NATIONAL POLL: HILLARY 26%; BERNIE 28%; DEEZ NUTZ 347%!!!!!!!!

[last1standing]

Seriously folks, I've seen polls in the last two days saying everything from a solid lock for Hillary to a solid lock for Bernie. It's probably time to accept that even the best pollsters have no real idea what's going on in an exceptionally volatile environment with voters transitioning their methods of researching information and moving from landlines to cellphones.

On the other hand, it's hilarious reading the responses so please carry on.

[PoliticAverse]

1. Also we choose delegates at the state-level not national.

So state by state polls are much more important.

[stillwaiting]

2. Some pollsters continue to use methodologies that clearly don't yield reliable results.

And, they continue to use them.

I wonder why?

[last1standing]

3. almost none of it amounts to much more than push polling at this point.

But I love reading post after post criticizing the methodology as though the poster was a statistical expert. None of us really knows how things will turn out because we've never had an election where social media and cell phones were so prevalent in the general population at the expense of traditional media. There's far less control over the message and therefore less ability to ask the questions that people are really concerned about, let alone capture their opinions.

As I always say, the problem with giving the average Joe access to unlimited information is that he might learn something.

[rocktivity]

4. Taking the polls with a pillar of salt is a lesson I learned a couple Iowa primaries ago...

Last edited Sat Feb 6, 2016, 04:23 PM - Edit history (3)

Posted at DU January 2008:

My prediction had been along the lines of Hillary 35, Obama 32, Edwards 30. As luck would have it, I couldn't watch all the coverage due to a last-minute issue I had to deal with. The first time I tuned in, 25% of the precincts were in, and it was an even three-way split. "Told you so," I thought smugly, "NOBODY is going to run away with this."

The second time I tuned in, there was a big 38 on the screen. "Hillary got THAT much?" I thought...I was so expecting to see Hillary's name and pic next to that 38...(that) it took a few seconds...for my mind to process...they were Obama's! I was shocked--SHOCKED, but there was more to come. I looked down to the pic and name below Obama's...and THEY weren't Hillary's, either! I couldn't believe it, but I absolutely loved the prospect of the MSM and pollsters trying to explain it all to us...

rocktivity

[Vinca]

5. Deez is probably brighter than all the GOP candidates combined.