2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumShocking info from MSNBC
Hillary has NEVER had her poll numbers go up from where they started in a campaign, says Lawrence O'Donnell.
She peaks at the beginning and just goes go down.
So a come back - which is what MSNBC says she'll need now - would be a huge change from any other campaign she's run.
I can't verify that. But that's what he just said.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)For noticing it!
Jarqui
(10,125 posts)and several times this cycle.
Most people know Hillary as she may be the most famous woman in the world. So many have already formed their opinion of her. Unfortunately, it's not all good. A number don't like her or don't trust her (60% of Americans). So it's harder for her to move the needle. She has to overcome long established negatives. Whereas someone largely new to Americans don't start in the hole Hillary is in.
Meanwhile, with all her scandals, flip-flops, etc, the GOP can remind folks and drive or hold those numbers down.
She has a problem. Always has.
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)To be honest, I am surprised he mentioned it at all. Probably a good thing he wasn't sitting next to Tweety at the time.
EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)Lol
farleftlib
(2,125 posts)motive, passion and spontaneity! Says she's always on defense and has to change her message!
I had to run to my fainting couch.
spinbaby
(15,090 posts)She comes across as rehearsed and focus grouped to death. If we saw the real Hillary, she'd do much better.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)what you see is what you get. That IS the real Hillary.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)S_B_Jackson
(906 posts)and it's going to be (deservedly) brutal.
Have family in northern Nevada - and Bernie's sincerity and honesty are tremendous positives - everywhere outside of Clark County.
tularetom
(23,664 posts)napi21
(45,806 posts)Think about how often she's been slammed over the years. The Pubs have accused her of every offense possible. The list of accusations is so long, I don't even want to start it. Because of that, she's gun shy. Afraid to say almost anything off the cuff. I can't blame her. Everything she says & does is scrutinized and questioned. Wouldn't YOU be afraid too in that situation?
dorkzilla
(5,141 posts)If you know this is going to happen, if you think you're going to getting raked over the coals, and you have been getting that kind of treatment why in God's name would you willingly put yourself through that? If she just retired after a seeming successful run as SOS, she could have just raked in the dough speaking and spending time with your grandchild.
Moreover, if you had any inkling whatsoever that you may run for the highest office in the Land, and you know that the GOP is going to rake you over the coals, wouldn't you go out of your way to avoid anything that looks like a conflict of interest, or thumbing your nose at the rules (home network, and it matters not that other SOS's have done the same, we're supposed to be the ethical party) or quid pro quo? Why set yourself up for innuendo or outright scandal?
hollysmom
(5,946 posts)I think that also brings a lot of negatives to the campaign. The negatives of over 20 years of trashing that family so that even lies are embedded in people's heads. For everyone who says socialist is a burden to overcome, not nearly as much as the missing Rose file, and the death of vince Foster and everything else they have been throwing at both Clintons. Impeachment proceedings would start right away.
And it does not help to add thigns to the campaign like false claims against Sanders and attacking his honor and then insulting all young women and NOT HEARING IT!!! How can she not hear what is wrong, I am 70 years old and I am insulted for young women. Totally tone deaf, every single person in her camp can't hear it but double down????? Amazing.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)from a Goldwater girl to a moderately conservative Democrat.
What we're seeing, the weathervane, now is the real Hillary. It would not help if she fired her whole campaign staff, because she cannot fire herself.
flamingdem
(39,313 posts)lob1
(3,820 posts)he sure has changed his tune today.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)he definitely got the memo.
dorkzilla
(5,141 posts)He's a weathervane too.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)glinda
(14,807 posts)"If you could type anything right now in an assessment of what just happened what would you say (paraphrased)?" and Tweety went right into talking about HRC. No....nothing has changed. Brian cut him off too.
Dustlawyer
(10,495 posts)he heard about the petition to get rid of him.
That anchor that hot caught lying (name escapes me) about war zone coverage was very defensive for the network. After Bernie's speech ended, he went on about the long, uninterrupted coverage they just gave Bernie. Then again about the speech being "long."
He just opened a can of Whup Ass in NH and needs to get his message out to those around the country who are just starting to pay attention. He hammered it home!!!
appalachiablue
(41,133 posts)Gore1FL
(21,132 posts)John Poet
(2,510 posts)'because she doesn't really have one now'
For all the attention he gave her previously,
he was pretty tough on her tonight.
Wounded Bear
(58,656 posts)Would be hard to double check that statement, but it does seem plausible. Frankly, she's never been a very good campaigner, from what I've seen. That factoid supports that argument.
johnnyrocket
(1,773 posts)...no reason it'll be better now.
neverforget
(9,436 posts)She's a known commodity so she has no where to go but down.
politicaljunkie41910
(3,335 posts)Only 48 states left to go.
Bjornsdotter
(6,123 posts)...and I almost fell off the chair.
ChiciB1
(15,435 posts)winners ALWAYS have a HUGE COME BACK! OMG, what kind of crap is this??? There are ONLY TWO CANDIDATES!
I think his name was Van Jones. I don't watch MSM anymore, and quit MSNBC completely so had to check one of the channels!
ornotna
(10,801 posts)I heard it as well.
politicaljunkie41910
(3,335 posts)Enjoy your victory tonight. This campaign is just getting started. Pundits need something to talk nonstop about. This is probably the dumbest I've heard.
EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)2 senate runs and a presidential run...
How much do you know about your candidate??
Seems like snarky is the wrong tone for you to be taking in this conversation...
politicaljunkie41910
(3,335 posts)when I expanded my comment. It had more to do with my keyboard than my knowledge of my candidate.
But enjoy your win.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)Old Crow
(2,212 posts)Hate when that happens.
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,328 posts)Dragonfli
(10,622 posts)She was her own worst enemy against Obama in '08 because of all the nastiness and racist dogwhistles, lies, and shady innuendo. Bill only made that aspect of it worse.
Now that she is openly working with David Brock collaborating directly with her campaign (via a loophole I doubt any other candidate would even get away with), I expect that if what Lawrence says is true, that dynamic will be even more pronounced in this race, especially when you consider she is going up against such a likable and EXTREMELY RARE in consistency regarding policy issues that is Sanders.
It's like being the drunk in the party insulting and trying to call a liar the one guy at the party everyone knows is a nice guy that tells the truth and who has never lied to them.
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
dsc
(52,162 posts)she gained in her 2000 Senate campaign. She announced her campaign in July of 99, she was at 45/45 vs Guiliani and Lazio, she won 55/43. Even if you use her pre campaign numbers only one poll against G. has her above the 55 and it was 56 and she was lover than 55 in all polls vs Lazio.
EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)I'll check it out myself tomorrow.
dsc
(52,162 posts)the check out would be second grade (if that) math.
EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)It's 3am...
I'll check my it in the morning
dsc
(52,162 posts)I have to hit the hay too as I get up at 5am (apparently 9am) your time.
anotherproletariat
(1,446 posts)I hope this is over soon, so all these fractures in the progressive side can be mended before the general election.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Not a formula that leads to increasing poll numbers. Once voters realize there is a viable alternative, they leave her in droves.
frylock
(34,825 posts)Show's over, folks!
tblue37
(65,360 posts)SusanCalvin
(6,592 posts)SoapBox
(18,791 posts)Camp Weathervane was a mess from the very beginning.
Guess money can't buy smart.
Gene Debs
(582 posts)liabilities is a complete and total inability to learn ANYTHING from her past mistakes.
mckara
(1,708 posts)Stick a fork in her
Spitfire of ATJ
(32,723 posts)jalan48
(13,867 posts)7wo7rees
(5,128 posts)mobeau69
(11,144 posts)Trying to make a contribution right now but the page has been stuck on "Processing Payment" for 20 minutes. Bernie needs the computer guys Obama had or the guys that fixed the Obamacare site.
I wanted a 20% spread but got 21! Way to go Bernie.
californiabernin
(421 posts)But I'm not complaining...I'll get in eventually.
californiabernin
(421 posts)Trajan
(19,089 posts)The poll numbers have been relentlessly PRO Bernie .... and the flip side of that same coin is Hillary's precipitous drop ....
If Hillary felt bad after Iowa, I am sure she is feeling even more sour after this.
I wonder what's next for her ? ....