Obama Maintains Lead Nationally

[babylonsister]

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/09/30/obama_maintains_lead_nationally.html



September 30, 2012

Obama Maintains Lead Nationally


The latest Rand survey -- an experimental polling method which uses the same single panel of voters over several months -- confirms what nearly every other traditional poll has found: President Obama and Mitt Romney were running neck and neck until the Democratic convention and ever since then, Obama has been rising and Romney falling in the poll.

Obama now holds a seven point lead in the Rand survey over Romney, 50% to 43%.

For comparison, the Gallup tracking poll shows Obama leading by six points, 50% to 44%, while the Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Obama leading by five points, 47% to 42%.

[mgcgulfcoast]

1. how are they troubling for obama?

[babylonsister]

2. I think that was the headline to an older article from that site; I edited it out, but

will go see what that's about.

Hmmm. Can't even find that story now.

[mgcgulfcoast]

3. no problem

[TroyD]

4. Did Obama drop a couple of points in Reuters/Ipsos?

It says he is at +5, but I thought he was at +7 a few days ago?

Btw, what is the RAND poll? Is it a separate poll that is conducted on its own, or is it an aggregate of all the other polls that are out there?

[Tom Rinaldo]

5. Useful data. Exact same pollees over time show about a 7% shift toward Obama

The methodology this poll uses makes it immune to challenges over how the sample is weighed (or supposedly "skewed&quot toward Democrats, in regards to momentum at least.

7 points is a strong swing for a clearly defined group of voters to undergo, regardless of how the initial sample was weighed. It supports the findings of all of the traditional polls.