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The vote count @ 10:48 PST (Original Post) berniepdx420 Feb 2016 OP
I was thinking that the spread pugetres Feb 2016 #1
That's what I thought metroins Feb 2016 #3
I disagree with your premise... I think Bernie's message will resonate in the South berniepdx420 Feb 2016 #4
I fully disagree. metroins Feb 2016 #5
Thanks for sharing your opinion... I would argue that the real focus isn't on what can pass the berniepdx420 Feb 2016 #8
I'm not saying Bernies message isn't on point metroins Feb 2016 #10
I am hoping a few of the 10% are reading these... berniepdx420 Feb 2016 #16
We'll see how it plays out. metroins Feb 2016 #21
Yes we shall see... berniepdx420 Feb 2016 #24
First, thank you for thoughtful arguments. femmedem Feb 2016 #34
Wrong. The south is simply far, far more conservative. cali Feb 2016 #35
More than a rallying cry, she needs an HubertHeaver Feb 2016 #7
Fantasy nt. metroins Feb 2016 #11
Her exit strategy is a fantasy? HubertHeaver Feb 2016 #14
You know metroins Feb 2016 #15
That is a good observation. HubertHeaver Feb 2016 #26
Disagree, though neither of us know. mahina Feb 2016 #33
Does it take a special sort of someone pugetres Feb 2016 #9
Explain? metroins Feb 2016 #12
I'm just curious about how you explain the widening margin. pugetres Feb 2016 #25
I never offered an explanation metroins Feb 2016 #27
I live in the South and have for 40+years. I think just maybe 7wo7rees Feb 2016 #18
Personal attack metroins Feb 2016 #20
So sorry if you felt I was personally attacking you. 7wo7rees Feb 2016 #23
We're cool metroins Feb 2016 #29
Don't forget Vermin Supreme TSIAS Feb 2016 #2
How can I forget when I don't even understand? pugetres Feb 2016 #30
Completely routed. joshcryer Feb 2016 #6
Hillary did exactly like she did in 2008: Binkie The Clown Feb 2016 #13
She found the glass ceiling? HubertHeaver Feb 2016 #17
At least they're loyal! anotherproletariat Feb 2016 #19
There was some Over/Under thread... Skinner nailed it with Over 60! TheBlackAdder Feb 2016 #22
Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #28
Condescending much? We'll see how that works out for you SammyWinstonJack Feb 2016 #32
Thats kicking ass for sure madokie Feb 2016 #31

metroins

(2,550 posts)
3. That's what I thought
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 02:58 AM
Feb 2016

I thought 20 was a possibility but over 20 is rough.

I am a Hillary supporter and know the south will be difficult for Bernies message, so I'm not too worried.

Hillary however, needs a rallying cry.

berniepdx420

(1,784 posts)
4. I disagree with your premise... I think Bernie's message will resonate in the South
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:00 AM
Feb 2016

If anywhere knows the system is rigged..it's the South

metroins

(2,550 posts)
5. I fully disagree.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:04 AM
Feb 2016

In my opinion, the South votes less on rhetoric and more on realism.

In my opinion, Bernies idealism goes well in college towns, but when it comes to the working man, they want to know how on earth these ideas will pass Congress.

Hillary knows what can get passed.

That again is just my opinion.

berniepdx420

(1,784 posts)
8. Thanks for sharing your opinion... I would argue that the real focus isn't on what can pass the
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:18 AM
Feb 2016

present Congress.. for a couple of reasons.. one .. hillary couldn't get anything through either.. saying Hillary isn't popular with Repubs, is an understatement. two.. the President cannot introduce bills into the Congress.. and I think the reality of NH illustrates that the only chance we have in passing any Progressive bills in the near future is to have the Bernie momentum become a political revolution at the polls and have democrats ushered into control of Congress..... a long shot still but our only chance IMO

And in the end I think that the Struggle most Americans are facing in the South (economic) is only being outline by Bernie... I think the rigged system rings loud and clear to the workers of the South...

metroins

(2,550 posts)
10. I'm not saying Bernies message isn't on point
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:32 AM
Feb 2016

I'm saying he's 8 years too late and 8 years too early.

A lot of what Bernie says, I agree with. But we're talking Obama was one of the most polarizing presidents in modern history (not his fault). Obama is very moderate, but the RW labeled him as far left.

If we go too far left and nothing changes, we might be looking at a Republican for the next 8-16 years after his first 4.

I also strongly think Bernie will get eviscerated in the GE. The RW specializes in propaganda and one liners. Bernie is susceptible to them, whereas the book has already been thrown at Hillary.

Again, I like Bernie, I'm just thinking more long term.

Thank you for your response, you don't need to sell me on Bernie, you need to sell the 10% swing voters.

berniepdx420

(1,784 posts)
16. I am hoping a few of the 10% are reading these...
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:41 AM
Feb 2016

Bernie won Independents (containing some of the 10% swing GE voters ) by a mile in NH

What do you base your understanding that Bernie will be eviscerated in the GE ? I do not think he is susceptible to one liners and propaganda..on the contrary.. he uses facts and his arguments are clear and statesman like.

I myself am tired of being afraid of moving to far left... I am ready to leap.. the American public polls quite Progressive when it comes to individual issues.. We've been waiting for a champion to unite us against the machine.. and by golly I think we found him

IMO



metroins

(2,550 posts)
21. We'll see how it plays out.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:53 AM
Feb 2016

Bernie doesn't quite inspire me.

I'm not at all concerned with IA or NH. Ohio, PA, MI, Florida, GA sure.

Let's be honest, this is a game where 90% of the play doesn't matter.

berniepdx420

(1,784 posts)
24. Yes we shall see...
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:58 AM
Feb 2016

Not sure why the states you mention don't concern you... a few are quite important in the GE

Definitely agree some of the primaries/caucuses are marginalized.. but 90% seems high... I think Hillary is in trouble.. she is counting on the POC vote way to much when it is based almost entirely on name recognition. Her message isn't very compelling to me..

femmedem

(8,203 posts)
34. First, thank you for thoughtful arguments.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 08:48 AM
Feb 2016

This is what I wish discussion boards were more frequently like: people who may disagree, making their best cases without rancor.

I think that Bernie's strong support among Independents--much stronger than Hillary's--indicates that he has a much better chance than she does of winning the GE.

What would happen if he wins and nothing changes? Perhaps, as you say, it would empower Republicans. But I think it is at least equally likely that if people see Republicans blocking changes they legitimately want, it would swing more Independents to vote for Democrats in Congressional elections. Most importantly, it would help Democrats realize that being truly progressive is not a career-ender.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
35. Wrong. The south is simply far, far more conservative.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 08:53 AM
Feb 2016

The number of dems identifying as liberals in South Carolina is a much smaller number than the corresponding number in New Hampshire or Iowa, for instance.

HubertHeaver

(2,522 posts)
7. More than a rallying cry, she needs an
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:10 AM
Feb 2016

exit strategy. When does she graciously quit and throw her enthusiastic support to Bernie?

metroins

(2,550 posts)
15. You know
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:40 AM
Feb 2016

As well as I do, no matter what occurs, she is in it to the end.

There are no more runs after this cycle.

There is no dropping out.

HubertHeaver

(2,522 posts)
26. That is a good observation.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 04:04 AM
Feb 2016

She is in it for herself and her own ego.

Any runs after this cycle would make her the Harold Stasson of the Democratic Party.

mahina

(17,660 posts)
33. Disagree, though neither of us know.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 05:50 AM
Feb 2016

I feel that she believes she will be helping.

No idea what she really thinks.

 

pugetres

(507 posts)
25. I'm just curious about how you explain the widening margin.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 04:01 AM
Feb 2016

Why is it getting larger rather than narrower?

7wo7rees

(5,128 posts)
18. I live in the South and have for 40+years. I think just maybe
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:47 AM
Feb 2016

you might not be quite so sure of what you speak.

I have never seen anything like this and the 1st time I voted was for Ford and a no name "peanut farmer" won
And then there was Ross Perot, and then we got Bush.

Careful where you tread, the plebes may be rising up, metroins. You are quite delightful. Not.

metroins

(2,550 posts)
20. Personal attack
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:50 AM
Feb 2016

I will ignore it, but I live in the south as well.

I have most certainly seen candidates such as Bernie.

They just never win.

I've seen them on the Right and Left be stopped before getting off the ground. Bernie and Ron Paul have similar messages.

7wo7rees

(5,128 posts)
23. So sorry if you felt I was personally attacking you.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:58 AM
Feb 2016

Because I do not want to be I have refrained many times from any response. I am going way out on a limb here, but I have found many of your posts to be combative and trying to bait many DU'ers. So now yes, I guess that you can call it personal.
I do apologize in advance and please do forgive.
Passions are running high.

metroins

(2,550 posts)
29. We're cool
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 04:12 AM
Feb 2016

I am combative, but not baiting. I don't know how to bait. A lot of my opinions are wishy washy, so I try to learn from others.

I am new to the forum, but I do love a debate.

We will both try not to get personal.

I haven't alerted on anybody I know of, which I think is the definition of baiting here.

I hope you enjoy your week. May the best candidate win.

TSIAS

(14,689 posts)
2. Don't forget Vermin Supreme
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 02:55 AM
Feb 2016

He pulled in a handful of votes. About as credible a candidate as Carson, Fiorina, or Christie.

Response to berniepdx420 (Original post)

madokie

(51,076 posts)
31. Thats kicking ass for sure
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 04:33 AM
Feb 2016

What rabbit will Clinton pull out of the hat in the morning.
I'm sure she went to bed tonight after having a few too many and will wake up with a bad ass hangover in the morning.

Stay focused Hillary

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