2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumQuinnipiac Poll Showing Sanders Closing gap is crap, totally biased!
Its an outlier!
PPP poll shows clinton with 21 point lead. Both polls are after Iowa. Pretty much cover same days.
Q poll is notoriously biased against HC. Just look at their Iowa poll. They were only polling firm that at the very end showed Sanders winning.
PPP poll:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_20416.pdf
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,735 posts)Polls showing my candidate to be ahead are totally accurate.
Isn't that how that works?
HerbChestnut
(3,649 posts)The point of these polls is to note the trends. Bernie is gaining on Hillary across the country.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Hillary won Iowa.
Which one is more accurate?
You do the math.
kcjohn1
(751 posts)Q had Bernie +3. Result was 0.2+ Clinton. Who is closer?
Q could actually be accurate b/c popular vote was not released. We were told before Bernie voters were concentrated thus he could lose delegate count even if he won the popular vote.
HerbChestnut
(3,649 posts)My thoughts, PP has been pretty accurate. Q lean GOP.
cali
(114,904 posts)kcjohn1
(751 posts)They were 9 points off in Iowa. Q was off 3.
Bjorn Against
(12,041 posts)Quinnipiac's Iowa poll was within the margin of error of the final results, PPP's poll showed Hillary with a eight point lead which was inaccurate.
Quinnipiac is a more accurate pollster than PPP.
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)litlbilly
(2,227 posts)AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)litlbilly
(2,227 posts)reformist2
(9,841 posts)Also, the PPP polls are suspect. They had Hillary +8 in Iowa the day before the caucus. Oops.
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Oops!
Bjorn Against
(12,041 posts)He got 49% of the vote just as Quinnipiac predicted. They did not call a winner, their poll showed a very close race and it was a very close race which ended within Quinnipiac's margin of error.
PPP on the other hand did not predict a close race, they showed Hillary winning by eight points which was outside the margin of error.
Quinnipiac was right about Iowa and PPP was wrong.
MrMickeysMom
(20,453 posts)I don't.
last1standing
(11,709 posts)Or is NoHope Hillary's lack of decency and shame catching amongst her supporters?
Metric System
(6,048 posts)Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)Take nothing for granted.
BlueStateLib
(937 posts)Ipsos/Reuters Poll (February 4): Core Political Approval
Thursday, February 04, 2016
Democratic Primary
Hillary Clinton remains solidly in the lead among Democrats nationwide, with 54% of Dem registered voters.
Sanders (39%) remains in second place among Democratic voters.
General Election Matchups
In hypothetical 2-way general election matchups between Trump or Cruz vs. Sanders or Clinton, the Democrats are leading all matchups.
Clinton performs the strongest against either Republican at +8 vs. Trump and +10 vs. Cruz among all registered voters.
http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=7132
BainsBane
(53,035 posts)We shall have to see what the polling averages show.
However, no one should be lulled into complacency by polls. This will be a tough primary fight. Bernie has tons of money and is mounting a formidable opposition. It's up to all of us who support Hillary to get out and volunteer for the campaign.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)^snip^
Clinton postpones another financial-services fundraiser
Under fire from Sanders, she delays events hosted by leaders of BlackRock, Bain Capital affiliate.
The postponed fundraisers are an issue for Hillary Clinton who is struggling to match Bernie Sanders powerful grassroots fundraising.
By BEN WHITE 02/03/16 06:27 PM EST
NEW YORK -- Hillary Clinton has postponed another fundraiser with financial services executives amid heavy criticism from rival Bernie Sanders that she is too close to Wall Street.
Clinton will no longer attend an event in Boston scheduled for Friday that was to be hosted by Jonathan Lavine, managing director of Bain Capital affiliate Sankaty Advisors, sources close to the matter said.
The event has not been canceled but will now be held sometime after the New Hampshire primary, which takes place Feb. 9. It is the second such postponement in the last two weeks. The Clinton campaign last week said a New York City event that was set for Thursday with executives from investment management firm BlackRock would now be held Feb. 16th.
BainsBane
(53,035 posts)Maybe you should ask Bernie about the drinks at Abbey Rockefellers house? Or how he and Jane liked their fundraising soirées on Martha's Vinyard and Palm Beach with reps from Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs?
http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/05/politics/sanders-democratic-fundraisers/index.html
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)its a campaign
an opposition presumes the one being opposed has an inherent right to the position being sought.
you may not have meant it that way, but some actually believe that. just wanted to clarify for those folks that it is a legimate campaign. its not an opposition, its not an insurgency, its not a rebellion.
its a campaign.
have a nice evening
BainsBane
(53,035 posts)op·po·si·tion
ˌäpəˈziSH(ə n/
noun
resistance or dissent, expressed in action or argument.
"there was considerable opposition to the proposal"
synonyms: resistance, hostility, antagonism, enmity, antipathy, objection, dissent, disapproval, criticism, demurral; More
a group of adversaries or competitors, especially a rival political party or athletic team.
noun: the opposition
synonyms: opponents, opposing side, other side, other team, competition, opposers, rivals, adversaries; More
the principal political party opposed to the one in office.
noun: Opposition; noun: the Opposition; noun: the opposition
The term political opposition is an exceedingly common phrase. Your free association is not a dictionary of the English language.
You're quite right it isn't an insurrection or a revolution, it's a political campaign for a member of the political elite who seeks to rise to the head of the political establishment from its seat in the Oval Office.
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)as an insurrectionist campaign, they seem to have a different view. but i wanted to make sure to exclude you, since i did not think you meant it in that way. it annoys me that the chris matthews's of the world see it that way, though
cheers
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)PPP had her winning Iowa by 8 just a couple days before the caucus. Clearly they were wrong.
Nobody should freak out over one poll. We are just now starting to see the full impact from Iowa. Then it will take a few more for the impact from the debate. Then more for the impact from the New Hampshire vote that hasn't even happened yet.
Things will look different in a week, so lets not freak out over one poll.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)reformist2
(9,841 posts)I think they know something is wrong.
Uncle Joe
(58,366 posts)Because they give Quinnipiac University a B+ rating and your PPP poll a B-.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/
Thanks for the thread, youceyec.
I dont trust 538 this cycle. They have been wrong just as much as anyone lately.
merrily
(45,251 posts)analyzing the methodology and/or track record/reputation of Quinnipiac polls might be far more convincing. Just a suggestion.
Most polls showed Hillary handily defeating Sanders in Iowa. That didn't happen. What does that make those polls?
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Or was it a good poll then?