The Obama-Romney Map Is Turning Blue

[Iwillnevergiveup]

Could be more fun than 2008. Excellent, detailed perspective.

http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/johncassidy/2012/09/electoral-predictions-the-obama-romney-map-is-turning-blue.html

[Tarheel_Dem]

1. Looking really good.

[Iwillnevergiveup]

2. Yes indeed

##snip##


"Where does all that leave us? With Obama safely back in the White House. If all of my calls turn out to be correct—an unlikely eventuality, I readily concede—the tally in the electoral college would be Obama three hundred and three, Romney two hundred and six. That leaves Florida’s twenty-nine votes, and, as I’ve said, I regard the Sunshine State as too close to call. For the sake of argument, let’s say that Romney ekes out a victory there, which would produce a final score in the electoral college of Obama three hundred and three, Romney two hundred and thirty-five. That would make 2012 comparable to 2004, when John Kerrey challenged a sitting President and got two hundred and fifty-one votes in the electoral college."

##snip##

Read more http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/johncassidy/2012/09/electoral-predictions-the-obama-romney-map-is-turning-blue.html#ixzz27uQkUchA

[hrmjustin]

3. Thank you to the American people.

[cheezmaka]

4. We're keeping Obama

IN the White House... God bless the President!

[struggle4progress]

5. nc's gonna take some work

[TroyD]

6. Obama has been ahead in the last several North Carolina polls

But Republicans say they are getting more requests for ballots than Democrats.

Does that mean Romney is likely to win there?

[struggle4progress]

7. I don't make predictions: I try to do something for Obama almost every day

and we'll know whether we did enough on the first Tuesday in November

[fujiyama]

8. I would leave NC as a toss up

I agree with most that it will likely revert to the red this election, but the last few polls have it either tied or one candidate or the other with a very slim lead. There was one poll showing Obama with a four point lead in the state, but I'm not sure how reliable that polling firm is. Either way it will be very close.

[TroyD]

9. There have actually been about 3 or 4 polls showing Obama ahead in NC

Not just one.