Nevada Caucus in 10 days: Make predictions here!

[morningfog]

Nevada, set for Feb. 20 caucus, has been woefully under-polled. The last poll in Nevada is from Dec. 23-27: H-50, B-27. Fivethirthyeight doesn't even have a forecast.

We know that is widely off the mark at this point.

So, going blind, essentially, what say you? Make your prediction here.

31 pledged delegates are up for grabs. Make you prediction by delegate allocation, or total percentage.

[morningfog]

1. My prediction: Bernie-51%, H-49%.

[daleanime]

2. My prediction is....

I will be 10 pounds lighter.

[PonyUp]

8. Send me that diet! n/t

[Godhumor]

3. Clinton 60% Bernie 40%

With the caveat that I am assuming the caucus will not be nearly as, well, "white" as it has been in the past in NV (I think the Latino outreach efforts are helping.).

[asuhornets]

4. H-50, B-27...n/t

[SheenaR]

5. I could be wrong

But I think Hillary may give Nevada away.

What's 31 delegates when so many that could make or break her are on the horizon.

This scenario would not shock me

[vdogg]

6. Hillary 51/47

She'll win it, but it'll be single digits. Bernie will get some late movement from the NH win.

[Nonhlanhla]

7. Hillary with less than 10% spread.

I base that on the scientific information I got from pulling it out of thin air.

[Robbins]

9. Mine

Bernie 50% Clinton 49%

[restorefreedom]

10. high turnout on both sides. nt

[SoLeftIAmRight]

11. Hillary will be sounding more and more like Sanders

she will change right before our eyes

[MineralMan]

12. No prediction from me. I can wait for 10 days to find out.

In fact, that's what I'll be doing from now until March 2.

I predicted 60-40 in NH a few days ago in some thread calling for predictions. I got it almost exactly right. But, I'm not going to make any more predictions. Instead, I'm going to wait and see how things turn out. On March 2, I'll return to predicting.

Here's the post with the prediction I mentioned above:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1172217

I caucus in Minnesota on March 1.

[Anti-Establishment]

13. Hill will win....She won the New Hamphire Primary (Delegate Count)

http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/new-hampshire


The Establishment doesn't care what we Peons want.