campaigned for Senator Obama prior to our primary despite the state polls showing Hillary with a commanding lead in state polls.
This was a tightly contested race, the party chose to throw out or divvy up the votes cast Michigan and Florida and the super D votes were instrumental in pushing Senator Obama over the top at the convention. The super d's in any of the state's should not have been pledging their votes for the candidate that dId not win their states primary.
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)See, there it is.
Who was it that did the robbing?
I was playing a game of Monopoly the other day, and I got robbed by landing on New York Avenue, where someone had put in a hotel.
The problem is, the rules of the game were the rules of the game before we started playing the game.
I wanted to change the rules at that point, but nobody agreed and I got robbed by the guy who had the hotel on New York Avenue.
"the party chose to throw out or divvy up the votes cast Michigan and Florida"
No... those state party organizations decided to conduct primaries that weren't sanctioned by the national party.
DRI
(24 posts)That would make sense. As it is now they are there to help thwart the will of the people.
bbgrunt
(5,281 posts)jberryhill
(62,444 posts)They were not added to "thwart the will of the people". They were added to avoid the potential for a brokered convention in the event that no one among a field of candidates obtains the necessary threshold.
Given that they are elected D officials, then there were indeed "people" who willed that they be elected for something as a D.
How it plays out is yet to be seen, but ascribing dark motives to everything under the sun is no way to live.
OriginalGeek
(12,132 posts)I just saw them a couple months ago - great show!
(admittedly off-topic post but your username is one of my favorite bands so I had to comment even if that's not where you got the name from)
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)it's pretty obvious they don't care about what the people want.
TheBlackAdder
(28,205 posts).
If those super delegates venture too far away from popular support--it reinforces a "rigged system."
Those HRC oaths are NO DIFFERENT than those Grover Norquist Tax Pledges that take power away from politicians.
If there is a huge disparity between super delegates and the populous, Political Illegitimacy results.
I'm sure there are DEMs who hold the scorched earth, win at all costs mentality that permeates the GOP.
So the destruction of the democratic process, the alienation of the Democratic base, is just a byproduct.
.
moriah
(8,311 posts)It was a farking disaster in 2008 and I pray we learned from our mistakes and states won't try to jump the gun on primaries.
We also had a very cherished candidate have a personal scandal released during the pre-primaries, so no way for him to bow out gracefully and tell his supporters his choice, whoever that would have been, or to decide where to allocate his pledged delegates. Since he was trying to play the "Deny deny deny" game, even though he hadn't admitted it or it been proven, he knew it would eventually be proven true. He endorsed Obama only very late.
It wasn't really superdelegates that won the primary, nor should it ever be. Remember, while Hillary did question, legitimately, how delegates from Florida and Michigan should be delegated -- of course she wanted them counted, because she did well, but still wouldn't have gotten more pledged delegates than Obama even if they hadn't been penalized by half, if you were fair and gave the total sum of uncommitted to Obama in MI and Hillary the advantage of Edwards not being on either ballot for Florida.
moriah
(8,311 posts)Pastiche423
(15,406 posts)Very cherished? Is this sarcasm or fantasy?
moriah
(8,311 posts)Him dropping out without an endorsement affected the race before rumors were officially admitted by anyone.
Pastiche423
(15,406 posts)Johnny Boy was not cherished. I am thrilled that the real Johnny Boy finally was displayed for all to see.
DUbeornot2be
(367 posts)...ignore the fact that, much like the entire establishment, they threw their support behind her when there was no serious optuon in the race... So yeah, of course she had lined up the super delegates... Just like she lined up the 1/4 million dollar speeches... Remember... She was inevitable.
No way the supers ignore the political reality if they want to remain relevant.
Hillary is almost done as a politician. No reason to worry about enemy lists anymore...
moriah
(8,311 posts)There's a reason they're called "unpledged delegates" officially.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)some are fixing it, but they shouldn't have to. they know better.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)Avalux
(35,015 posts)I know it's the only thread of hope her supporters have right now, but counting chickens before they're hatched is folly.
leftupnorth
(886 posts)Tells you pretty much all you need to know about those that cling to that hope.
disillusioned73
(2,872 posts)We got some nervous folk around these parts..
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)i was just banned from hillary group for taking issue with such an undemocratic process.
number 498....i am hanging with 497 of the best!
Old Codger
(4,205 posts)Took ya long time, I was banned after one miner little slip(by their standards) didn't even realize I was there...
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)i put something up the other day, that, while fair imo, was critical of clinton. i guess no one noticed.
seems that some are very touchy about those supers..
Old Codger
(4,205 posts)A bout a hell of a lot of things what got me banned was pretty light weight questioning the truth of a lie someone had posted, I actually put a link to the truth and that got me banned.. not a lot to miss really, don't have anything good to say about hill except that I am happy she is losing..
Took a quick peek a while ago and the excuses are flying left and right, the main theme seems to be that they expected to lose so no big deal...
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)which will only prove to disappoint
Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)But, I don't give a shit.
Not a lot to care about over in camp weather vane
SammyWinstonJack
(44,130 posts)Anti-Establishment
(11 posts)We PEONS have no say in who will represent us.
http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/new-hampshire
Makes me so mad I could just scream
longship
(40,416 posts)Here's some real spin!
But, basically the same thing.
TBF
(32,062 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)They can't let go of that "unelectable" meme.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)Hell yes! My fave was some comment over at the H Cave that was something like:
"Either way, it's a win for Democrats!"
Well, Duh.... it's the Dem primary!
Do they think it's the General already???
and
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)jalan48
(13,869 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)i think they will go right up to the line and eventually back off. they won't have much choice.
jalan48
(13,869 posts)If Bernie appears to win the popular vote but loses on Super Delegates I think the shit will hit the fan. We've moved past the let's all agree to disagree stage at that point.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)speaktruthtopower
(800 posts)but you could argue that prematurely committed superdelegates are placing their own political interests ahead of the party.
DRI
(24 posts)The last time a major grassroots candidate (My apologies to our President but I always viewed him as the person that should be our nominee after his perch in 2004) rose up to challenge and defeat the Democratic Party establishment was in 1972. After that the party put in Superdelegate process to prevent a McGovern from happening again.
jwirr
(39,215 posts)elements refused to work with him. That had better not happen this time. Because this is the primary and we still have a choice in the general. If the party wants to survive they will learn to play nice.
OnlinePoker
(5,721 posts)Last night, 24 delegates were up for grabs via the ballot. Around 250,000 voted on the Democratic side so each delegate was worth about 10,400 voters. NH has 8 Supers, which means the party has decided each of those individuals are worth the same as 10,400 people. It's time to get democracy back in the Democratic Party and get rid of the fiasco of Superdelegates.
procon
(15,805 posts)It seems as though the OP did not understand the nominating process and has only now learned how important Superdelegates will be at the convention. Now, because the opposition candidate seems to have an edge, it's suddenly a diabolical plot and dire consequences will follow their votes unless they comply with the OPs demands.
Holds breath.
Awaits outcome.
No eye-rolling.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)the delegate winner will be the nom
bookmark it..
Merryland
(1,134 posts)And it's SO gratifying to see that my Democratic party is becoming democratic again...
Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)Go with that.
Superdelagates don't matter. That 350+ edge Clinton has is a phantom. Those Democratic Party leaders will certainly jump ship to the Dem socialist who has been a Dem for never.
I'm sure that will happen.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)The party will be just fine with party candidates.
But, by all means, go with that belief. Best wishes
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Those "party candidates" need votes.
Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)In fact, a majority.
But, again, go with it.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)"Go with it". You keep repeating yourself. Are you related to Marco Rubio?
Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)They are so representative.
His numbers will SOAR in the south. They just haven't met the real Bernie yet. I'm sure.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)That's silly.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)No wonder he won New Hampshire by 22%.
Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)I'm sorry majority white, liberal NH. You aren't representative of the national Democratic party as a whole. But, you are good people and you are really neato.
Lord. This silliness is amazing.
TIME TO PANIC
(1,894 posts)Tarc
(10,476 posts)scottie55
(1,400 posts)Where they get most of their campaign cash.
Gonna be a tough call for them.
ismnotwasm
(41,986 posts)MisterP
(23,730 posts)that should give some pause
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)MisterP
(23,730 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)Gothmog
(145,291 posts)If the Super Delegates deem that Sanders will be a danger to down ballot candidates, then you can not expect these delegates to support Sanders
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)as well as usher in the end of the dem party.
StevieM
(10,500 posts)The SDs were introduced as part of the plan to make PR voting mandatory.
Without the super delegates, and the rules changes to the pledged delegates that accompanied them, Hillary would have won the nomination eight years ago.
To be fair, though, Obama would have run a different campaign under those circumstances. How it would have turned out we will never know.
In the mean time, Benie has yet to win all those states and delegates that his supporters are anticipating he will win.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)but it's pretty crappy of hillarys team to keep pushing the supers like it matters. the only point would be to demoralize and discourage people from voting, which is clearly not going to happen.
the supers will support the winner, whoever that is, as they should.
StevieM
(10,500 posts)But I don't see how she is pushing them, or even talking about them much at all.
You say they don't matter, but the rules and precedent from history say something else.
I don't agree that if one candidate gets 1002 PDs and the other gets 1001 PDs then the guy with 1002 is guaranteed the nomination. It is totally reasonable for delegates to look at things like who won the most votes, the most states, the most congressional districts, and who won what you might call the electoral college map.
At any rate, both candidates are completely focused on the upcoming primaries and caucuses. They are both focused on the voters.
I don't understand how Sanders supporters are seeing a dirty campaign. By all metrics this is one of the cleanest campaigns I have ever seen. I am very proud of both of our candidates (as well as O'Malley before he dropped out).
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)that refuses to allow an audit, a rigged debate schedule.
gonna have to disagree with you on the "clean factor."
as to the supers, i doubt it will be one vote apart. it will be enough that one candidate may not have enough to clinch it, but it will be pretty clear who the people want.
that is when the supers have to decide how important the ge, the future of the party, and their own jobs, are to them.
Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)They are the party leaders.
They are the top representatives of the party.
They get more of a say in who represents the party.
If they don't want a Democratic Socialist who hasn't been a Democrat during his tenure in office as their nominee then so be it.
The Democratic Socialist party can nominate him.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)Bernie should never have been allowed to run as a Democrat.
Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)But he and his supporters don't need to cry about the rules.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)or the dems can kiss of the ge and the future of their party for generations.
Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)And if the general public agrees then that person will be president.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)As I watch the wailing and gnashing of teeth in GD-P as Sanders loses state after state.
It'll be fun.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)The party is locked and loaded. Count on it.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)sellitman
(11,606 posts)That's the final count it seems. The Superdelegates were already committed to Hillary. The popular vote be dammed.
CentralMass
(15,265 posts)WhaTHellsgoingonhere
(5,252 posts)The media is in the tank for Hillary, all distortion. They report it as if they are final rather than they are not final until the convention and can switch from their current pledge.
Hopefully, all this shit backfires and rather than suppressing turnout (Hillary's the only Dem who wants to suppress turnout) and turnout is massive!
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)Response to restorefreedom (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
BainsBane
(53,035 posts)You need to get involved . . .
Oh, I see. Pardon me. You don't want to change the process. You just want to control what American citizens are allowed to say in public.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)under president sanders and a new dnc chair, supers will be buh bye
cascadiance
(19,537 posts)I don't recall in past elections how super delegate totals were already shown as cast as if they were "committed" in the primary summary pages. Since they are doing it, perhaps we could put added pressure on those super delegates that want to commit their votes early to subvert the democratic process of the primaries.
If we can force any paper or site that publishes super delegate totals that they have to have some form of link or accompanying text that show which super delegates have committed their votes and to whom, and who have remained uncommitted, along with their state.
That way, it will be an added pressure to super delegates not to commit to early before they know how their constituents will vote or risk being voted out of office. And you could rationalize it that many who remain uncommitted want to make sure they are identified as being more observant of an electoral process and holding off their votes until the convention so that they use it only for "correcting" things then (ie. if the winner gets a terminal illness or gets in trouble with the law, etc.). By having the votes not identified, then those that remain uncommitted can argue that they will be unfairly lumped in with those who have committed their votes already, and get retribution from voters that they don't deserve.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)supporting hillary. whether they would care to be id'd as being supers is another matter, though, esp if they still hold office and could come under pressure from constituents. wouldn"t hurt.
.
supers need to be gone by 2020... they are an embarassment. its bad when repubs have a more democratic process for electing their candidates than dems