Sanders may be losing NH Independents

[brooklynite]

Listened to a discussion here with Democrats and Republicans. Independents are leaning to Sanders as 1st choice and Kasich as 2nd choice. If Sanders looks like he's got an insurmountable lead, they may shift to the Republican Primary where Kasich is polling 2nd.

[TCJ70]

1. If that conversation tells you anything...

...it's that you should get behind Sanders now. Why isn't Hillary their second choice? Bernie will get the crossover vote in the GE.

[TheBlackAdder]

16. HRC has all but lost the Northeast. If SBS is viable in the next few weeks, even CT will fall. nt

[thereismore]

2. You MAY be thinking wishful thoughts. Not sure. Just maybe. nt

[Warren Stupidity]

3. Here this might help:

[roguevalley]

25. God, warren, that is funny. :D:D:D

[bunnies]

4. Where is "here"? Nt

[brooklynite]

9. New Hampshire, of course

I'm up for the lead up to Primary Day. Do this every four years.

[bunnies]

17. In that case, welcome to NH.

I hope you have a wonderful visit. Please tell me you're somewhere other than Manchester.

[brooklynite]

27. Right now in Nashua...

Have one more event to attend(Rubio) then driving back

[bunnies]

29. Driving back to NY? Tonight?

In this weather?

[brooklynite]

30. Actually someone put us up. Hitting the road now.

[bunnies]

32. Oh good.

Safe travels home.

[PonyUp]

40. I bet that was a long ride home. n/t

[Ferd Berfel]

5. Preparing us for when the votes get flipped?

[Doctor_J]

6. "Subject line complete bullshit" should be your subtitle

[bravenak]

7. Uh oh!

[Motown_Johnny]

8. But they sure as hell won't go to Hillary, now or in the GE.

You should keep that in mind when considering who is more electable.

[Arazi]

10. It's not occurring to you that Hillary isn't their 1st or 2nd choice?

And if Sanders isn't on the ballot, they'll swing Republican instead of to Hillary?

You do realize this is what many independent Sanders supporters have been saying?

[ViseGrip]

11. Exactly...

[TCJ70]

12. They don't care...

...they have First Woman President Fever.

[Iliyah]

13. T-rump maybe losing his edge?

Dems are with HRC.

[RiverLover]

14. No wonder I read in local OH paper that Kasich is saying he "isn't establishment."

The amount of sh*t these guys shovel is mind-blowing.

Hes not establishment. Like Hillary saying that...

Got to give the voters what they want! (till elected)

[AtomicKitten]

15. Setting up a smoke screen for more election fraud by Camp Weathervane?

[morningfog]

18. Lol! Anecdotal clap trap!

[JackRiddler]

19. So you hung out with some of your buddies...

then you drew a conclusion that only happens to fit in with your constant activity on this board, which is to electioneer for Clinton.

And then you decided to share it with us! Thanks so much. It comes as such a shock that you would say this, and of course it's totally inside info.

[longship]

20. That is not surprising.

I have, on occasion crossed party to influence an opponent party's primary. Not often, but I've done it when there was a reasonable concerted effort to change an outcome.

I expect that this is not such a concerted effort. Not that it is isn't. It just isn't likely to be.

My regards.

[frylock]

21. Cool story.

[artislife]

22. If...

[Nonhlanhla]

23. These don't sound like very reliable voters

I do not trust anyone who would have Bernie as first choice and Kasich as second choice. A person like that could go in any direction in the general election, since they clearly have no idea what they're voting for.

[thesquanderer]

24. This would be bad strategy for Sanders supporters, because it's not winner-take-all

"Winning" isn't the goal. The goal is to get as many delegates as you can. Their votes for Sanders still matters, even if he has an insurmountable lead. (Which is still not a sure thing.)

[restorefreedom]

26. if ifs and buts were candy and nuts

we'd all have a merry christmas

[AgingAmerican]

28. Bizarre line of 'reasoning'

[Betty Karlson]

31. So now Clinton supporters are rooting for the GOP to win over our voters?

That, sir, is just wrong. Please take your scorched earth campaign somewhere else.

[Purveyor]

33. And then there is this: New Hampshire Independents Could Boost Kasich, Sanders

Some voters are crossing party lines in the Live Free or Die state.

February 9, 2016

Nearly half the voters in New Hampshire's presidential primaries Tuesday aren't registered in either political party, and that could be good news for Ohio Governor John Kasich.

Kasich has built his appeal in New Hampshire around a Midwest-sensible persona and tight-fisted fiscal record that many independents love. These undeclared voters are why some predict Kasich could pull off a strong finish here even without the star-power of Donald Trump or the youthful appeal of Marco Rubio.

“He’s not bad-mouthing anybody,” said Suzanne Appleton, 76, who isn’t registered with a political party and usually supports Democrats but is backing Kasich this time. “He’s just saying, ‘You know, there’s a job to be done, and let's just do it.’”

Forty-four percent of voters in the nation's first primary state are independents, up from 40 percent in 2008, according to the secretary of state. They're allowed to vote in either party's primary on Election Day, which could give them significant clout if they weighed in on a Republican contest where at least four candidates are clustered behind Trump for second place.

“It’s a factor that’s gotten bigger every cycle, and it shows no signs of slowing down,” said Steve Koczela, who's surveyed New Hampshire independents as president of MassINC Polling Group and found Kasich and Sanders buoyed by the most favorable perceptions among these voters in a mid-January WBUR poll.

more...

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-02-09/new-hampshire-independents-could-boost-kasich-sanders

[Doctor_J]

34. Or maybe not

[TwilightGardener]

35. This is among the more fun predictions to revisit today.

[Doctor_J]

36. Some weird trial balloons get floated at crunch time.

[pinebox]

37. Hillary has never even had NH independents

So there's that.

[cherokeeprogressive]

38. Kickety!

[hobbit709]

39. And the Titanic sailed all the way to New York unscathed in that alternate universe.

[Katashi_itto]

41. Cool story bro

[kath]

42. Very very cool!

[Fumesucker]

43. Sanders Sanders he's our man if he can't do it Kasich can