2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum"What we can’t stomach is even the whiff of impropriety or error" Des Moines Register.
This newspaper endorsed Hillary Clinton. They are proud of their state caucus, and this article shows that. They can not tolerate that "something smells" in the Democratic party caucus count.
Editorial: Something smells in the Democratic Party
What happened Monday night at the Democratic caucuses was a debacle, period. Democracy, particularly at the local party level, can be slow, messy and obscure. But the refusal to undergo scrutiny or allow for an appeal reeks of autocracy.
The Iowa Democratic Party must act quickly to assure the accuracy of the caucus results, beyond a shadow of a doubt.
First of all, the results were too close not to do a complete audit of results. Two-tenths of 1 percent separated Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton. A caucus should not be confused with an election, but its worth noting that much larger margins trigger automatic recounts in other states.
Second, too many questions have been raised. Too many accounts have arisen of inconsistent counts, untrained and overwhelmed volunteers, confused voters, cramped precinct locations, a lack of voter registration forms and other problems. Too many of us, including members of the Register editorial board who were observing caucuses, saw opportunities for error amid Monday nights chaos.
The Sanders campaign is rechecking results on its own, going precinct by precinct, and is already finding inconsistencies, said Rania Batrice, a Sanders spokeswoman. The campaign seeks the math sheets or other paperwork that precinct chairs filled out and were supposed to return to the state party. They want to compare those documents to the results entered into a Microsoft app and sent to the party.
The article points out that Andy McGuire, Iowa Party chair, doesn't want to discuss, compare, or analyze.
McGuire knows whats at stake. Her actions only confirm the suspicions, wild as they might be, of Sanders supporters. Their candidate, after all, is opposed by the party establishment and wasnt even a Democrat a few months ago.
The article calls for a balance between tradition and transparency.
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)if some intentional funny business went on.
Response to TwilightGardener (Reply #1)
Post removed
lovuian
(19,362 posts)if the paper and microsoft app don't match up .....what happened so it can be corrected
jeff47
(26,549 posts)We are talking about humans doing data entry. Innocent mistakes happen. The correction is to go with the most "raw" data we have, which is on those math sheets.
Helen Borg
(3,963 posts)Tend to happen in the direction that benefits the person making the typo.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)NowSam
(1,252 posts)The integrity of our voting system and the public trust is being abused.
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)"Trust us", is their final word.
Response to TwilightGardener (Reply #16)
Gman This message was self-deleted by its author.
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)Andy McGuire, the chairperson of the Iowa Democratic Party, is the person who is unilaterally preventing any examination of the caucus results. Here are some facts about Andy McGuire:
McGuires license plate on her Buick Enclave says HRC 2016, as in Hillary Rodham Clinton. (Source: Clinton makes just one excruciating Iowa mention, Des Moines Register, 6/11/14)
McGuire was co-chair of Hillary Clintons 2008 campaign in Iowa
McGuire had Hillary Clinton fundraisers in her home. In 2007, the New York Times reported, On Friday night, Mrs. Clinton had dinner in Des Moines at the home of a leading Democrat, Andrea McGuire, and was joined by several other influential party members: Mr. Boswell; the state Senate Democratic leader, Michael Gronstal; and Bonnie Campbell, the former state attorney general, among others. (Clinton, in Iowa, Vows to Renew the Promise of America, New York Times, 1/28/07)
In 2007, McGuire served on Hillary Clintons National Council of Civic Leaders as well as the Womens Leadership Council for Team Hillary in Iowa.
https://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2015/04/some-fun-facts-about-the-new-iowa-democratic-party-chair/
http://www.bleedingheartland.com/2015/01/17/three-pros-and-three-cons-of-andy-mcguire-as-iowa-democratic-party-chair-updated/
AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)This is like, what? the 5 or 6th episode of high level nepotism?
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)Last edited Thu Feb 4, 2016, 04:07 PM - Edit history (1)
http://www.politicususa.com/2016/02/02/bernie-sanders-challenge-caucus-results-hillary-clinton-wins-iowa.htmlSanders campaign senior campaign adviser Tad Devine has told the AP that the Sanders campaign has no interest in challenging the caucus results in Iowa, which means that Hillary Clinton has officially won the Hawkeye State.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)Devine's remark sounds very off the cuff to me. Plans change. Sanders was asking for the raw data results also on Feb 2. There's no indication whether Devine said that before or after the campaign asked for the raw data.
Since there is no contextual reference to Devine's remark (If he was asked a direct question, Politicus should have included that.) nor a time given for that remark, right now I give more weight to the raw data request as an indication of their campaign's ongoing concern.
Unless some contract prohibits Sanders from disclosing the raw numbers their campaign gathered, they are free to release them, and they should, if for no other reason but to provide their best proof that they won the popular vote. As another puplication said, it is likely that they won that.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)that the issue was closed, and I can't find any statements from Bernie's people re-opening the issue. Have you?
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)Sander's campaign wasn't the party that said the matter is closed. And I know of nothing more current on this issue than that, on Tuesday, the Sanders campaign wanted the raw vote data.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)http://www.politicususa.com/2016/02/02/bernie-sanders-challenge-caucus-results-hillary-clinton-wins-iowa.html
Sanders campaign senior campaign adviser Tad Devine has told the AP that the Sanders campaign has no interest in challenging the caucus results in Iowa, which means that Hillary Clinton has officially won the Hawkeye State.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)See how that works.
Politicus provided extremely weak tea that isn't worth drinking.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)He's not exactly the kind to hold back.
But he no doubt knows that state parties -- and not state governments -- are the only ones in charge of their caucuses. Courts have ruled that parties decide how they're going to allocate their delegates.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511140110
questionseverything
(9,654 posts)that they get to decide no matter how the voters vote....then they need to say so
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)use the state primary -- they were going to use their caucuses. And the judge accepted their argument.
questionseverything
(9,654 posts)pnwmom
(108,978 posts)Caucuses can be whatever parties want them to be and don't have to follow most election laws.
questionseverything
(9,654 posts)JimDandy
(7,318 posts)I don't know why you are keeping this up, but I am done now.
Lets compare notes. Lets see if they match, Batrice said Wednesday.
ETA: I am a loooong time election integrity activist who is very aware that private corporation voting processes are not within the jurisdiction of the state:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1129224
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1126257
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)run primaries.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)As this election seasons continues, sadly less and less of these moments occur.
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)in the tight election that was about to happen in Iowa.
I'm not very hopeful about the others, including my state's.
I'm dreading the idea of going, but I am. Giving up 4 hours on a Saturday morning to tromp around a gym while someone tries to count our heads. But my Bernie-supporting son can't vote because there's no provision for out-of -state college students to vote in caucuses. (And he can't vote in the primary there without losing his state residency here, which he needs to take classes in the summer.)
jillan
(39,451 posts)What if those coin tosses went the other way?
I wonder.
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)But they want Bernie to do so.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)peacebird
(14,195 posts)How impartial and unbiased do you suppose she is?
KingCharlemagne
(7,908 posts)of impartiality.
peacebird
(14,195 posts)Good grief.....
KingCharlemagne
(7,908 posts)Skinner
(63,645 posts)http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2016/02/02/iowa-caucus-coin-flip-count-unknown/79708740/
(For the record, I have no problem with the Iowa Democratic Party releasing any and all info about the caucus.)
elias49
(4,259 posts)Funny how things always get murky when a Clinton is involved. Nothing straightforward. Nothing uncontested.
Little wonder that Hillary pulls such poor numbers on her "honesty".
Skinner
(63,645 posts)...but ok.
elias49
(4,259 posts)it was Clinton who won the coin tosses. Now Sanders 'won the coin tosses. Just my way of saying "So what happened? How long before the story is straightened out?" Hey! Maybe YOU won the tosses. We'll wait and see, though.
Something smells like tuna.
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)what awarded her 23 delegates to Bernie's 21. But then how did .2% difference in state delegates equal two more national delegates for Hillary? Were some precincts weighted more heavily than others? You'd think they'd be evenly split. A thorough look at the process and data should reveal much, but then Hillary's friendlies in the state party are controlling both still, and there's no oversight.
questionseverything
(9,654 posts)we all went to bed and it was tied 21-21
then the next morning it is 23-21 even tho there were several reports of bernie wins in those late reported precincts
it is all smoke and mirrors
madfloridian
(88,117 posts)It would trigger a recount in many states with primaries.
George II
(67,782 posts)madfloridian
(88,117 posts)bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)Links to video of coin tosses here: http://dailycaller.com/2016/02/02/hillary-won-six-straight-coin-tosses-to-win-handful-of-county-delegates-video/
Skinner
(63,645 posts)But we also know that it is not a completely reliable accounting of all the coin tosses in the state, because the Iowa Democratic Party itself makes clear that "Officials who reported county delegate totals without using the partys smartphone app werent required to signify if the win was the result of a coin toss."
What do we know?
We know of three coin tosses that Hillary won, because we have the three videos on the page you link in your post. I am not aware of any other videos -- I suspect the Daily Caller (Tucker Carlson's right-wing rag) would have posted all of the videos they were aware of.
We also know that the Iowa Democratic Party is aware of seven coin tosses, of which Bernie won 6 and Hillary won 1. We don't know if the one Hillary toss reported by the Iowa Democratic party is one of the ones from the video.
So we have reliable evidence of three (or four) pro-Hillary coin tosses, and six pro-Sanders coin tosses.
Even if we accept the stories bumping around the Internet that Hillary won six coin tosses, that gets us up to six vs. six.
I think that's probably the best we can do with the information available to us.
whatchamacallit
(15,558 posts)JimDandy
(7,318 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)840high
(17,196 posts)NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)Did anyone expect any less? Obviously Bernie didn't since he had the forethought to have his own count of the results taken.
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)He's a decent man, but he's going to have to learn how to street-fight. Not sure if anything corrupt went on here in IA, but he shouldn't rely on Clinton-friendly vote counters and results-reporters. That much is clear.
Dragonfli
(10,622 posts)Team Hillary has an operative running the DNC, and apparently the key officials in charge at every point so far in these contests, forums, caucuses and debates are also all well placed members of trusted Clinton machine operatives.
She is not leaving anything to chance, not debate scheduling, not vote counting, not superdelegates, not media, not even chance appears to be left to chance when it comes to this campaign.
In a way, you have to admire the pure Machiavellian perfection of her decades long run for power and money. The bible is not her holy book, "The Prince" is.
TwilightGardener
(46,416 posts)It makes Bernie's showing in IA all that much more impressive, because the ONLY advantage he had is that people liked him and his message there. We all know how much that counts in the end, compared with: party machinery, organization, ground game, endorsements, donors, cash on hand, name recognition, and so on. In other words, it probably won't be enough for him in the long run. But I still have hope.
Dragonfli
(10,622 posts)They are catching on to the out in the open unfairness of it all, it is showing in her unfavorability ratings, as well as her numbers regarding her honesty (or lack thereof).
Nobody likes to be played, the information savvy younger crowd see right through her and do not even watch the networks that are her donors and friends in this fight. It may actually backfire on her. Unfortunately, if she wins the nom with these machinations, her unfavorable and untrustworthy numbers will be even higher by then and She may end up being responsible for a fascist-lite Republican gaining the white house.
Her blind ambition may lose all for us, hurting us far worse than her just winning the nom and Presidency, capitulating to the Republicans on SS, War, privatization of the commons, neoliberal trade deals, deregulation and the many other things her brand of centrism is known to weaken and destroy.
Bernie needs to win or our transformation into Oligarchy will be a done, irreversible deal IMO. We need to fight even harder if that is even possible With the deck so clearly and completely stacked against a fair run.
Hiraeth
(4,805 posts)questionseverything
(9,654 posts)that is why they are asking for an accounting
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)Hiraeth
(4,805 posts)randome
(34,845 posts)...there will always be a whiff of impropriety. ALWAYS.
Right now Trump is claiming Cruz cheated.
Right now, lawyers for the Bundy Bunch are claiming the indictments that were handed down were not done properly. See how that works? Simply claiming to be distrustful is not enough.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]A ton of bricks, a ton of feathers, it's still gonna hurt.[/center][/font][hr]
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)This would have disappeared instantly had Clinton advocated for transparency. Might have even saved her from having to disprove impropriety later. Now it will hound her like a pack of dogs. She just isn't very good at this.
madfloridian
(88,117 posts)For everyone, you are right.
liberal_at_heart
(12,081 posts)process are corrupt.
CharlotteVale
(2,717 posts)jeff47
(26,549 posts)They use paper ballots. So you can actually do a recount.
WillyT
(72,631 posts)Most welcome, Willy T.
GoneFishin
(5,217 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)blm
(113,062 posts)So Santorum won - doesn't really change anything according to the DesMoines Register:
http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/2012/01/19/register-exclusive-2012-gop-caucus-count-unresolved/
My point is that the corporate media is always full of shit, especially the Register which became a stenographer for RW machine some years ago.
Don't trust their 'concern'.
That said - Sanders is still my primary vote.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)I would anticipate more "stench" as we move from state to state.
The fix was in for The Annointed One...and then Bernie and millions of American voters started getting in the way...the Entrenched Cushy and Elite Establishment Turd Wayers don't like it.
So...more stench to come.
A Simple Game
(9,214 posts)"first in the nation" caucus, perhaps they shouldn't be the first.
Do the Iowa Democrats know how much the State could lose if they were say... 40th in the nation instead of first?
It would make much more sense to have California, Texas, or New York first then have a few small states. Or maybe do large, small, large, small, etc. but rotate them after every census.
saidsimplesimon
(7,888 posts)We all know there are states that do not pay their fare share of the federal tax toll. Some states, in a pure capitalist definition, are moochers. They want more influence in the democratic process than "one person, one vote" without spending a single cent on socialist enterprises like highways, local police and fire protection. They have no desire to protect our election process from the likes of the billionaire Koch class. Madness will not prevail, on my watch.
Plucketeer
(12,882 posts)You tryin' to promote common sense er sumpthin'??? Just put your radical notions in a wheebarrow and roll them the hell outta here!
Ford_Prefect
(7,901 posts)and made up their numbers to suit the preferred outcome. If there was a demonstrable truth then there would be no argument about examining the evidence since it would without doubt support the published result.
Someone dropped the ball Monday night and doesn't want to be embarrassed in the light of day, someone with a lot of face to lose over this question. Even if the only result we can know is that the numbers are essentially correct and the performance of those in charge was to say the least sloppy and unprofessional it would make clear that any errors were those done in good faith by very tired and confused human beings, rather than what appears to be an attempt to bend the results to an outcome preferred by the winner and her acolytes.
Not in My party we don't? I have news for you. This is the party of ALL the democrats not merely the select few. We pay the bills and haul the freight and in the end those are Our Votes you presume to play with. You'd better get it right and be able to prove that or life at the top of the party will get very interesting indeed!
AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)Exactly. Why not confirm Madam Clinton's victory absolutely? Especially when it so close.
INdemo
(6,994 posts)and giving her victory speech ...then the Iowa Democratic Party was quick to declare Hillary the winner when there should have been an automatic audit.
The Hillary team was OK with the rapid results but with the Des Moines Register now calling for an audit,a paper that endorsed
Hillary, her team cannot do anything but cooperate as an audit moves forward.
Gman
(24,780 posts)They just elected people to go to county conventions to proportionately represent their candidate. If there is an error it will work itself out.
The sheer stupidity on top of raw ignorance is astounding. Sanders could actually end up "winning". If you know party rules you know why. If you don't, look it up.
What a butt stupid article.
madfloridian
(88,117 posts)It sounds to me like they are proud of their caucus and want everything to be above-board..don't you?
pnwmom
(108,978 posts)Sanders campaign senior campaign adviser Tad Devine has told the AP that the Sanders campaign has no interest in challenging the caucus results in Iowa, which means that Hillary Clinton has officially won the Hawkeye State.
JimDandy
(7,318 posts)The Sanders campaign is rechecking results on its own, going precinct by precinct, and is already finding inconsistencies, said Rania Batrice, a Sanders spokeswoman. The campaign seeks the math sheets or other paperwork that precinct chairs filled out and were supposed to return to the state party. They want to compare those documents to the results entered into a Microsoft app and sent to the party.
Lets compare notes. Lets see if they match, Batrice said Wednesday.
Gman
(24,780 posts)What are supporters going to do when Sanders gets his ass handed to him in SC? Will his supporters once again explain to Blacks why they know what's best for them?
Just like Bernie thinking he defines progressives.
madfloridian
(88,117 posts)IfClinton wanted this, I'd be behind 100% and i can't stand the woman. Quit your whining because people want a little transparency.
Uncle Joe
(58,363 posts)Thanks for the thread, madfloridian.
mhatrw
(10,786 posts)Last edited Thu Feb 4, 2016, 04:18 PM - Edit history (1)
madfloridian
(88,117 posts)madfloridian
(88,117 posts)You say "the World is laughing at Iowa".
Are you defining 'world' the same way as you do for The World Series?!!
I can assure you - over here in the UK we aren't laughing, we're crying, at how tragic it is. To elect the leader of the Western world, and one of the world's most powerful people, by such means.
The fact that the Chair is so outrageously biased to one candidate should be grounds for immediate dismissal.
Where's your democracy?!
Like · Reply · 32 · 11 hrs
malokvale77
(4,879 posts)Uncle Joe
(58,363 posts)television networks have picked up on the Des Moines Register editorial?
They were quick to hype that paper's endorsement of Hillary prior to the caucus, I wonder if they're still paying attention to the Des Moines Register?
madfloridian
(88,117 posts)BUT THE CAUCUS WAS SUPPOSED TO START AT 7. WHERE WAS EVERYBODY!
2. Well I can answer that question. About 10 minutes after I took this picture someone mentioned that there was a very long line outside of the school. We opened the door, and it went front of the school door, back to the parking lot, and then snaked along the parking lot.
So here is what happened. When you got to the door you checked in at one table, and they directed you to your caucus location. Except to do that they had to look you up and there were 2 or 3 people who were doing that: for a location with SIX precincts. So they were completely understaffed.
There were 10 delegates at stake in 224 226. At 6:30 I had no doubt we would lose all of them.
This is 30 minutes later. Remember the caucus was supposed to START at 7. See the line those are people waiting to be checked in at their precinct. It would take another 50 minutes to complete this.
Now here is something that will get you mad. One of the Party people complained that the people standing in line should have gone home that they were delaying the caucus. See the woman in the glasses she was a Clinton precinct captain and as appalled as I was.
More at the link, with pics.
mhatrw
(10,786 posts)If you can't win fair, strategically muck everything up.
Many retired people have nothing critical to do the next day, and enjoy wasting their time at a social voting event. Young people leave if it is too big of a hassle to complete the process.
madfloridian
(88,117 posts)It was not healthy for Dean when he was there in 2004.
FloriTexan
(838 posts)Good for the Sanders' campaign for their due diligence and requiring things to reconcile. Yes, elections that are this close usually have a requirement to recount the votes.
madfloridian
(88,117 posts)madfloridian
(88,117 posts)Angela Hagerty ·
Works at Freelance Writer/Editor
Gren Ville Believe me, Iowans are mourning right along with you. Well, some anyway. I am not mourning the outcome of the Iowa caucuses. As a Sanders supporter, I saw his campaign blossom from 4 percent support to a virtual tie--against a very powerful, successful establishment candidate who had a juggernaut of money, resources and an amazing ground game. I was thrilled with his "virtual tie" and I consider it a success.
I am disheartened because there are anomolies that happened around the state in many Democratic precincts--and that our Democratic party will not allow Bernie Sanders to examine the math sheets that were turned in. It doesn't help, as others have pointed out, that the gatekeeper who is saying an affirmative, "No" to Sander's requests is an avid Hillary Clinton supporter--the Chairperson of the Iowa Democratic Party, Andy McGuire. Her vanity plate reads, "HRC2016". She was one of the co-chairs of Hillary's 2008 Iowa campaign. The New York Times has reported that McGuire has held fundraisers for Hillary Clinton, in her own home in Iowa. McGuire is certainly entitled to support the candidate of her choice. She's an active Democrat, so of course she will have strong opinions. The problem is that she is the gatekeeper. She is preventing an examination of our caucus results AND she's an avid Clinton supporter, fundraiser and co-chair of Clinton's 2008 Iowa campaign. There is an appearance of impropriety that makes our state and our process look dishonest and suspect.
Like · Reply · 15 · 9 hrs