2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew NH poll has Bernie up 33 points.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/umass-lowell-7-news-23652CBGLuthier
(12,723 posts)merrily
(45,251 posts)IIRC correctly, Martha Coakley started the race for Scott Brown's seat about 30 points ahead.
For that matter, Hillary started the race for Bush's seat about 30 points ahead.
We cannot take New Hampshire for granted.
rocktivity
(44,576 posts)especially since he's proven that he can play in Peoria, if you'll pardon the expression.
I'll consider it a setback if he doesn't win NH by more than ten points. But then again, I also said I'd consider it a setback if he lost to Hillary by more than three points in IA!
rocktivity
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)"Some nut thinks he's a vampire!"
Loved that show!
Le Taz Hot
(22,271 posts)all day has basically been, if Secretary Goldman-Sachs loses by anything less than predicted, she'll have "won." I'm not kidding! It's the George W. Bush expectations game except this time in reverse.
Art_from_Ark
(27,247 posts)The "soft bigotry of low expectations"?
Made me want to every time I heard it.
Nyan
(1,192 posts)I'm not kidding.
Not only did Bill Clinton create big banks, but he also created big media. And the both of them have been working out fantastically for him and his 3rd-way ilk.
The so-called news channels are not doing public any good. Rather, they're doing enormous harm with their incessant self-serving propaganda. It's time to break them up.
kennetha
(3,666 posts)When he loses NH in a squeaker, the air will come rushing out of his overinflated balloon.
TSIAS
(14,689 posts)If she loses by less she'll call herself the comeback kid.
I don't think there's much of a chance for her to win, but I doubt she'll lose by 33.
PDittie
(8,322 posts)Granted this is a primary and in his sweet zone, but please... everybody keep doing their thing -- whether that's calling, walking, or donating -- and make sure the headlines next Tuesday night have the words "crushes", "dominates", or some synonyms.
He needs that to move the needle in Nevada and South Carolina (unless of course, the polls are wrong there, too).
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)however if Hillary cuts this lead that he has had for months in half that might be interpreted as a defeat for him.
UglyGreed
(7,661 posts)DemocraticSocialist8
(396 posts)NH is going to be Bernie's easiest win in the early states. The question becomes whether or not he'll get a bump in Nevada and SC. The last poll out of Nevada was at the end of December and Clinton had a comfortable lead. If a big win in NH doesn't put him in striking distance, I don't know that anything will.