2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMatariki
(18,775 posts)given she was the dark horse in the race
cali
(114,904 posts)act as if they are.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)azurnoir
(45,850 posts)at least in most places
jfern
(5,204 posts)Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)Hillary wins the monied vote.
farleftlib
(2,125 posts)KittyWampus
(55,894 posts)So if you and other Sanders supporters want to keep on it, it just makes you look either silly.
You need a link to Skinner's thread?
It's based on facts.
jfern
(5,204 posts)Bernie likely had more voters than Hillary.
Odin2005
(53,521 posts)PatrickforO
(14,588 posts)Oh, she'll act proud, but she's got to be pretty concerned here. This election is about the heart and soul of our party, and apparently HALF of us don't see her as representing them if she is elected. I don't.
madokie
(51,076 posts)I know for a fact that she will not represent Me and You.
It's just not how she rolls.
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)Hortensis
(58,785 posts)how would you be feeling? My guess is that she might be satisfied to consider that a tie reported technically as a win will work for her; certainly much better for her than a loss, but not nearly as good as a clear win. Win some, lose some, tie some.
What we do know she's an old pro and was no doubt already already focused on the rest of the campaign, including just what she had to do tomorrow.
I'd love to be there as she and her strategizers talk about Nevada. Bernie's relatively strong out west, compared to the rest of the country, and that's likely to be another close one before he has to face the southern states. (GOP does South Carolina next.)
pnwmom
(108,995 posts)No, we didn't. We knew that Gore had actually won -- and we wanted him to prove it.
If Gore had ended up with only 100 votes more than Bush, wouldn't we have been calling that a WIN? Not a technical tie?
Matariki
(18,775 posts)The delegates are nearly evenly split. So a tie actually is a tie.
pnwmom
(108,995 posts)that in 2008 in Nevada, Hillary had more votes but Obama got more delegates.
Caucuses are very messy, archaic, unrepresentative way of assigning delegates.
cali
(114,904 posts)pnwmom
(108,995 posts)ProudToBeLiberal
(3,964 posts)Also, the demographics of the state did not favor her. We all know that her base is women, African Americans and Hispanics. Iowa is 97% white. So under the circumstances, she should be proud.
And finally, she came in third in 2008. This is huge progress and an accomplishment.
pnwmom
(108,995 posts)Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)72DejaVu
(1,545 posts)Sanders supporters would be demanding she drop out of the race.
Well, they do anyway, but you know what I mean.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)lunamagica
(9,967 posts)leftynyc
(26,060 posts)Just the same way Bernie supporters would be crowing about a victory. But I see a lot of sore losers on this thread so I'm just going to enjoy it somewhere else.
EdwardBernays
(3,343 posts)considering that:
- we don't know the final figures:
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2016/02/02/some-democratic-precinct-results-unaccounted/79682184/
- 7 precincts were decided by a coin toss:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections/iowa-caucus-hillary-clinton-wins-six-delegates-by-coin-toss-a6848126.html
Hillary also spent $13,000,000 for her five additional delegates, and that's even after building the best (if you believe the media) ground team in Iowa of all time.
So at best it's a tie, at worst Hillary blew through millions for basically nothing, and has no momentum, opening the door for Sanders all over the country.
bvf
(6,604 posts)Hillary also spent $13,000,000 for her five additional delegates, and that's even after building the best (if you believe the media) ground team in Iowa of all time.
And that $13,000,000 will have to be paid back. The CGI slush fund can probably manage it out of petty cash.
Response to AZ Progressive (Original post)
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Arazi
(6,829 posts)PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)pandr32
(11,614 posts)Many of the polls had Bernie slightly ahead before yesterday--showing that it was tight. Bernie's people showed up and he gave it a good effort, but in the end Hillary passed the finish ahead, albeit by a slim margin. Still--it was a horse race and she won in a state with a demographic that favored Bernie. Almost all of the remaining states do not.
azurnoir
(45,850 posts)it would trigger an automatic recount
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)49.9% - 49.6% = 50% - 50% <------- AS REPORTED BY MSNBC 50-50 TIE
Aren't precincts still unreported?
Are the delegates still 22 - 21 & is one delegate still available. There's 44 delegates.
PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
tarheelsunc
(2,117 posts)in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)Response to in_cog_ni_to (Reply #25)
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in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)Response to in_cog_ni_to (Reply #30)
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in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)She was inevitable, remember?
PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
Response to in_cog_ni_to (Reply #34)
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SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
BigGLiberal
(102 posts)Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)People here were predicting Bernie landslides and blowouts.
frylock
(34,825 posts)Did the punditocracy also predict Bernie landslides and blowouts?
stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)Broward
(1,976 posts)RiverLover
(7,830 posts)bigwillq
(72,790 posts)So it's a victory for her campaign
Maedhros
(10,007 posts)mmonk
(52,589 posts)Eric J in MN
(35,619 posts)There should be no coin tosses in choosing a president.
Precincts should award one-fewer-delegate when they can't otherwise decide who gets a delegate.
LexVegas
(6,095 posts)Just like Sanders fans should be proud when he gets within 30 points in a state with minorities voting.
MrMickeysMom
(20,453 posts)mythology
(9,527 posts)then yes, that's a fairly significant edge given the proportions.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)The majority of a single vote is as sacred as if unanimous.
-- TJ
book_worm
(15,951 posts)I'm sure in some future contest if Bernie won by only a small margin that you all would proclaim it a victory.
Empowerer
(3,900 posts)If a loss by that margin is a win, then yes, the person who beat the person who lost by that margin definitely won ...
DonCoquixote
(13,616 posts)but if this attitude means that come November, she breaks out the lawyers and does not do an Al Gore and submit to Fat Tony's mafia of Republican supreme court justices, who WILL try a repeat of 2000, then fine.
saltpoint
(50,986 posts)http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/hillary-clinton-iowa-performance-218607
--coming from a source I'm not hogwild about but this particular writer's analysis is insightful and useful.
backscatter712
(26,355 posts)It doesn't look good for her to barely get a technical victory by the skin of her teeth.
Nanjeanne
(4,976 posts)The victory lap is a bit overkill. But hey, for her it seems to be more about the "perception" than reality.
"I'm a moderate. I'm a progressive".
randome
(34,845 posts)For some to suggest she should 'show proper deference' to Sanders is in amazingly bad taste, IMO.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]There is nothing you can't do if you put your mind to it.
Nothing.[/center][/font][hr]
DrDan
(20,411 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)FrenchieCat
(68,867 posts)and respectful to each other, and I believe their supporters should do the same.
To distract from the real issues in order to denigrate the other team running in the same party, is to become like the GOP candidates who talk about nothing but polls, calling each other names. It is not a good look, and will not endear anyone to their candidate.
I realize that some might want to sow discord to further denigrate, but I would politely comment, that this is not the general election, and we need to be mindful of that, IMO.
Bleacher Creature
(11,257 posts)Compared to the states she's leading now, IA and NH are irrelevant. When you factor in the superdelegates, she's the heavy favorite.
Sanders needs to do something in those two states that will completely upend the trajectory of the race. So far, he's 0 for 1.
That's a win, and it's worth celebrating.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Cal33
(7,018 posts)frustrated_lefty
(2,774 posts)It's impressive for a moderate republican to do so well in a democratic primary.
mcar
(42,373 posts)AJH032
(1,124 posts)A win is a win, regardless of who you're rooting for. Onto NH where Bernie will likely win.
PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)We have two great candidates.